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POST WEEK TWO BOWL PROJECTIONS: KNOW NOTHING

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Cool story, Auburn.

it me rich rod
it me rich rod
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Two weeks into the season, we now know enough about every top 25 team to realize the contenders and the pretenders. Some bullets:

  • In the words of Kenny Powers, Auburn, you're ******* out. Struggling with an FCS team is one thing. Winning a game you should've lost is another And sure, you could very well go undefeated and blah blah blah but with how you played last weekend you're not looking like a Playoff team. Alabama will take your spot.
  • Oregon's loss makes room for either USC or UCLA in the playoff. Sure, Oregon could win out but that's irrelevant right now. This is knee-jerk. USC gets the Bruins at home so we'll give them the edge.
  • Boise State's loss knocks them out of the Group of 5 New Year's Bowl slot and makes room for Houston. What's Houston's strongest opponent left on the schedule at this point? UCF? Vanderbilt, at home? Cincy, at home? Temple is another team to consider.
  • Notre Dame is also out of the NY6 Bowls. Injuries are starting to pile up.
  • All this turmoil makes room for more ACC. #goACC

In our beloved conference, there's chatter about the possibility of two Big Ten teams making the playoff. It's not unrealistic. Should Ohio State finish the season undefeated, they'll be #1. If Michigan State's only loss on their schedule is to the #1 team in the nation, what case can another one-loss team make? We're in the SEC? LOL NO. Being in the SEC just isn't a good enough excuse to make the Playoff any longer. Thanks, Arkansas. Joking aside, while MSU and OSCU being in the playoff is a possibility, I don't think it's likely to happen.

Most of the Big Ten bowls keep the same selections aside from Northwestern jumping ahead of Penn State. I'm hoping that Nebraska will get an old Big 12 matchup and that Iowa will have a chance at 2010 revenge because #narratives. Same with Pitt and Penn State, who really just need to play each other so one fanbase will be quiet.

I've also got Indiana bowl eligible now. The Hoosiers are 2-0 and should be favored against Western Kentucky and at Wake Forest. If they can make it past Western Kentucky (not easy) and Wake Forest, they have Rutgers, Maryland and Purdue remaining on their schedule. Rutgers and Maryland are tire-fires...so why not the Hoosiers?

The Rules:

  • Four teams are chosen for the College Football Playoff.
  • Six bowls rotate for the semifinals: Rose, Sugar, Cotton, Fiesta, Orange, and Peach.
  • The bowls hosting the semifinals this year are the Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl.
  • As the Rose Bowl is not hosting a semi-final, it will select the Big Ten Champion. However, if the Big Ten Champion is a playoff team, the Rose Bowl will select a Big Ten replacement.
  • The highest ranked champion from the Group of Five mid-majors (AAC, C-USA, MAC, MWC, Sun Belt) is guaranteed a spot in the non-playoff bowls if they fail to make the playoff.
  • The Big Ten has a six-year contract with the eight non-playoff bowl games (aside from the Pinstripe, which is an eight-year contract). Per the terms of that contract, the bowls are to select at least five different Big Ten schools over six years.
  • The non-playoff bowl games are informally broken down into three tiers. Tier 1: Holiday, Citrus and Outback. Tier 2: Pinstripe, Music City/TaxSlayer and Foster Farms. Tier 3: Quick Lane and Heart of Dallas/Armed Forces.
  • Over a six-year agreement, signed in 2013, the Big Ten and ACC must appear in three Music City and three TaxSlayer Bowls.
  • Over a six-year agreement, signed in 2013, the Big Ten and Big 12 must appear in three Heart of Dallas and three Armed Forces Bowls.

Bowl Projections:

Bowl
Date
Matchup
Last Year/Last 3 (B1G)

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

12/31/15

Alabama (2) v. TCU (3)

MSU v. Baylor

Capital One Orange Bowl
Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL

12/31/15

Ohio State (1) v. USC (4)

Miss St. v. G-Tech

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, NOLA

1/1/16

Baylor v. Georgia
Big 12 v. SEC

Ohio State v. Alabama

Rose Bowl Game
Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA

1/1/16

Michigan State v. UCLA
Big 10 v. Pac-12

MSU, UW, UW

Fiesta Bowl
U of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

1/1/16

Georgia Tech v. Houston
At-Large v. At-Large

Boise State v. Arizona

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Georgia Dome, ATL, GA

12/31/15

Clemson v. Texas A&M
At-Large v. At-Large

Ole Miss v. TCU

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl
Citrus Bowl, Orlando, FL

1/1/16

Wisconsin v. Ole Miss
Big 10 v. SEC

MN, UW, NU

Outback Bowl
Raymond James, Tampa, FL

1/1/16

Minnesota v. LSU
Big 10 v. SEC

UW, IA, UM

National University Holiday Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA

12/30/15

Iowa v. Arizona
Big 10 v. Pac-12

NU

TaxSlayer/Music City Bowl
EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL or
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

1/2/16
12/30/15

Nebraska v. Missouri
Big 10/ACC v. SEC

IA, NU, NW*

Foster Farms Bowl
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA

12/26/15

Michigan v. California
Big 10 v. Pac-12

MD

New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Yankee Stadium, NY, NY

12/26/15

Northwestern v. Va Tech
Big 10 v. ACC

PSU

Quick Lane Bowl
Ford Field, Detroit, MI

12/28/15

Penn State v. Pittsburgh
Big 10 v. ACC

RU

Heart of Dallas Bowl/ Armed Forces Bowl
Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX or
AGC Stadium, Fort Worth, TX

12/26/15
12/29/15

Indiana v. Rice
Big 10/Big 12 v. C-USA

IL, PU, PSU**

* - Last 3 refers to appearances in the TaxSlayer Bowl.

** - Last 3 refers to appearances in the Heart of Dallas Bowl.