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Iowa Hoops: Oklahoma stats & preview

The Hawkeyes’ competition takes another step up in San Diego

NCAA Basketball: Arkansas State at Iowa Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) take on the Oklahoma Sooners (4-0) in a Turkey Day tilt with the USC Trojans (3-1) and Seton Hall Pirates (4-0) on the other side of the bracket.

The Sooners have started the season hot behind a stifling defense. How much of it is the competition (four sub-200 opponents per KenPom) or Porter Moser’s principles coming into focus is to be determined. So far, though, only two teams have held teams to a lower eFG% in the young season. Each of those teams have a similar opponent profile but their style - limit three-point attempts - resembles Creighton’s main priority.

A primary difference between the Jays and Sooners is that Ryan Kalkbrenner was a real deterrent for the Hawks as they would often get into the lane, only to continue their dribbling or find an outlet pass. Whether starting center Sam Godwin, who does sport a 12.0% block rate (would rank 26th if he played slightly more minutes), offers the same deterrent is to be determined.

The way Iowa has counteracted the “limit threes” defense is by being on absolute fire from midrange. Ben Krikke is shooting 13/23 from midrange, per Pivot Analysis. It’s a shot most teams are willing to give up but if he continues hitting at this high of rate, we’re likely to see some adjustments. What that means for Krikke (more clunkily smooth dribble drives for shots at the rim - or fouls) or his teammates (cutting lanes for Iowa’s guards) is to be determined. The Valparaiso transfer has had a huge impact and has performed like an all-Big Ten caliber player as Iowa’s leading scorer.

The other area where OU’s defense differs significantly from Creighton is their desire to generate turnovers. With that, comes an elevated free throw rate. I would love to see Tony Perkins & Dasonte Bowen continue to show the aggressiveness we’ve seen throughout much of the early season. Bowen’s game against Arkansas State was among his best in the black & gold and getting to the line 10 times is a great way to generate points and, potentially, opponent foul trouble. Three OU starters, including PG Javian McCollum, have 3 fouls per 40 minutes called against them.

It also might be a game where Payton Sandfort can leverage that ability to get hot. He’s been foiled by two-foul jail in each of the last two games so it would be delightful to see him get off of that hump and be the offensive force he is capable of being.

From a defensive perspective, it absolutely starts with locking down the boards. While some of it is game flow in blowouts, Iowa hasn’t yet limited an opponent to an offensive rebounding rate under 26%. Oklahoma will use second-chance opportunities to generate the offense (41.5% rate ranks 13th in the country).

However, they are turning it over at a rate where Iowa can take advantage. 11.0% of Oklahoma’s possessions end in opponent steals. It’d be a great day for Perkins to reengage defensively alongside the steady Bowen for Iowa to get the win.


About the Sooners

2023 averages: Team / Opponent

PPG: 67.7 / 67.5
RPG: 32.8 / 32.8
APG: 13.0 / 10.7
TOPG: 13.4 / 10.4
FG%: .458 / .432
3P%: .351 / .312

Coach:

Porter Moser: 3rd year at Oklahoma, 20th overall
Record: 38-33 (.535) at Oklahoma, 331-275 (.546) overall

Potential starters & 2022-23 stats:

Indiana’s projected starting lineup

Pos - # Name Yr, Ht, Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3P% MPG Misc.
Pos - # Name Yr, Ht, Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3P% MPG Misc.
G - #0 Xavier Johnson R Sr+, 6'3", 200 lbs 8.2 2.2 2.1 0.411 0.35 24.1
G - #32 Trey Galloway Sr, 6'5", 205 lbs 10.5 2.3 3.8 0.467 0.284 32.8 1,1 steals/game; .500 FT%
F - #4 Anthony Walker Sr+, 6'8", 215 lbs 6.4 3.1 0.8 0.5 0.154 15.6
F - #21 Mackenzie Mgbako Fr, 6'8", 217 lbs 10.9 4.3 1.4 0.406 0.329 24.1 .855 FT%
F - #5 Malik Reneau So, 6'9", 233 lbs 16.7 6.2 2.9 0.578 0.406 30.1 2.8 turnovers/game, 2.7 fouls/game

2023-24 statistical leaders:

PPG: Oweh 15.3; McCollum 12.0
RPG: Godwin 7.5; John Hugley 6.0
APG: Uzan 3.5; McCollum 2.5
FG%: Hugley .800; Godwin .692
3P% (min 5 attempts): Hugley 3/5; Le’tre Darthard .409
BPG: Godwin 2.0, Moore 1.3
SPG: Oweh 2.3, Uzah 1.3

Last 5 games:

W - v UT Rio Grande Valley, 90-66 (11/17)
W - v Texas State, 93-54 (11/14)
W - v Mississippi Valley State, 82-43 (11/10)
W - v Central Michigan, 89-59 (11/6)
—————
L - v Oklahoma State, 57-49 (3/8)

2024 KenPom ($):

AdjEfficiency: +17.78 (26)
AdjOffense: 111.4 (39)
AdjDefense: 93.7 (29)
AdjTempo: 69.7 (163)

2023:
AdjEfficiency: +13.41 (54)
AdjOffense: 110.8 (74)
AdjDefense: 97.4 (48)
AdjTempo: 65.2 (285)

NET: N/A

Bart Torvik: 50

Evan Miyakawa: 23