Quiz time

Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 05:02:08 PM EDT

What significance does "39 out of 87" hold for the Iowa football program?

Answer and explanation after the jump.

(keep reading...)

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"When you get here, you meet with the leadership group, and the first thing they say is, 'Look around, because when you're seniors, half of you guys won't be here,'" Christensen said. "You look around and you can't really see anybody, you can't say, 'Oh, he won't be here.'

"You really think everyone will be (here), but you blink your eyes and nine guys are gone. It's the way it is. This program filters out the guys who really aren't made for it."

--via HawkCentral

From the 2002 through 2005 recruiting classes, 39 of the 87 signees left the program early. That's over 44% of the program gone to attrition. Now, through walk-ons and increased recruiting, we've been able to keep 85 kids (or close to it) on scholarship most of the time, but there's something seriously wrong with losing nearly half your recruiting classes every year that a motto of "Next Man In" just can't adequately cover.

Indeed, in the Alcoholic Daddy post, I referred to ruining a family. The concept of the Hawkeye Family, as we understood it during the Hayden era, seems to be just a relic. I don't mean families that feed the program (though we do seem overdue for a new crop of Hilgenbergs), but a healthy program where a recruit's involvement will last decades, not a year or two.

What respect can the players hold for a "family" that casts off such a ridiculously high amount of its constituents? With that erosion comes both a lack of senior leadership and a lack of alumni leadership, both desperately important for the development and sustainment of a successful program.

There are three seniors on offense this year. Three. They're all in the backfield (Sims, Young, Busch). Overall, there are only 12, and of them only nine have been scholarship athletes at Iowa since their freshman year. Who's out there providing the leadership for the rest of the guys on offense? Who's there to see their teammates' facebook pictures and tell them to knock that shit off? Can you even be surprised that 11 members of the team have been arrested since April?

There's only so much control that a coach himself can exert on his team or his group of players. When Kirk Ferentz extended the curfew to seven days a week earlier this season, he essentially admitted that the players were incapable of policing themselves.

The void lies in peer involvement, and as long as there remains such a large amount of guys leaving as soon as they feel unwanted, that sense of family and group will continue to go unseen.

In my book, that has a far more deleterious effect on both player morale and performance than whether or not an offensive coordinator throws enough passes to the left or whatever.

There is, of course, no easy or quick solution to this problem. Ferentz can't bring back any of the academic casualties or homesick players or anything. Attrition is a part of every college football program, and it sucks. I would strongly recommend, however, that the coach stop advising his leadership council to tell the freshmen that half their class will leave, and to start nurturing a mutual sense of commitment to the program from their first day on campus to long, long after graduation.


Tags: the program, kirk ferentz, jake christensen (all tags) :: Add Tags to this Story

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  • incredible (none / 0)

    That is a more amazing statistic than the fact that we ran the ball 22 times against Indiana.  

    And think of the investment and cost associated with attracting each of the 20-odd scholarship dudes each year -- gone.  All of those hours spent chasing around an 18 year-old, traveling, talking, cajoling, selling.  Gone.  

    In a system that is all about execution and ... the system, not the application of raw talent to the field, there's no system if you've got 44% attrition.

    If there were an unemployed monomaniac out there, he would model program success against attrition and we could see if in fact it is the dependent variable predicting some measure of success.

  • recruits (none / 0)

    This is an insightful post.  There's alot of things that go into that number, of course, and some things the staff can't do anything about.  Injuries, homesickness, keeping kids eligible.  I wonder how that number compares to the recruits who left the program between 1999 and 2004, and the average number of signees who leave every BCS-level program.

    • yep (none / 0)

      You have no idea how much I wished I had the time to compile that data. There can't possibly be a top-tier BCS conference team that's even close.

      • recruits (none / 0)

        It's hard to say.  I live in Omaha, and all the Husker faithful are moaning about all these top-notch recruits from Callahan's tenure who have washed out of the program.  Al Groh seems like he signs a top-15 recruiting class at UVa every other year, but no one notices that he can't get half those kids into school there.  I'm sure there are other examples.  Top-level BCS schools probably have more depth stacked up behind their starters than we do, though.

        It seems to me that there was a bit of an exodus when Kirk took over, and I recall alot of arrests during the summer of 2002.  Wasn't that when Bennie Sapp was let go?  I'm sure we've always had to deal with it to some degree, we just never noticed it because we were winning and the staff were pushing the right buttons.

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