We're coming up on the end of the regular season, and with about 90% of conference play in the books, it's safe to say this has been one of the craziest seasons for the Big Ten in recent memory. We've seen the best teams in the conference go through massive losing skids. We've seen a Michigan team that lost one of their best players to a season ending injury clinch at least a share of the the conference title. And, as Iowa fans, we've seen our Hawkeyes look like a Final Four contender for certain stretches of play, only to look more like an NIT-caliber team for other periods of time. I mean, we basically see an upset within the conference on a weekly basis anymore. This is happening with so much regularity that it's beginning to feel kind of like the natural order of things.
Here at BHGP, we've basically boiled it down to one sentence: The Big Ten is full of blood and Spiders.
Now, I know some people have taken to the idea that the Big Ten just isn't as good as we all thought this season. While I can see why people may choose to make that argument, I, on the other hand, still subscribe to the theory that the Big Ten is just very good from top to bottom this year:
My numbers (and Kenpom), have the Big Ten as the toughest conference in the country this year. As you can see by the chart above, almost every team has an above average offensive and defensive unit. Only Northwestern's offense is below average this season, and they have helped offset that with a pretty stingy defense.
Rather than saying the Big Ten is filled with mediocre teams, I would argue that the difficulty of the conference this season means that each team has a smaller margin of error in every single game they play. That is where luck comes plays a big factor.
Every team has to deal good luck and bad luck all season long. Every play in basketball probably has some kind of luck involved in it. A defender slips while contesting a shot he would have otherwise blocked. A shooter getting a lucky bounce. A referee blowing an obvious foul call. Over time, we would expect all of these events to even out (or come relatively close) given a large enough sample size. Unfortunately, thirty or so games per year isn't a gigantic sample size, and some teams end up very lucky, while others find themselves on the opposite end of the spectrum.
It is with this in mind, that I want to take a look at the Big Ten this year.
How Might We Measure Luck?
The first question is probably how might we measure luck? Well, a chart:
To explain this is simply as I can, this chart plots each teams' strength of schedule rating on the x-axis (easiest to hardest from left to right), while plotting the difference between a team's actual win percentage and their expected win percentage on the y-axis (underperformers to over performers going from bottom to top). This is for each D-I men's basketball team for the past four years. Because a team's expected win percentage tells us how many games a team would be expected to win against an exactly average schedule, the logic behind this is that a team will be more likely to outperform their expected win percentage if they play an easy schedule, while a team that plays a very difficult schedule will be more likely to underperform their expected win percentage. And with an r^2 of 0.77, I would say that the thought seems to match reality. Based on this logic, any team below that line would be considered "unlucky" and any team above the line would be considered "lucky."
What About This Season?
So, let's apply this to our current season:
I've color-coded the Big Ten teams to give everyone an idea of where each team falls on the schedule vs. win differential scale (Nebraska is the black and red diamond). Each Big Ten team has played a very tough schedule this year, which is no surprise, seeing as they have all played each other. But, for a more exact look, what do the numbers really say?
Team | Luck | Schedule | Win% | W | L | xWin% | xW | xL | Game differential |
Wisconsin | 0.110 | 104 | 0.828 | 24 | 5 | 0.717 | 20.81 | 8.19 | 3.19 |
Northwestern | 0.058 | 104 | 0.414 | 12 | 17 | 0.356 | 10.31 | 18.69 | 1.69 |
Michigan | 0.029 | 104 | 0.750 | 21 | 7 | 0.721 | 20.18 | 7.82 | 0.82 |
Nebraska | 0.021 | 103 | 0.607 | 17 | 11 | 0.586 | 16.40 | 11.60 | 0.60 |
Michigan State | 0.007 | 103 | 0.759 | 22 | 7 | 0.752 | 21.80 | 7.20 | 0.20 |
Minnesota | -0.018 | 104 | 0.600 | 18 | 12 | 0.618 | 18.53 | 11.47 | -0.53 |
Purdue | -0.041 | 103 | 0.517 | 15 | 14 | 0.558 | 16.18 | 12.82 | -1.18 |
Illinois | -0.050 | 103 | 0.586 | 17 | 12 | 0.636 | 18.45 | 10.55 | -1.45 |
Penn State | -0.055 | 103 | 0.483 | 14 | 15 | 0.538 | 15.59 | 13.41 | -1.59 |
Ohio State | -0.066 | 103 | 0.733 | 22 | 8 | 0.799 | 23.97 | 6.03 | -1.97 |
Indiana | -0.110 | 102 | 0.586 | 17 | 12 | 0.696 | 20.18 | 8.82 | -3.18 |
Iowa | -0.126 | 103 | 0.690 | 20 | 9 | 0.815 | 23.64 | 5.36 | -3.64 |
This table is ordered from most to least lucky this season. Much to the annoyance of Iowa fans everywhere, Wisconsin rates out as the luckiest team in the Big Ten this year. They have played one of the most difficult schedules in the conference, but they have outperformed that schedule by about 3 games. They were expected to win around 72% of their games so far, yet they have won 83%. After Bo and his pesky Badgers, Northwestern has won almost two more games than they were expected to, while Michigan has added about one victory that they weren't supposed to.
Heading down to the bottom of the chart, yes, Iowa is in last place, with almost 4 games worth of bad luck. The numbers basically think the Hawkeyes and the Badgers' records should be flipped. It's also interesting to note that Indiana was considered more unlucky than Iowa before their game against the Hawkeyes, underperforming their expected schedule by around 4 games. Of course, after Will Sheehey went off on Iowa and Ohio State, they are now closer to 3 games and Iowa is now the unluckiest team in the conference. Sports, you guys!
For another interesting look at this, here is each team's actual win percentage plotted against their luck measure:
Wisconsin has the best overall record on the year and they have also been the luckiest team in the Big Ten by a pretty wide margin. Meanwhile, Iowa's the unluckiest team out of the Big Ten's top five teams. Also by a large margin.
And for one final perspective of this, I give you each team's rating according to my numbers plotted against their luck measure:
For those of you who didn't read the comments in this post, Crowdog came up with an acronymic nickname for my ratings that I happen to like. I wasn't planning on naming them, but what the hell, right?
Anyway, according to Tito Hawk's Official Ratings (THOR), Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio State, and Michigan State are by far and away the best teams in the Big Ten and all are amongst the top 15 teams in the country. These five teams rank 9th, 10th, 11th, 12th, and 14th in the country, according to THOR, and all are separated by no more than 0.96 rating points. In other words, they are all relatively equal in talent, yet all five of them have had different degrees of luck this season. Iowa and Wisconsin have been polar opposites of each other. Michigan has benefited from about a game's worth of luck, while Michigan State has basically broken even, and Ohio State looks as if they gave up two games that they shouldn't have.
All of that isn't even mentioning the teams toward the middle and lower end of the conference. The likes of Purdue, Illinois, Penn State, and Indiana have all dropped at least a game that they weren't expected to. In other words, these teams are likely better than we give them credit for.
Is Any of This Indicative of Skill?
Looking at these numbers brings up an interesting question: is any of this the result of an in-game coaching effect? I mean, Bo Ryan has been suspected of wizardry for years in Madison, and Tom Crean (justified or not) has been criticized as a poor X's and O's guy. If each coach was as good or bad as people believed, it would most likely show in the luck column after we have a big enough sample. So, I decided to test this hypothesis a little bit.
I was only able to go back four years, so what follows is not a big sample size at all, which means we can not make any definitive statements from this. But, I still thought it might be interesting to look at how Iowa has performed under Franimal when looking at luck. In addition, I also wanted to compare and contrast his numbers to the two coaches listed above. As a bonus, I also looked at Fred Hoiberg because his results were a bit surprising to me. Also, he has been at Iowa State as long as McCaffery has been at Iowa, so it's an interesting comparison.
Coach | THOR Rating | THOR Ranking | Luck | Luck Ranking | Wins | Losses | xWins | xLosses | Game Diff. |
McCaffery 10-11 | 105 | #82 | -0.123 | #325 | 11 | 20 | 14.80 | 16.20 | -3.80 |
McCaffery 11-12 | 104 | #94 | -0.006 | #166 | 18 | 17 | 18.21 | 16.79 | -0.21 |
McCaffery 12-13 | 110 | #28 | -0.045 | #236 | 25 | 13 | 26.73 | 11.27 | -1.73 |
McCaffery 13-14 | 112 | #9 | -0.126 | #332 | 20 | 9 | 23.64 | 5.36 | -3.64 |
4 Year Avg. | 107.75 | #53 | -0.075 | #265 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -2.35 |
I'm not going to lie, Fran looks unlucky as hell here. In his second year at the helm in Iowa City, his team's luck basically balanced out to even, but was still slightly negative. Add in those other three years, and... yikes. That's two seasons where his teams were unlucky to the tune of almost 4 games and one season where happenstance seemed to leave the Hawkeyes with 2 less wins than expected. That's an average of -2.35 wins per year, which means on average Iowa has underperformed their expected win total by 2 games.
Again, I caution you not to start calling Fran a terrible coach. While his Hawkeye teams have been pretty consistently unlucky, it's only four seasons, and that's simply not a big enough sample to make such bold claims. Looking at Kenpom's luck ratings (which, according to the eyeball test, seem to correlate pretty well with mine), Fran's non-Iowa teams had an average luck ranking of #109 in the country. That includes some good and bad years at UNC-Wilmington and Siena, but special mention goes to the 2005 season where his Seahawk team was the luckiest team in the country according to Kenpom. I might add that he parlayed that season into the head coaching gig at Siena the next year. So, it hasn't been all bad.
Also, I would point out how far this team has come in four years. Fran had them in the 80s and 90s according to THOR before seeing them shoot up into the top 25 last year and the top 10 this year. Sure, the luck thing is frustrating, but look how far this program has come in just four seasons.
Coach | THOR Rating | THOR Ranking | Luck | Luck Ranking | Wins | Losses | xWins | xLosses | Game Diff. |
Ryan 10-11 | 115 | #5 | 0.070 | #52 | 25 | 9 | 22.63 | 11.37 | 2.37 |
Ryan 11-12 | 115 | #6 | 0.011 | #136 | 26 | 10 | 25.60 | 10.40 | 0.40 |
Ryan 12-13 | 114 | #11 | 0.016 | #122 | 23 | 12 | 22.45 | 12.55 | 0.55 |
Ryan 13-14 | 112 | #10 | 0.110 | #21 | 24 | 5 | 20.81 | 8.19 | 3.19 |
4 Year Avg. | 114 | #8 | 0.052 | #83 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.63 |
Now, if anyone lives up to their reputation as a great coach, it's Bo Ryan. Over the last four seasons, his Wisconsin Badgers have outperformed their expected win total by about 2 games per year. They were close to middle of the pack in two of those years, but it's interesting to note that none of those four seasons were negative at all. Like I said, there's some damn sorcery going on in Madison.
Coach | THOR Rating | THOR Ranking | Luck | Luck Ranking | Wins | Losses | xWins | xLosses | Game Diff. |
Crean 10-11 | 106 | #74 | -0.165 | #336 | 12 | 20 | 17.27 | 14.73 | -5.27 |
Crean 11-12 | 113 | #9 | 0.057 | #60 | 27 | 9 | 24.94 | 11.06 | 2.06 |
Crean 12-13 | 118 | #3 | 0.087 | #37 | 29 | 7 | 25.87 | 10.13 | 3.13 |
Crean 13-14 | 106 | #60 | -0.110 | #328 | 17 | 12 | 20.18 | 8.82 | -3.18 |
4 Year Avg. | 111 | #37 | -0.033 | #191 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.82 |
Crean is a mixed bag. In two of the last four seasons his teams were extremely unlucky. I mean, holy crap, look at that 2010-2011 team. They were expected to win five more games than they did. And this year's team was right around -4 games until they beat Iowa and Ohio State. However, his numbers kind of balance themselves out (as you would expect randomness to do), as those two middle seasons saw his teams benefit from some pretty nice breaks. Unlike Ryan, four seasons worth of numbers don't seem to necessarily point to how good of a coach Crean is.
Coach | THOR Rating | THOR Ranking | Luck | Luck Ranking | Wins | Losses | xWins | xLosses | Game Diff. |
Hoiberg 10-11 | 105 | #77 | -0.186 | #341 | 16 | 16 | 21.96 | 10.04 | -5.96 |
Hoiberg 11-12 | 109 | #31 | 0.011 | #137 | 23 | 11 | 22.63 | 11.37 | 0.37 |
Hoiberg 12-13 | 110 | #27 | -0.067 | #271 | 23 | 12 | 25.35 | 9.65 | -2.35 |
Hoiberg 13-14 | 111 | #16 | 0.059 | #60 | 22 | 6 | 20.36 | 7.64 | 1.64 |
4 Year Avg. | 109 | #38 | -0.046 | #202 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -1.57 |
As for Fran's counterpart in Ames, I ended up including him because of those two very unlucky seasons you see above. Unless I'm mistaken, I thought the opinion's of Hoiberg were pretty high. And with his addition, I'm in no way saying he can't coach. Rather, I was just surprised to see those first and third seasons and an average of -1.57 wins per season. His team has seen better luck this year (as I'm sure we all remember how that game in Ames played out), so another good season next year and those numbers could be closer to Crean's Indiana teams.
Conclusion
To wrap this up, it would appear that, based on the numbers, the Big Ten is indeed full of Blood and Spiders this year. The toughness of the conference only makes the margin of error for winning a game that much smaller. That means a missed call by an official or a crappy bounce by an unfriendly rim can mean the difference between winning and losing a game even more than it would under different circumstances.
I know that some people have mentioned that the increased prevalence of advanced statistics has had a downtrodden effect on their enjoyment of this season thus far. The fact that the numbers think the Hawkeyes are so good, but the on-court product doesn't always quite live up those lofty rankings can be real frustrating. I get it. Sure, the hex put on our team's basketball season couldn't have come at a worse time (like, when Iowa had a shot at a Big Ten title). Sometimes, though, chance just plays a bigger role in how things work out than we like to think it does. I learned that lesson about four years ago with the 2009 and 2010 Iowa football teams. Luck happens. Sometimes it's good. Sometimes it's bad. Sometimes it's neither. In the end, though, it's best if we understand just how much of a factor it can play.
Bonus: Luck Rankings
Below are the rankings for all D-1 teams from luckiest to unluckiest. All stats are updated through Sunday, March 2nd.
Rank | Team | Luck |
1 | Abilene Christian | 0.268 |
2 | Tulane | 0.210 |
3 | Chicago St. | 0.196 |
4 | New Orleans | 0.165 |
5 | Utah Valley | 0.163 |
6 | TCU | 0.151 |
7 | Arkansas Pine Bluff | 0.146 |
8 | Arkansas Little Rock | 0.142 |
9 | Villanova | 0.138 |
10 | Syracuse | 0.135 |
11 | Incarnate Word | 0.135 |
12 | McNeese St. | 0.131 |
13 | North Florida | 0.127 |
14 | Florida | 0.123 |
15 | UMass Lowell | 0.121 |
16 | Arizona | 0.121 |
17 | San Jose St. | 0.120 |
18 | Loyola MD | 0.116 |
19 | Milwaukee | 0.115 |
20 | Nicholls St. | 0.113 |
21 | Wisconsin | 0.110 |
22 | Washington St. | 0.110 |
23 | High Point | 0.106 |
24 | South Florida | 0.102 |
25 | Tennessee Tech | 0.102 |
26 | South Dakota | 0.101 |
27 | Louisiana Monroe | 0.099 |
28 | Chattanooga | 0.097 |
29 | Western Kentucky | 0.097 |
30 | Miami OH | 0.096 |
31 | Missouri St. | 0.096 |
32 | Toledo | 0.096 |
33 | Kansas | 0.096 |
34 | Air Force | 0.096 |
35 | Massachusetts | 0.093 |
36 | UT Arlington | 0.090 |
37 | Lipscomb | 0.088 |
38 | UTSA | 0.086 |
39 | North Texas | 0.084 |
40 | UNC Greensboro | 0.082 |
41 | Texas | 0.081 |
42 | South Carolina St. | 0.081 |
43 | Montana St. | 0.080 |
44 | William & Mary | 0.077 |
45 | FIU | 0.075 |
46 | Grand Canyon | 0.072 |
47 | Pacific | 0.072 |
48 | UMKC | 0.070 |
49 | Eastern Illinois | 0.070 |
50 | North Dakota | 0.067 |
51 | Oklahoma | 0.066 |
52 | Wichita St. | 0.064 |
53 | VMI | 0.064 |
54 | Yale | 0.064 |
55 | Alabama St. | 0.062 |
56 | Saint Joseph's | 0.061 |
57 | UNC Asheville | 0.060 |
58 | Colorado | 0.060 |
59 | UNC Wilmington | 0.059 |
60 | Iowa St. | 0.059 |
61 | NJIT | 0.058 |
62 | Northwestern | 0.058 |
63 | San Francisco | 0.058 |
64 | USC | 0.058 |
65 | Savannah St. | 0.057 |
66 | IPFW | 0.057 |
67 | James Madison | 0.056 |
68 | Evansville | 0.056 |
69 | DePaul | 0.054 |
70 | Jacksonville | 0.054 |
71 | Sam Houston St. | 0.052 |
72 | Loyola Marymount | 0.052 |
73 | UC Davis | 0.051 |
74 | Norfolk St. | 0.049 |
75 | Alcorn St. | 0.049 |
76 | Northern Illinois | 0.049 |
77 | Alabama A&M | 0.048 |
78 | Mississippi Valley St. | 0.048 |
79 | Radford | 0.047 |
80 | Oakland | 0.047 |
81 | Rice | 0.047 |
82 | Sacramento St. | 0.046 |
83 | Mississippi St. | 0.045 |
84 | Saint Louis | 0.045 |
85 | Indiana St. | 0.045 |
86 | New Mexico | 0.044 |
87 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0.044 |
88 | Robert Morris | 0.043 |
89 | IUPUI | 0.043 |
90 | Samford | 0.043 |
91 | Northern Arizona | 0.041 |
92 | Florida A&M | 0.040 |
93 | Drake | 0.039 |
94 | UCF | 0.039 |
95 | Virginia | 0.038 |
96 | Coppin St. | 0.037 |
97 | San Diego St. | 0.036 |
98 | Howard | 0.036 |
99 | Wake Forest | 0.036 |
100 | Longwood | 0.036 |
101 | Creighton | 0.036 |
102 | St. Francis PA | 0.035 |
103 | North Carolina St. | 0.035 |
104 | Delaware | 0.033 |
105 | North Dakota St. | 0.033 |
106 | Winthrop | 0.032 |
107 | Ball St. | 0.031 |
108 | Rutgers | 0.030 |
109 | Boston University | 0.030 |
110 | Western Michigan | 0.029 |
111 | Prairie View A&M | 0.029 |
112 | Michigan | 0.029 |
113 | Campbell | 0.029 |
114 | Fordham | 0.029 |
115 | Hartford | 0.028 |
116 | Vanderbilt | 0.028 |
117 | Central Connecticut | 0.027 |
118 | East Carolina | 0.027 |
119 | Duke | 0.027 |
120 | Akron | 0.027 |
121 | Belmont | 0.026 |
122 | Lehigh | 0.024 |
123 | Illinois St. | 0.024 |
124 | Washington | 0.023 |
125 | North Carolina | 0.023 |
126 | Southeastern Louisiana | 0.022 |
127 | Nebraska | 0.021 |
128 | Pepperdine | 0.021 |
129 | Western Carolina | 0.020 |
130 | Houston | 0.019 |
131 | Navy | 0.019 |
132 | Rider | 0.018 |
133 | Central Michigan | 0.018 |
134 | LIU Brooklyn | 0.018 |
135 | Portland St. | 0.018 |
136 | Gardner Webb | 0.018 |
137 | Houston Baptist | 0.017 |
138 | Bryant | 0.017 |
139 | Coastal Carolina | 0.017 |
140 | Old Dominion | 0.017 |
141 | Morehead St. | 0.016 |
142 | Saint Peter's | 0.015 |
143 | South Dakota St. | 0.014 |
144 | Elon | 0.013 |
145 | Long Beach St. | 0.013 |
146 | South Alabama | 0.013 |
147 | Marist | 0.012 |
148 | Cornell | 0.012 |
149 | Furman | 0.011 |
150 | Quinnipiac | 0.010 |
151 | Providence | 0.009 |
152 | Xavier | 0.007 |
153 | Michigan St. | 0.007 |
154 | Fresno St. | 0.006 |
155 | Green Bay | 0.006 |
156 | Western Illinois | 0.006 |
157 | Cal St. Northridge | 0.005 |
158 | Jacksonville St. | 0.003 |
159 | Southern Miss | 0.003 |
160 | Siena | 0.002 |
161 | Santa Clara | 0.002 |
162 | Butler | -0.001 |
163 | Memphis | -0.001 |
164 | Central Arkansas | -0.001 |
165 | Wofford | -0.001 |
166 | Mount St. Mary's | -0.002 |
167 | Penn | -0.002 |
168 | Towson | -0.002 |
169 | Detroit | -0.002 |
170 | Cal Poly | -0.002 |
171 | Oregon St. | -0.004 |
172 | Appalachian St. | -0.004 |
173 | California | -0.004 |
174 | La Salle | -0.005 |
175 | UAB | -0.007 |
176 | Murray St. | -0.008 |
177 | Delaware St. | -0.008 |
178 | Baylor | -0.008 |
179 | Missouri | -0.010 |
180 | Austin Peay | -0.010 |
181 | East Tennessee St. | -0.010 |
182 | Charlotte | -0.010 |
183 | Florida Atlantic | -0.011 |
184 | Idaho | -0.012 |
185 | Troy | -0.012 |
186 | Southeast Missouri St. | -0.013 |
187 | George Washington | -0.014 |
188 | Maine | -0.014 |
189 | Youngstown St. | -0.014 |
190 | Boise St. | -0.014 |
191 | Eastern Washington | -0.014 |
192 | Connecticut | -0.016 |
193 | Richmond | -0.017 |
194 | Bowling Green | -0.017 |
195 | Kansas St. | -0.017 |
196 | North Carolina A&T | -0.017 |
197 | Arizona St. | -0.017 |
198 | St. Francis NY | -0.017 |
199 | Minnesota | -0.018 |
200 | San Diego | -0.018 |
201 | SIU Edwardsville | -0.018 |
202 | Cal St. Fullerton | -0.019 |
203 | Eastern Michigan | -0.019 |
204 | Texas Pan American | -0.020 |
205 | Manhattan | -0.021 |
206 | Valparaiso | -0.021 |
207 | Morgan St. | -0.021 |
208 | Boston College | -0.022 |
209 | Northern Colorado | -0.023 |
210 | Army | -0.023 |
211 | UMBC | -0.024 |
212 | UC Santa Barbara | -0.024 |
213 | Kent St. | -0.024 |
214 | Montana | -0.024 |
215 | Wagner | -0.025 |
216 | UC Riverside | -0.025 |
217 | Northwestern St. | -0.025 |
218 | Georgia | -0.025 |
219 | Bradley | -0.026 |
220 | Kennesaw St. | -0.026 |
221 | Stanford | -0.026 |
222 | Binghamton | -0.026 |
223 | Stetson | -0.027 |
224 | Monmouth | -0.028 |
225 | Nevada | -0.029 |
226 | Louisiana Lafayette | -0.029 |
227 | Cincinnati | -0.030 |
228 | Georgia Southern | -0.030 |
229 | Canisius | -0.030 |
230 | Georgia Tech | -0.032 |
231 | UTEP | -0.032 |
232 | Virginia Tech | -0.033 |
233 | VCU | -0.034 |
234 | Dayton | -0.034 |
235 | Illinois Chicago | -0.036 |
236 | Gonzaga | -0.036 |
237 | Holy Cross | -0.037 |
238 | Texas St. | -0.037 |
239 | BYU | -0.038 |
240 | Oregon | -0.038 |
241 | Texas A&M | -0.039 |
242 | Texas A&M Corpus Chris | -0.039 |
243 | Ohio | -0.040 |
244 | Fairfield | -0.040 |
245 | Purdue | -0.041 |
246 | Iona | -0.041 |
247 | Kentucky | -0.041 |
248 | Seattle | -0.042 |
249 | UCLA | -0.042 |
250 | Pittsburgh | -0.043 |
251 | Hampton | -0.047 |
252 | Eastern Kentucky | -0.048 |
253 | Saint Mary's | -0.048 |
254 | Middle Tennessee | -0.049 |
255 | Tennessee Martin | -0.049 |
256 | Illinois | -0.050 |
257 | Albany | -0.050 |
258 | Florida Gulf Coast | -0.051 |
259 | Georgetown | -0.052 |
260 | Marquette | -0.053 |
261 | Stony Brook | -0.054 |
262 | Penn St. | -0.055 |
263 | UC Irvine | -0.055 |
264 | Hofstra | -0.055 |
265 | Texas Southern | -0.059 |
266 | Mississippi | -0.060 |
267 | Northern Kentucky | -0.061 |
268 | Weber St. | -0.063 |
269 | Alabama | -0.065 |
270 | Jackson St. | -0.065 |
271 | Drexel | -0.065 |
272 | Princeton | -0.065 |
273 | Cleveland St. | -0.065 |
274 | Lafayette | -0.065 |
275 | The Citadel | -0.065 |
276 | Ohio St. | -0.066 |
277 | Rhode Island | -0.067 |
278 | Dartmouth | -0.067 |
279 | LSU | -0.068 |
280 | Florida St. | -0.068 |
281 | Nebraska Omaha | -0.068 |
282 | Arkansas St. | -0.069 |
283 | Southern Illinois | -0.071 |
284 | SMU | -0.072 |
285 | Bucknell | -0.074 |
286 | Colorado St. | -0.074 |
287 | Duquesne | -0.076 |
288 | Utah St. | -0.076 |
289 | Hawaii | -0.077 |
290 | College of Charleston | -0.077 |
291 | Northeastern | -0.077 |
292 | USC Upstate | -0.078 |
293 | New Hampshire | -0.078 |
294 | Wyoming | -0.078 |
295 | Southern | -0.079 |
296 | Notre Dame | -0.079 |
297 | St. John's | -0.079 |
298 | Stephen F. Austin | -0.079 |
299 | Maryland Eastern Shore | -0.080 |
300 | Idaho St. | -0.080 |
301 | Southern Utah | -0.082 |
302 | Wright St. | -0.082 |
303 | Bethune Cookman | -0.083 |
304 | Oral Roberts | -0.083 |
305 | Presbyterian | -0.084 |
306 | George Mason | -0.085 |
307 | Temple | -0.086 |
308 | Loyola Chicago | -0.087 |
309 | South Carolina | -0.088 |
310 | Maryland | -0.089 |
311 | Davidson | -0.091 |
312 | Miami FL | -0.091 |
313 | Marshall | -0.092 |
314 | Buffalo | -0.094 |
315 | Tennessee St. | -0.095 |
316 | Columbia | -0.096 |
317 | Auburn | -0.097 |
318 | Niagara | -0.099 |
319 | Harvard | -0.100 |
320 | Brown | -0.101 |
321 | Northern Iowa | -0.102 |
322 | Denver | -0.102 |
323 | Texas Tech | -0.103 |
324 | Clemson | -0.103 |
325 | Grambling St. | -0.104 |
326 | Georgia St. | -0.105 |
327 | Arkansas | -0.109 |
328 | Indiana | -0.110 |
329 | Cal St. Bakersfield | -0.114 |
330 | Liberty | -0.116 |
331 | Lamar | -0.117 |
332 | Iowa | -0.126 |
333 | Louisville | -0.126 |
334 | Utah | -0.129 |
335 | West Virginia | -0.130 |
336 | Tennessee | -0.133 |
337 | Seton Hall | -0.134 |
338 | Oklahoma St. | -0.135 |
339 | Charleston Southern | -0.137 |
340 | UNLV | -0.141 |
341 | American | -0.142 |
342 | Tulsa | -0.142 |
343 | New Mexico St. | -0.143 |
344 | St. Bonaventure | -0.149 |
345 | Portland | -0.149 |
346 | Sacred Heart | -0.163 |
347 | Mercer | -0.180 |
348 | Louisiana Tech | -0.183 |
349 | Colgate | -0.196 |
350 | North Carolina Central | -0.205 |
351 | Vermont | -0.229 |