APR Is In...

Tue May 06, 2008 at 11:18:00 PM EDT

...and we're safe.

Iowa's 2006-07 football academic progress rate, the subject of such consternation by the Iowa City Gazette just more than a month ago, was 929.  The four-year average is 950, twenty-five points higher than that needed to maintain all scholarships.  That was higher than the projected total in the Gazette.  That was higher than the total projected by yours truly.  So that bullet has been dodged.

More importantly, the 929 total for the past year stays on the books for the next four years.  While this total is by far the lowest since the NCAA instituted its academic progress standards in 2005, it is higher than the 925 minimum needed to keep all scholarships in place.  In other words, this number is not the killer sub-900 figure we all feared would submarine the program over the next four years.  Hooray we have all our scholarships hooray.

Men's basketball might, in the end, be a bigger concern.  The Iowa basketball 4-year APR is 944 (meaning a 2006-07 APR of 956).  That represents a 15-point rise in APR in the past two years.  That being said, transfers are far more significant to basketball's APR, given the far smaller squad size.  Freeman's gone.  Bohall, who was on scholarship last year, is gone.  I don't think it's significant enough to drop Iowa below 925 next year, but it could all change with one more defection.

In the end, no Iowa program (whether revenue-generating or not) is subject to sanctions based on APR.  Even men's swimming, which has been subject to sanctions for years, was able to raise its APR above 925.  It's more than you can say for some other schools.

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  • Freeman and Bohall (none / 0)

    The good news on these two is that both (to my knowledge) are in good academic standing, so that'll help out the APR (no matter what the federal reserve says).

    And if Bohall stays at Iowa and graduates, it's a win/win situation for the APR.

    I think the blow might come from Palmer.

    • I don't know details (none / 0)

      Iowa basketball APR by year:

      2004 -- 870
      2005 -- 988
      2006 -- 962
      2007 -- 956

      The 870 comes off the books next year, so we would need a 2008 APR below 794 to drop below 925.  The basketball program could bring in Ricky Davis, Marcus Fizer, and Andy Katzenmoyer, and we would still be able to keep it above that number.

      If Freeman stays and completes the semester before leaving the team, that helps.  If he leaves mid-semester, he'll lose his good academic standing.  No me gusta.

      Bohall should be OK, seeing as how he's not actually transferring.  I think he gets 3 of 4 possible points for this year.

      I don't know how much effect Palmer will have, but I can't imagine it's enough to drop us below that number.  Plus, there's a movement afoot to change the transfer rules, especially for basketball.  Good-standing transfers (or defections to the draft) might not count toward the total by this time next year.  That would pretty much guarantee Iowa's compliance.

  • 2006-2007 (none / 0)

    Correct me if Im wrong, but shouldnt the report we need to worry about be the 2007-2008 year. Most of the "stuff" happened after last school year was over.

    • You're not entirely wrong (none / 0)

      While the most public of the defections occurred during 2007-08, about half of the losses occurred during the 2007 offseason (including possibly Dominique Douglas, depending on when the NCAA considers him expelled).  By my interpretation of the NCAA's rules, APR is based on your roster on the first day of the academic calendar.  That means the summer losses go toward 2006-07.

      Timing is everything here.  If all the attrition happened during one year, it could be devastating.  Spreading it out over two means two lower-than-average scores, but nothing catastrophic.

      Well, at least we hope.

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