Iowa Basketball Matchup (Second) First Look : Michigan State

The Iowa Hawkeyes finally got back into the win column on Wednesday night as they toppled #25 Rutgers 79-66. It wasn’t always pretty and in the early goings it was downright ugly, but amidst a two-game skid and a streak of four losses in their last five games, it was a much needed win nonetheless.

That one win in the last five games came against the Michigan State Spartans. But like the win on Wednesday, Iowa’s victory over the Spartans wasn’t exactly pretty. The Hawkeyes struggled at times with CJ Fredrick limited. Fredrick appeared to be nearly fully back on Wednesday night. Will he be able to go again on Saturday? If so, how will that impact Iowa’s approach to Michigan State as they look for a season sweep?

Here’s your second first look at Iowa’s matchup with Michigan State.

Matchup: #15 Iowa Hawkeyes (14-6, 8-5) at Michigan State Spartans (10-7, 4-7)
When: Saturday, February 13th at 1:30 pm CT
Where: Breslin Center - East Lansing, MI
TV: FOX
Video Streaming: FoxSportsGo.com
Radio: Hawkeye Radio Network (click to find your local station)
Audio Streaming: TuneIn Radio

Statistical Overview

Iowa

Points Per Game: 87.4
Points Allowed Per Game: 74.3
Rebounds Per Game: 40.6
Assists Per Game: 19.6
Blocks Per Game: 4.4
Steals Per Game: 5.9

Michigan State

Points Per Game: 71.5
Points Allowed Per Game: 70.6
Rebounds Per Game: 38.7
Assists Per Game: 17.4
Blocks Per Game: 4.8
Steals Per Game: 4.6

Statistical Leaders

Iowa

Scoring: Luka Garza 25.3 PPG
Rebounds: Luka Garza 8.5 RPG
Assists: Jordan Bohannon 4.6 APG

Michigan State

Scoring: Aaron Henry 14.4 PPG
Rebounds: Joey Hauser 6.8 RPG
Assists: Aaron Henry 3.6 APG

Advanced Stats

Adjusted Offense
IOWA 126.3 (1) MICHIGAN STATE 107.0 (87)
Adjusted Defense
IOWA 99.3 (120) MICHIGAN STATE 93.1(35)
Adjusted Tempo
IOWA 69.9 (99) MICHIGAN STATE 68.9 (150)
Adjusted Efficiency Margin
IOWA +27.04 (5) MICHIGAN STATE +13.88 (64)

Projected Outcome

Final: Iowa 81, Michigan State 74
Total Possessions: 70
Win Likelihood Percentage: 74%

Note: Advanced stats are taken from KenPom.com. National rankings are provided following each metric. Adjusted offense and defense metrics measure the points scored per 100 possessions, adjusted for quality of opponent, location and when it was played (more recent gets more weighting). Adjusted tempo is defined as total possessions divided by minutes, adjusted for schedule considering the preferred pace of each team.