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Iowa Hoops: Iowa State stats & preview

The Hawkeyes head to another house of horrors, Hilton Coliseum, to take on a strong ISU squad

NCAA Basketball: Iowa at Purdue Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

“House of Horrors” week continues for the Iowa Hawkeyes (5-3) as they head to Ames, IA to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (6-2). Since the 2005-06 season, Iowa has a combined TWO wins at ISU (2019-20) and Purdue (2015-16) combined in 23 games. Tough scheduling quirk they had this season.

This is the time of the season where trends can really start to emerge around teams and Iowa is no different. They are once again built around a post presence in Ben Krikke and limiting turnovers. Their 14th-ranked offense, per KenPom, happens despite taking just 29.4% of their shots from 3, which ranks 331st in the country.

Defensively, about what we’ve come to expect from a Fran McCaffery-led squad. KenPom has theirs ranked 138th, which would be the fourth worst of his tenure with rebounding as the particularly rough opportunity, especially after Purdue corralled 39.0% of their misses. Good thing Iowa State’s rate of offensive rebounding is 36.7%.

With Krikke and freshman Owen Freeman as the highest usage players for Iowa, Robert Jones comes into focus. In the past, he’s struggled fouling but that seems to have shored up with a career-best 3.6 fouls called/40 minutes. However, it remains a scab the Hawkeye big men can pick at - they’re drawing 5.3 & 6.1 (!!!) respectively - as Jones fouled out in the Cyclones big win over DePaul. Overall, ISU’s defense remains stodgy by limiting threes & forcing turnovers but they do have a propensity for fouling.

The other key area I’m looking at is if the Hawkeyes can simply keep the game on the rails after a very slow start against Purdue. I found myself about as frustrated as I’ve ever been with a Fran McCaffery technical after he blew up early in the matchup at Purdue. It seemed to me, though, that he was coaching as much for tonight’s game against Iowa State as he was against Purdue to generate a comeback.

Hopefully the lesson is learned and the Hawks come out ready because ISU is building up their offensive ability (early returns are best of TJ Otzelberger’s three-year tenure) and could really make leads snowball for opponents. Tamin Lipsey notched a triple-double his last time out and Milan Momcilovic looks to be as good offensively as any freshman Otzelberger has recruited to Ames, averaging 13.6 points/game on 44.7% shooting from deep.


About the Cyclones

2024 averages: Team / Opponent

PPG: 82.9 / 58.9
RPG: 38.1 / 30.1
APG: 17.8 / 10.1
TOPG: 10.0 / 18.0
FG%: .489 / .375
3P%: .325 / .341

Coach:

T.J. Otzelberger: 3rd year at Iowa State, 8th overall
Record: 47-29 (.618) at ISU, 146-92 (.613) overall

Likely starters & 2022-23 stats:

ISU’s most used starting lineup

Pos - # Name Yr, Ht, Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3P% MPG Misc.
Pos - # Name Yr, Ht, Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3P% MPG Misc.
G - #3 Tamin Lipsey So, 6'1", 200 lbs 7.3 4.0 4.4 .482 .200 29.5 3.0 SPG
G - #10 Keshon Gilbert Jr, 6'4", 200 lbs 11.4 3.8 3.2 .464 .384 27.5 UNLV transfer (31 games)
F - #0 Tre King Sr, 6'7", 230 lbs 6.1 4.1 0.2 .500 .267 17.9
F - #22 Milan Momcilovic Fr, 6'8", 220 lbs N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
F - #12 Robert Jones Sr, 6'10", 255 lbs 5.7 3.8 0.9 .471 N/A 17.1

2023-24 statistical leaders:

PPG: Lipsey 15.1; Gilbert 14.8
RPG: Lipsey 6.5; King 5.5
APG: Lipsey 6.3; Gilbert 3.6
FG%: Jones .714; King .593
3P%: Momcilovic .447; Lipsey .360
BPG: Jones 1.0; Momcilovic 0.5
SPG: Lipsey 3.0; GIlbert 2.0

Last 5 games:

W - at DePaul, 99-80 (12/1)
L - v Texas A&M, 73-69 (11/26)
L - v Virginia Tech, 71-62 (11/24)
W - v VCU, 68-64 (11/23)
W - v Grambling State, 92-37 (11/19)

2024 KenPom ($):

AdjEfficiency: +18.9 (66)
AdjOffense: 111.2 (66)
AdjDefense: 92.3 (9)
AdjTempo: 71.0 (84)

2023:
AdjEfficiency: +17.04 (29)
AdjOffense: 91.0 (8)
AdjDefense: 108.1 (114)
AdjTempo: 64.1 (328)

NET: 19

Bart Torvik: 28

Evan Miyakawa: 26