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BIG TEN WIN PROJECTIONS: POST-WEEK 13

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And then there were two.

Melvin Gordon just isn't fair, you guys.
Melvin Gordon just isn't fair, you guys.
Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio State got a bit of a scare from Tevin Coleman, but they finally did what we've expected them to do for weeks now. And on the same weekend that the Big Ten East was wrapped up, the race in the Big Ten West also became a lot less muddled. Instead of getting the chaos that so many of us were hoping for, we got a simple two-outcome scenario: whoever wins the Wisconsin/Minnesota game this weekend wins the division.

Post-Week 13 Win Projections

B1G West Season Wins 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Wisconsin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.9% 85.1% 0.0%
Nebraska 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 53.0% 47.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 85.1% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 47.0% 53.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 33.6% 66.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 66.4% 33.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue 62.3% 37.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
B1G East Season Wins 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ohio State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.2% 83.8%
Michigan State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 41.9% 58.1% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 78.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 83.8% 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 58.1% 41.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 78.1% 21.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana 37.7% 62.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Ohio State kept their hopes of making the college football playoff alive, but they can't afford anymore scares like this past weekend if they want to impress the committee. Besides rooting for some top-ranked teams to lose, the Buckeyes are probably rooting for Wisconsin this weekend, and hoping they blow the doors off the Badgers in the Big Ten championship game.

B1G West Conference Wins 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wisconsin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.9% 85.1% 0.0%
Nebraska 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 53.0% 47.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 85.1% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 47.0% 53.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 33.5% 66.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 66.5% 33.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue 0.0% 62.3% 37.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
B1G East Conference Wins 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Ohio State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.2% 83.8%
Michigan State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 42.0% 58.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 78.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 83.8% 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn State 0.0% 0.0% 58.0% 42.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 78.1% 21.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana 37.7% 62.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

As for the conference battle, we all know that Ohio State has secured a spot in the conference championship game, but THOR+ is leaning heavily toward Wisconsin being the team that meets them there.

Per usual, here are the mean, max, and min wins for each Big Ten team.

B1G West Mean Wins Min. Wins Max. Wins Mean B1G Wins Min B1G Wins Max B1G Wins
Wisconsin 9.9 9 10 6.9 6 7
Nebraska 8.5 8 9 4.5 4 5
Minnesota 8.1 8 9 5.1 5 6
Iowa 7.5 7 8 4.5 4 5
Northwestern 5.7 5 6 3.7 3 4
Illinois 5.3 5 6 2.3 2 3
Purdue 3.4 3 4 1.4 1 2
B1G East Mean Wins Min. Wins Max. Wins Mean B1G Wins Min B1G Wins Max B1G Wins
Ohio State 10.8 10 11 7.8 7 8
Michigan State 9.6 9 10 6.6 6 7
Maryland 7.8 7 8 4.8 4 5
Michigan 5.2 5 6 3.2 3 4
Penn State 6.4 6 7 2.4 2 3
Rutgers 6.2 6 7 2.2 2 3
Indiana 3.6 3 4 0.6 0 1

Finally, a look at every team's final regular season game.

Big Ten West

Iowa

Date Iowa Projected Win%
11/28 vs. Nebraska 52.3%

Wisconsin

Date Wisconsin Projected Win%
11/29 vs. Minnesota 85.4%

Nebraska

Date Nebraska Projected Win%
11/28 at Iowa 47.7%

Bo Pelini could lose 4 games again? LOL

Minnesota

Date Minnesota Projected Win%
11/29 at Wisconsin 14.6%

Northwestern

Date Northwestern Projected Win%
11/29 vs. Illinois 64.5%

Illinois

Date Illinois Projected Win%
11/29 at Northwestern 35.5%

Purdue

Date Purdue Projected Win%
11/29 at Indiana 38.4%

Big Ten East

Ohio State

Date Ohio State Projected Win%
11/29 vs. Michigan 85.5%

Michigan State

Date Michigan State Projected Win%
11/29 at Penn State 59.6%

Maryland

Date Maryland Projected Win%
11/29 vs. Rutgers 77.6%

Michigan

Date Michigan Projected Win%
11/29 at Ohio State 14.5%

Penn State

Date Penn State Projected Win%
11/29 vs. Michigan State 40.4%

Rutgers

Date Rutgers Projected Win%
11/29 at Maryland 22.4%

Indiana

Date Indiana Projected Win%
11/29 vs. Purdue 61.6%

I ask one last time: Will Indiana get a conference win this year?