WHERE WE'VE BEEN
- SPAM - 2021 Pre-Season Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 0/1 Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 2 Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 3 Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 4 Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 5 Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 6 Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 7 Preview
- SPAM - 2021 - Week 8 Preview
Last week, I explained a new statistic I've been looking at, the Sustainability Index, which evaluates how good teams are at sustainable drives. I haven't checked every single team, but Iowa was dead last amongst Top 10 teams going into the idle week, and dead last among other teams that play the field position game well. To give you an idea of how bad Iowa's offense is, Rutgers is 5 points better than Iowa at sustainable offensive drives.
I'm working on running this data back to see how this season compares with prior seasons, but as you're about to find out, SPAM, which I might rebrand to "BizarroMath" soon, does not like Iowa's chances of doing anything meaningful this year.
I won't recap this week's action, since Iowa was idle, other than to note that Penn State's home loss against the last-ranked Big 10 program's backup quarterback in overtime is exactly what that fan base needed.
LOOKING AHEAD TO WEEK 9 - IOWA SEASON PROJECTION UPDATE
Game by Game
|@Iowa State||-4.1||W (2-0)|
|Kent State||11.7||W (3-0)|
|Colorado State||6.7||W (4-0)|
|Penn State||2.6||W (6-0)|
Division Championship Odds
Big 10 West
With Minnesota's win and Purdue's loss, the Gilded Rodents are now favored to win the West. This remains the case even though Iowa is favored to beat Minnesota head-to-head. This tells me two things. One, Iowa's odds in that game are not overwhelming, and BizarroMath thinks Minnesota is going to finish stronger than Iowa will. Minnesota's win over Nebraska looms large here, as the Cornhuskers are favored over both Iowa and Wisconsin in BizarroMath. A lot of streaks stand poised to come to an ugly, gut-wrenching end this year, including Iowa's long streaks against both Minnesota and Nebraska.
If Iowa loses to Wisconsin this weekend, you can expect the Hawkeye to drop to 3rd or 4th place and be effectively eliminated from the B1G West hunt. What a difference two weeks can make.
Big 10 East
- Michigan over Michigan State by 3.9
- Maryland over Indiana by 5.8
- Ohio State over Penn State by 15.2
- Nebraska over Purdue by 4.8
- Minnesota over Northwestern by 4.0
- Iowa over Wisconsin by 1.9