Imagine you are a head basketball coach for a college team and a fortune teller informs you that the following will come to pass for your team in the coming year:
- You will only make 30.8% of your three-pointers, good for 308th in the country;
- You will also take very few three-pointers, rating 235th in the country in three-pointers attempted per field goal attempt;
- You will only make 47.0% of your two-pointers, good for 194th in the country;
- You will force few turnovers, block few shots, and rarely steal the ball;
- You will win 25 games, nine games in the Big Ten, and finish in the top 30 of the better computer rankings.
Overall, Iowa may have benefited from a bit of luck with their opponents three-point shooting: opponents shot just 29.5% from three this year, which was 11th best (or worst, depending on your point of view) in the country. That level of poor shooting is probably not repeatable, but the basic principles and the personnel are in place to stop the opposition from shooting well from distance.