FanPost

[UPDATED 12/27/13 WITH RESULTS] Super Prediction Action Machine Goes Bowling! (Week of December 15, 2013)

(Updated SPAM Record as of 12-27-13: Winner: 9-5 O/U: 8-6 Spread: 7-7)

SPAM is participating in the BHGP pool! Since the games start tomorrow and my picks are locked in, below are SPAM's picks for spread, O/U, and winner, compared to Vegas. I made SPAM's confidence picks by assigning highest confidence to largest margin of victory, and so on.

I think we'll discover one of SPAM's major weaknesses here, which is that SPAM doesn't do well where teams lack common opponents, which is often the case with these bowl matchups.

UPSET SPECIALS

SPAM has a number of upsets called, chief among them being:

  • Fresno St over USC (Vegas favors USC by 6)
  • Boise State over Oregon State( Vegas has Oregon State a 3 point favorite)
  • Georgia Tech (Vegas says Ole Miss by 5)
  • Rice over Mississippi State (Vegas has Mississippi State winning by 7) Sparty over Stanford (Vegas favors the Cardinal by 4.5)
  • Oklahoma State over Mizzou (it's basically a coin flip anyway)

The strikethroughs are games where SPAM whiffed on picking the winner, the bold/underlines are where SPAM was correct.

SPAM SAYS VEGAS SAYS
Date Bowl Matchup Spread Winner Points Spread Winner Points
12/21/2013 Buffalo v. San Diego St. -7 Buffalo 56 -1.0 San Diego St. 51.0
12/21/2013 Southern California v. Fresno St. -6 Fresno St. 64 -6.0 Southern California 63.0
12/21/2013 Washington St. v. Colorado St. -4 Colorado St. 63 -4.5 Washington St. 66.0
12/21/2013 Tulane v. La.-Lafayette -1 La.-Lafayette 53 -1.5 Tulane 49.5
12/23/2013 east Carolina v. Ohio -8 east Carolina 61 -13.5 East Carolina 62.0
12/24/2013 Oregon St. v. Boise St. -7 Boise St. 65 -3.0 Oregon State 64.0
12/26/2013 Bowling Green v. Pittsburgh -13 Bowling Green 51 -5.0 Bowling Green 50.0
12/26/2013 Northern Ill. v. Utah St. -1 Utah St. 58 -1.5 Northern Ill. 58.0
12/27/2013 Marshall v. maryland -11 Marshall 60 -2.5 Marshall 62.0
12/27/2013 Minnesota v. Syracuse -4 Minnesota 49 -4.0 Minnesota 47.5
12/27/2013 Washington v. BYU -3 Washington 57 -3.0 washington 60.0
12/28/2013 Louisville v. Miami (FL) -9 Louisville 53 -3.5 Louisville 56.5
12/28/2013 North Carolina v. Cincinnati -5 Cincinnati 54 -3.0 North Carolina 56.5
12/28/2013 Notre Dame v. Rutgers -4 Notre Dame 53 -15.5 Notre Dame 52.5
12/28/2013 Kansas St. v. Michigan -2 Kansas St. 59 -3.5 Kansas St. 55.5
12/30/2013 Oregon v. Texas -12 Oregon 64 -13.5 Oregon 67.0
12/30/2013 Arizona St. v. Texas Tech -6 Arizona St. 68 -14.0 Arizona State 71.0
12/30/2013 Ole Miss v. Georgia Tech -5 Georgia Tech 57 -3.0 Ole Miss 56.5
12/30/2013 Navy v. Middle Tenn. -2 Navy 59 -6.0 Navy 55.0
12/31/2013 Texas A&M v. Duke -5 Texas A&M 67 -12.5 Texas A&M 74.5
12/31/2013 Arizona v. Boston College -4 Arizona 57 -7.5 Arizona 57.0
12/31/2013 Mississippi St. v. Rice -3 Rice 52 -7.0 Mississippi St. 50.5
12/31/2013 UCLA v. Virginia Tech -2 UCLA 49 -7.0 UCLA 47.0
1/1/2014 Baylor v. UCF -13 Baylor 66 -16.5 Baylor 68.5
1/1/2014 North Texas v. UNLV -8 North Texas 55 -6.5 North Texas 54.5
1/1/2014 Wisconsin v. South Carolina -4 Wisconsin 50 -1.0 Wisconsin 51.0
1/1/2014 LSU v. Iowa -2 LSU 52 -7.5 LSU 49.0
1/1/2014 Stanford v. Michigan St. -2 Michigan St. 44 -4.5 Stanford 43.0
1/1/2014 Georgia v. Nebraska -1 Georgia 64 -9.0 Georgia 60.5
1/2/2014 Alabama v. Oklahoma -11 Alabama 50 -15.5 Alabama 51.5
1/3/2014 Ohio St. v. Clemson -4 Ohio St. 67 -2.5 Ohio St. 68.0
1/3/2014 Missouri v. Oklahoma St. -3 Oklahoma St. 61 -1.0 Missouri 60.5
1/4/2014 Vanderbilt v. Houston -6 Houston 54 -2.5 Vanderbilt 54.0
1/5/2014 Ball St. v. Arkansas St. -7 Ball St. 62 -8.5 Ball St. 64.0
1/6/2014 Florida St. v. Auburn -19 Florida St. 64 -8.5 Florida St. 67.0

Based on this, you can calculate where SPAM says to take the over versus the under. I'll post that up later but mostly I wanted to get SPAM's picks down before the games start. Afterwards we'll see how much money you would have won or lost if you bet on SPAM. Which requires somebody to explain to me how to calculate the payouts because I have no idea, I don't bet on sports.

UPDATE 12/22/2013

SPAM went 2-2 across the board on the first day of bowl play, correctly calling 2 winners, 2 spreads, and 2 O/Us. All four of today's games were among the 12 upsets SPAM predicted, including Washington State's remarkable meltdown in the second half.

  • Buffalo v. San Diego St. -- SPAM was WRONG on winner, WRONG on spread, RIGHT on the over
  • Fresno State v. USC - SPAM was WRONG on winner, WRONG on spread, RIGHT on the over.
  • Washington St. v. Colorado St. - SPAM was RIGHT on the winner, RIGHT on the spread, WRONG on the under (note: I entered this pick incorrectly on the Yahoo Pick 'Em)
  • Tulane v. LA-Lafayette - SPAM was RIGHT on the winner, RIGHT on the spread, WRONG on the under

UPDATE 12/23/2013

  • Ohio v. East Carolina -- SPAM was RIGHT on winner, WRONG on spread, RIGHT on the under

UPDATE 12/24/2013

  • Boise State v. Oregon State -- SPAM was WRONG across the board!

UPDATE 12/27/2013

  • Pitt v. Bowling Green - SPAM was WRONG on winner and spread, RIGHT on the over
  • Utah State v. N Illinois - SPAM was RIGHT on the winner and spread, WRONG on the over
  • Marshall v. Maryland -- By far SPAM's best performance, SPAM was RIGHT on the winner, RIGHT on the spread, and RIGHT on the under. Note that the Vegas line was about 1-2 on this game. SPAM said Marshall by 11, and the final score was 31-20 Marshall.

      Unless otherwise expressly indicated by BHGP editors, this FanPost is strictly the viewpoint of the author and is not endorsed by BHGP in any way.

      X
      Log In Sign Up

      forgot?
      Log In Sign Up

      Forgot password?

      We'll email you a reset link.

      If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

      Forgot password?

      Try another email?

      Almost done,

      Join Black Heart Gold Pants

      You must be a member of Black Heart Gold Pants to participate.

      We have our own Community Guidelines at Black Heart Gold Pants. You should read them.

      Join Black Heart Gold Pants

      You must be a member of Black Heart Gold Pants to participate.

      We have our own Community Guidelines at Black Heart Gold Pants. You should read them.

      Spinner

      Authenticating

      Great!

      Choose an available username to complete sign up.

      In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

      tracking_pixel_9347_tracker