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Iowa Basketball Matchup First (2nd) Look: Minnesota

We got a good look at Minnesota on Christmas Day. Now let’s take a look at the other end of it shall we?

NCAA Basketball: Michigan State at Minnesota
Can Iowa stop Carr and the Gophers the 2nd time around?
Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports

The Iowa Hawkeyes made it three in a row with an 89-67 thrashing of Maryland in College Park on Thursday night. Now they get to return to Iowa City for a revenge match with a Minnesota team that gave Iowa one of it’s two losses on the season. That loss hurt not just because Iowa gave up 102 points, but because the Hawkeyes led by 7 with just 44 seconds remaining in regulation.

Hawkeye fans will recall in painstaking detail the Marcus Carr triple, without an attempt at a foul, that sent the game to overtime and the barrage of three-pointers (4, to be exact, in OT and 8 overall in the game) hit by Brandon Johnson, who has hit a total of 3 in Minnesota’s 12 other games this season.

Since that overtime win over the Hawkeyes on Christmas Day, the Gophers have gone 2-2 in conference play with blowout wins over Michigan State and Ohio State at home to go with blowout losses to Wisconsin and Michigan on the road.

Here’s your first look at Iowa’s second matchup with Minnesota.

Matchup: #16 Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-3, 3-3) at #5 Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2, 4-1)
When: Sunday, January 10th at 1:30 pm CT
Where: Carver-Hawkeye Arena - Iowa City, IA
Video Streaming:
Radio: Hawkeye Radio Network (click to find your local station)
Audio Streaming: TuneIn Radio

Statistical Overview


Points Per Game: 92.4
Points Allowed Per Game: 73.4
Rebounds Per Game: 41.7
Assists Per Game: 20.8
Blocks Per Game: 4.8
Steals Per Game: 7.1


Points Per Game: 79.7
Points Allowed Per Game: 73.2
Rebounds Per Game: 39.2
Assists Per Game: 15.6
Blocks Per Game: 5.2
Steals Per Game: 6.0

Statistical Leaders


Scoring: Luka Garza 27.2 PPG
Rebounds: Luka Garza 8.9 RPG
Assists: Connor McCaffery 4.6 APG


Scoring: Marcus Carr 21.5 PPG
Rebounds: Liam Robbins 7.3 RPG
Assists: Marcus Carr 5.6 APG

Advanced Stats

Adjusted Offense
IOWA 123.0 (1) MINNESOTA 111.7 (23)
Adjusted Defense
IOWA 96.3 (77) MINNESOTA 93.4 (44)
Adjusted Tempo
IOWA 72.0 (58) MINNESOTA 72.2 (49)
Adjusted Efficiency Margin
IOWA +26.63 (4) MINNESOTA +18.24 (28)

Projected Outcome

Final: Iowa 86, Minnesota 78
Total Possessions: 74
Win Likelihood Percentage: 78%

Note: Advanced stats are taken from National rankings are provided following each metric. Adjusted offense and defense metrics measure the points scored per 100 possessions, adjusted for quality of opponent, location and when it was played (more recent gets more weighting). Adjusted tempo is defined as total possessions divided by minutes, adjusted for schedule considering the preferred pace of each team.