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YOUR-STILL-WAY-TOO-EARLY BIG TEN POWER RANKINGS: POST-WEEK 2

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Your week 2 power rankings are slightly less useless than last week's! Hooray!

Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Week 2 is now behind us, but we still only have two whole data points to work with in regards to every Big Ten team. There appears to be a few certainties thus far, like Ohio State and Michigan State both being very good. Or like Maryland, Rutgers, and Indiana having absolutely awful defenses. But there are still way more unknowns. For instance, how good is anyone in the Big Ten West? Is the division Wisconsin's for the taking? Or will one of Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, or Northwestern (sorry, Purdue) step up and take it? At this point in time, there are still too many question marks for each of the six teams I just listed for us to really know anything about how the conference slate will play out.

Because of this uncertainty, the numbers you will find below are still 60% influenced by the preseason projections. For those who were upset that Iowa's offensive rushing rating was still bad after week 1, you will see that they are now almost average after week 2. These things work themselves out after enough games are played. The preseason projections are weighted so heavily early on to make sure that the numbers don't completely overreact to one game. You know, to help avoid Illinois being rated #1 overall after devouring their first two cupcakes by a total score of 96-3. You're welcome.

This week will be a less-wordy version of the Power Rankings, as I am on vacation and don't have a whole lot of time or motivation. So, I'll just leave you with a few reminders. All ratings are on a scale where 100 = the FBS average. The higher a number is above 100, the better a team is in that category. The lower a team falls under 100, the worse a team is in that particular category. Additionally, the points per game, points per game allowed, win percentage, and wins all listed below are estimates of the true talent level of each team if they were to play an exactly average schedule.

Lastly, a reminder of how the game watch rating works:

It takes into account the ranking of each team (games between two highly ranked teams are generally fun to watch), how close the game is expected to be (everyone loves a close, competitive game), and how many points are projected to be scored (sorry, defense fans, but people love when both teams score a lot of points). It then spits out a number that tells you how entertaining the game should be to watch. Like the rest of my ratings, 100 is average.

Keep in mind this metric gives equal weight to each of those three things listed. I think what I failed to mention last week is that part of looking at the THOR+ ranking of each team is not just about how highly-ranked they are, but the game watch rating also takes into account how similarly-ranked each team is. A game is expected to be closer/more entertaining when both teams are ranked right around each other. So, a game between two similarly lesser-ranked opponents that is projected be 44-41 with a 55/45% win probability split is likely going to have a higher game watch rating than a contest between two highly-ranked opponents that is projected to end 30-21 with a 65/35% win probability split. The more criteria a game projection meets, the higher the rating will be. So, if a game between two lesser-ranked teams has a higher game watch rating than you are expecting, look at how close the game is projected to be, the number of points projected to be scored (*cough* Indiana and Western Kentucky *cough*), and don't forget to look at how closely ranked each team is to their opponent (*cough* Maryland and South Florida *cough*). The main point of the game watch rating isn't to say that better football is being played in one game compared to another. It's more trying to give the viewer an idea of what games could be entertaining to watch, or are at least worth catching the end of.

Now, to the Power Rankings!

Big Ten Power Rankings Post-Week 2

Rank Team Coach Offense+ Defense+ Special Teams+ THOR+ PPG vs. Avg. PPGA vs. Avg. W% vs. Avg. W vs. Avg.
4 Ohio State Urban Meyer 152 135 104 144 44.7 21.3 0.853 10.2
13 Wisconsin Paul Chryst 139 127 131 131 41.9 23.0 0.758 9.1
16 Michigan State Mark Dantonio 139 130 64 129 41.6 23.1 0.741 8.9
27 Michigan Jim Harbaugh 105 144 108 122 32.9 19.5 0.687 8.2
34 Nebraska Mike Riley 125 107 96 119 38.0 28.0 0.661 7.9
35 Illinois Bill Cubit 104 135 113 118 32.6 21.5 0.658 7.9
47 Iowa Kirk Ferentz 100 117 117 110 31.5 25.5 0.598 7.2
51 Northwestern Pat Fitzgerald 64 152 122 109 22.5 17.6 0.585 7.0
56 Minnesota Jerry Kill 87 123 115 106 28.5 24.3 0.563 6.8
63 Penn State James Franklin 70 130 106 99 23.6 22.6 0.514 6.2
71 Purdue Darrell Hazell 86 96 100 93 27.7 30.4 0.468 5.6
80 Maryland Randy Edsall 99 69 158 87 31.9 36.4 0.423 5.1
82 Rutgers Kyle Flood 98 68 133 87 31.8 37.0 0.418 5.0
96 Indiana Kevin Wilson 92 62 83 78 29.5 38.6 0.351 4.2

1. Ohio State #4, 144 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
6 Ohio State Urban Meyer 138 133 110 120 152 41.1
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
19 Ohio State Urban Meyer 139 121 138 125 135 17.7
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
57 Ohio State Urban Meyer 74 3.6 134 3.5 104

Up Next: vs. #61 Northern Illinois

Game Watch Rating: 71

Win Probability: 93%

Projected Score: Ohio State 48, Northern Illinois 20

2. Wisconsin #13, 131 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
13 Wisconsin Paul Chryst 118 109 116 104 139 37.8
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
34 Wisconsin Paul Chryst 128 117 106 144 127 19.6
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
9 Wisconsin Paul Chryst 114 4.1 147 3.4 131

Up Next: vs. #98 Troy

Game Watch Rating: 44

Win Probability: 93%

Projected Score: Wisconsin 60, Troy 20

3. Michigan State #16, 129 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
14 Michigan State Mark Dantonio 141 102 120 108 139 37.7
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
29 Michigan State Mark Dantonio 112 135 113 139 130 18.8
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
120 Michigan State Mark Dantonio 96 3.9 32 4.3 64

Up Next: vs. #75 Air Force

Game Watch Rating: 73

Win Probability: 87%

Projected Score: Michigan State 52, Air Force 21

4. Michigan #27, 122 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
51 Michigan Jim Harbaugh 72 109 73 115 105 28.9
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
11 Michigan Jim Harbaugh 129 124 73 138 144 15.7
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
44 Michigan Jim Harbaugh 110 4.0 106 3.8 108

Up Next: vs. #118 UNLV

Game Watch Rating: 36

Win Probability: 93%

Projected Score: Michigan 44, UNLV 10

5. Nebraska #34, 119 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
23 Nebraska Mike Riley 128 100 102 102 125 34.1
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
53 Nebraska Mike Riley 99 94 99 115 107 24.2
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
82 Nebraska Mike Riley 96 3.9 96 3.8 96

Up Next: at #25 Miami (Florida)

Game Watch Rating: 137

Win Probability: 39%

Projected Score: Nebraska 25, Miami (Florida) 37

6. Illinois #35, 118 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
56 Illinois Bill Cubit 102 80 78 74 104 28.6
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
20 Illinois Bill Cubit 138 110 122 106 135 17.8
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
36 Illinois Bill Cubit 116 4.1 111 3.7 113

Up Next: at #39 North Carolina

Game Watch Rating: 162

Win Probability: 41%

Projected Score: Illinois 29, North Carolina 31

7. Iowa #47, 110 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
62 Iowa Kirk Ferentz 131 98 110 94 100 27.6
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
47 Iowa Kirk Ferentz 108 116 63 131 117 21.9
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
27 Iowa Kirk Ferentz 104 4.0 129 3.6 117

Up Next: vs. #55 Pittsburgh

Game Watch Rating: 139

Win Probability: 65%

Projected Score: Iowa 36, Pittsburgh 26

8. Northwestern #51, 109 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
112 Northwestern Pat Fitzgerald 72 90 124 97 64 18.3
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
1 Northwestern Pat Fitzgerald 142 112 118 122 152 13.8
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
22 Northwestern Pat Fitzgerald 136 4.3 108 3.7 122

Up Next: at #46 Duke

Game Watch Rating: 136

Win Probability: 35%

Projected Score: Northwestern 13, Duke 19

9. Minnesota #56, 106 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
83 Minnesota Jerry Kill 110 95 90 136 87 24.3
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
40 Minnesota Jerry Kill 113 104 120 102 123 20.5
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
32 Minnesota Jerry Kill 131 4.2 100 3.8 115

Up Next: vs. #123 Kent State

Game Watch Rating: 49

Win Probability: 92%

Projected Score: Minnesota 41, Kent State 13

10. Penn State #63, 99 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
104 Penn State James Franklin 63 104 120 61 70 19.7
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
30 Penn State James Franklin 119 127 80 149 130 19.0
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
49 Penn State James Franklin 99 3.9 114 3.7 106

Up Next: vs. #82 Rutgers

Game Watch Rating: 115

Win Probability: 71%

Projected Score: Penn State 33, Rutgers 20

11. Purdue #71, 93 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
87 Purdue Darrell Hazell 75 90 69 99 86 23.9
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
71 Purdue Darrell Hazell 110 87 117 113 96 26.7
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
64 Purdue Darrell Hazell 89 3.8 111 3.7 100

Up Next: vs. #49 Virginia Tech

Game Watch Rating: 149

Win Probability: 46%

Projected Score: Purdue 24, Virginia Tech 27

12. Maryland #80, 87 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
66 Maryland Randy Edsall 60 107 60 90 99 27.2
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
95 Maryland Randy Edsall 96 100 59 82 69 33.0
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
1 Maryland Randy Edsall 174 4.7 143 3.5 158

Up Next: vs. #79 South Florida

Game Watch Rating: 142

Win Probability: 61%

Projected Score: Maryland 32, South Florida 26

13. Rutgers #82, 87 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
67 Rutgers Kyle Flood 97 90 74 82 98 27.1
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
98 Rutgers Kyle Flood 88 107 59 98 68 33.1
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
6 Rutgers Kyle Flood 177 4.7 89 3.9 133

Up Next: at #63 Penn State

Game Watch Rating: 115

Win Probability: 29%

Projected Score: Rutgers 20, Penn State 33

14. Indiana #96, 78 THOR+

Rank Offense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Blocking+ Offense+ PPG vs. Avg.
78 Indiana Kevin Wilson 97 90 127 111 92 25.5
Rank Defense Coach Passing+ Rushing+ Turnovers Pressure+ Defense+ PPGA vs. Avg
106 Indiana Kevin Wilson 72 79 95 69 62 34.5
Rank Special Teams Coach Off. Special Teams+ PPG vs. Avg. Def. Special Teams+ PPGA vs. Avg. Special Teams+
101 Indiana Kevin Wilson 108 4.0 59 4.1 83

Up Next: vs. #66 Western Kentucky

Game Watch Rating: 152

Win Probability: 48%

Projected Score: Indiana 38, Western Kentucky 40