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Fran-Graphs, Illinois

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[Photo credit: Bradley Leeb, US Presswire]

Meyers Leonard. Meyers Leonard. Say it loud and there's music playing, say it soft and it's almost like praying. The man with the most-WASP-y name in the Big Ten* and the face of a 12 year-old completely dominated Iowa yesterday. How do you solve a problem like Meyers Leonard? On offense, on defense, on the boards, Iowa had no answers for a 7'1" player with Leonard's speed and strength. He made his presence felt shortly after coming in: first, he altered a Basabe layup with his size and grabbed the rebound, then he drew a double-team on the offensive end and passed it off for an easy layup, then he erased a sure Basabe dunk, blocked a Bryce Cartwright layup, and forced Matt Gatens to hesitate in the lane and travel. Those last three plays on defense, in particular, seemed to change Iowa's approach to the rest of the game. The Hawks were not nearly as aggressive in the paint from that point on, and their offense suffered as a result.

* Thanks to Ross for this observation. Oddly enough, though, Leonard Meyers would be one of the more Jewish names in the Big Ten.

Winning on the road in the Big Ten is hard, for a variety of reasons, but the plain fact is that a road team has to play several points better than they would at home if they want to have a chance to win. For a team like Iowa, that usually means playing perfectly, and against Illinois, Iowa did not play perfectly. They turned the ball over carelessly too many times, shot an abysmal percentage from the field, and got torched on their full-court press. Despite another outstanding game from Matt Gatens (22 points on just 11 shots, 5-7 from three), the Hawks lost decisively, 65-54.

Which is a shame, because Iowa actually played a very solid defensive game. They held Illinois to an eFG% of just 43.9% and an offensive efficiency of less than a point per possession. And for all the damage Leonard did in the first half (15 points on 4-7 FG, 7-7 FT), Iowa generally did an excellent job of compensating for their lack of size with crisp defensive rotation and a heaping helping of fronting.

Star-divide

IOWA

(2/26)

ILL.

(2/26)

IOWA

(season)

ILL. (season)

Pts/poss

.81

.97

1.05

.990

eFG%

40.4%

43.9%

50.0%

49.9%

DR%

59.2%

80.0%

69.5%

73.3%

OR%

20.0%

40.8%

32.0%

29.9%

TO%

25.5%

25.5%

17.8%

20.0%

No, the loss is not the fault of the team's defense -- offense and offensive rebounding were the culprits here. Iowa started well on offense, scoring five points in the first minute of the game, then went seven minutes before scoring again. The game was marked by long scoring droughts on Iowa's side: six times the Hawks went two minutes or more between scores. The cause of Iowa's struggles was three-fold: 1) Leonard's presence in the paint, 2) turnovers, and 3) very solid perimeter defense by Illinois. To take the last point first, this was partially a case of Iowa getting the sour of home court advantage after tasting only the sweet for the last two games. The refs weren't calling much incidental contact (Illinois got its sixth foul of the game with nine minutes left in the second half), and that meant that Gatens spent the majority of the game with an Illinois player's hand on his jersey. But the Illini also did a very good job of closing out on Gatens on the perimeter and forcing him to put the ball on the court, and credit there goes to two players: D.J. Richardson, for chasing Gatens all game and giving him zero air space, and Leonard, for shutting down the paint and allowing Richardson to pressure with impunity.

It's amazing that Gatens scored 22 points and made five threes considering all the attention that Illinois gave him, but it still wasn't nearly enough. Iowa needed a second player to step up and provide some scoring, but it never happened. At a certain point in the second half, Fran McCaffery seemed to realize that getting Gatens open was a lost cause and ordered Josh Oglesby to do his best Gatens impression. Oglesby made a valiant effort, scoring all nine of his points in the second half and nailing several tough pull up jumpers, but the scoring just wasn't there from the rest of the team: Iowa got just one point from their bench and struggled to score inside, with their front line players shooting a collective 4-16 from the field.

In many ways this was the kind of loss Iowa fans expected from the team going into the year. Not a loss due to shoddy perimeter defense and three-point shots (as so many of Iowa's losses have been), but rather due to a lack of front court size. Leonard and Tyler Griffey formed a brick wall in the paint and deterred Iowa from even attempting forays to the basket, then locked down the rebound when Iowa missed from the perimeter (which was more often than not). And on the offensive end, Leonard and Griffey kept several possessions alive for the Illini by reaching over the heads of Iowa's players and knocking the ball back out to the perimeter. Illinois dominated the defensive and offensive boards and the pair of Leonard and Griffey finished with a combined 10 offensive rebounds.

Despite all that, Iowa still found itself with a shot in this game. They were down just four points with 13 minutes left and by six with three minutes left. Missed shots and turnovers killed any hope for a comeback. Cartwright, in particular, hurt Iowa's momentum with two inexcusable unforced turnovers in the second half. On the first, he tried to hit Aaron White on a court length pass that forced White out of bounds, and on the second, he fired a pass on the break between two men who weren't looking for the ball. He was not seen for the rest of the game, which was telling. Turnovers were a problem all game for the Hawks, though -- Marble had six -- so this wasn't exclusively a Cartwright problem. Those two were just particularly galling because of when they happened and the fact that they were totally unforced.*

* You can usually see the general idea Cartwright is going for on his passes, and almost always it's a really cool idea -- or it would be if it worked -- the execution just isn't there. Cartwright seems to be caught in a typical trap for the struggling player: he makes a mistake, gets benched, then feels the pressure to make up for it by doing something amazing later on. When that fails, he gets benched again, and the cycle continues. This pattern has played out at times with several Iowa players: Cartwright, Melshan Basabe, Eric May, even Andrew Brommer.

Iowa's full-court press also backfired badly in this game. My recollection is that it forced one turnover and led to four Illinois dunks or layups. I could have those totals wrong, but the overall effect of the press was not positive. The problem was that too often the player Iowa chose to trap in the backcourt was Leonard. He simply raised the ball over his head, surveyed the court, and broke the press by himself. He is a tall, tall dude, and Iowa had nobody who could even try to get in his face. It would be interesting to see the numbers on the year, but my guess would be that Iowa's press has been a net negative on the year. Against certain teams and at home it can do wonders, but on the road or against patient teams, it has served more often than not as an injection of instant offense for the opposition.

But all the problems with the press, the offensive struggles, and many of the turnovers had their origin in one guy: Meyers Leonard. Iowa can do a number of things well, but they have no answer for an NBA-ready 7'1" big man. He changed the game in all its aspects -- offense, defense and rebounding -- and allowed his team to play very aggressively on the perimeter. Add in some very physical defense by Illinois and Iowa's meager scoring output is easy to understand. Until Iowa gets some more size or guards who can fight through a good pummeling on the perimeter, they'll be hard-pressed to win many games on the road in the Big Ten.

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Last time I saw Cartwright get benched, Fran looked back and repeated "Not your fault"

Maybe I’m missing something, but those turnovers kinda looked like Cartwright’s fault to me

You got no fear of the underdog; That's why you will not survive!

by YouCanPutYourEddsInIt on Feb 27, 2012 10:36 AM CST reply actions  

I read his lips on that too

and was thinking about why it wouldn’t be his fault. Maybe because the second turnover was pretty much because Cartwright and the other two guys weren’t on the same page. That could be expected to happen when you aren’t practicing with them much for a couple weeks because you’re injured.

Or, maybe it was because Fran asked him to push, push, push to try to get Illinois on their heels and he was out of control because of what Fran asked him to do.

Possibly a combination of the two. Trying to push too fast when he wasn’t on the same page as his teammates.

BOOM 4-3 cover 2! Deal with that!

by 99playsNAblitzaint1 on Feb 27, 2012 10:55 AM CST up reply actions  

There was WAY too much rushed play on Iowa's part, and it led to upteen turnovers.

It also made the punchable Meyers Leonard look like a beast. One extra pass on a few of those breaks would have drastically changed the game.

You got no fear of the underdog; That's why you will not survive!

by YouCanPutYourEddsInIt on Feb 27, 2012 11:10 AM CST up reply actions  

If I was casting the asshole jock in a sports movie...

Leonard would be near the top of my list thanks to that face.

"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"

by RossWB on Feb 27, 2012 11:15 AM CST up reply actions  

I love Paris, in fact I love France

but the French are weird, or at least French film artists are weird.

"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.

by StoopsMyAss on Feb 27, 2012 10:39 AM CST reply actions  

Leonard Meyers.

I was all “he should be making a lot of two footers when he is 6 inches taller than everyone”. Then I checked his numbers against some other good big men, Sullinger, Zeller, et al….yeah he’s pretty good. I guess.

Also, I hate to be blasphemous, but Gus Johnson had quickly become more of an annoyance than am attraction, IMO.

"You're going to go out there with a dick full of confidence. Then, you're going to go out there and shoot that confidence all over the stadium." -Blue Mountain State

by Hawkaloogie on Feb 27, 2012 10:44 AM CST via Android app reply actions  

If you count "Iowa offensive decisions altered by his mere presence," then I'm pretty sure Leonard had a triple double, too.

"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"

by RossWB on Feb 27, 2012 10:55 AM CST reply actions  

Last night left me

totally wishing Iowa had a 7 foot guy that was a future NBA player or was at least bringing one in for next year.

/creepy’d

BOOM 4-3 cover 2! Deal with that!

by 99playsNAblitzaint1 on Feb 27, 2012 10:57 AM CST up reply actions  

It's a shame Woodbury is busy trying to lead Sioux City East to a state title in a few weeks.

"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"

by RossWB on Feb 27, 2012 10:59 AM CST up reply actions  

I have not seen Woodbury play

but typically with 7-footers the come to college about 50 lbs too light and often without the refined skills (because they are so much more taller than their H.S. competition) needed to be effective right away.

Would that be a fair description of Woodbury? Or should we expect him to come in and be effective right away? Can he run the court? Is he a leaper? Good hands? Anyone seen this kid played extended minutes? (There is always a highlight reel but they are misleading because they don’t show the full player)

"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.

by StoopsMyAss on Feb 27, 2012 11:33 AM CST up reply actions  

Agree with the talent level of most centers/7 footers

They usually need to incubate. I think mostly that’s because, as you say, they’re so tall they don’t need other skills to dominate. I suspect many are recruited simply because they’re really really tall and don’t have a ton of talent to start with (cough cough Les Jepsen cough).

Even if all he could do is stand in front of the hoop and put his hands up, it would be a welcome site. However, it sounds like Woodbury is better than most. He was the MVP of one of the all-star games that was full of D1 talent. In his case, it sounds like he can do other things besides standing in front of the hoop, but he also looks light.

BOOM 4-3 cover 2! Deal with that!

by 99playsNAblitzaint1 on Feb 27, 2012 11:51 AM CST up reply actions  

I haven't seen him play...

But his accolades aren’t all a result of dominating smaller competition in HS; he’s apparently excelled in the AAU scene against more skilled players and earned some MVP honors at some big-time summer camp(s).

That said, I don’t expect him to come in and take the Big Ten by storm — by all accounts, he’s not a Zeller-level talent. I still think he’d be a nice guy to have, though, and someone who will likely play quite a bit next year.

"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"

by RossWB on Feb 27, 2012 12:19 PM CST up reply actions  

Woodbury will help...

but people need to temper expectations for his first year. Leonard was higher-rated than Woodbury coming in and Leonard basically contributed next to nothing last year for the Illini. Part of that was that Illinois had a senior 7-footer (Tisdale) who was playing, but part of that was Leonard struggled.

Having seen Woodbury for most of a game in person and bits of others on video, my impression is that he is quite skilled, and moves well for a guy his size (though he’s not as fluid in his movements right now as Leonard). He uses either hand well near the basket, and has decent touch out to 12 feet or so. While he needs to gain weight/strength, he could be a positive influence on defense right now for Iowa. With another summer of conditioning and development, I’m very excited to see him play for Iowa. At the minimum, he will provide an immediate boost to the interior defense. Offensively, I would guess he will have games where he looks very good and others where he struggles a lot.

Of course, given Iowa fans’ tendency to put expectations rather high, there will be a segment of the fan base that will consider him an underachiever unless he averages a double-double right out of the gate. I’m very excited to see what he can offer next year, but extremely excited about his long-term potential with Iowa.

by DodgerHawki on Feb 27, 2012 12:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Apologies for too many references to

“excited” in my post. Too much caffeine today.

by DodgerHawki on Feb 27, 2012 12:38 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree.

Where Woodbury helps next year is interior defense and rebounding. Size is a huge issue for Iowa right now and Woodbury is an immediate upgrade. The points will come, eventually, but shot altering and rebounds should improve right away next year.

by The Mexican't on Feb 27, 2012 12:39 PM CST up reply actions  

Woodbury is a fairly different player from Leonard.

The scouting report on Leonard out of high school was that he was an incredible athlete for his size and had an enormous ceiling but was sorely lacking in fundamentals and offensive polish. He was a defensive center who had the potential to develop an offensive game but really had no moves outside of dunking the ball from 2 feet.

Woodbury, on the other hand, is not an elite athlete for his size. He actually does run the court quite well (which will be great in our offense), but he’s not as quick as Leonard and not much of a leaper. He’s never been an exceptional shot blocker for his size in comparison to a guy like Leonard or Thabeet, though by merely sitting his 7’1" frame in the paint he’ll alter plenty of shots. He is, however, very polished on offense and very fundamentally sound. He has excellent footwork and a well developed baby hook from either hand that is pretty much unstoppable once he gets established. He sees the court well and is an excellent passer in the post when he is double teamed. He can stand to put on some weight, but he’s stronger than the impression given around here would indicate. He’s no Erek Hansen and, like I said, he’s bigger and stronger than Leonard was out of high school—he’s strong enough to be effective in the post as a freshman.

7 footers almost always struggle to adjust to big time college basketball because they’re often not used to playing anyone within 6 inches of them in high school. However, because Woodbury is relatively polished and developed offensively (something that is rare even among highly ranked high school 7 footers), I think he has a better chance to contribute early on offense than a guy like Leonard. Woody actually tended to perform better when he was playing against better competition in AAU ball and in the NBA camp because teams tried to play him straight up and couldn’t get away with mugging him all game with a bunch of 6’4" posts like they do in high school.

by Tophawkeye on Feb 27, 2012 3:33 PM CST up reply actions  

The good thing is that hopefully he won't have to do it alone. Hopefully.

Olaseni will have some extra experience/muscle and Meyer is also technically a center, right?

by rupertj on Feb 27, 2012 5:40 PM CST up reply actions  

I think Meyer is technically a 4

Most reports I’ve seen indicate he’s a face-up 4 instead of a traditional back-to-the-basket guy.

Hopefully he has help down there next year. The front line could be pretty good with Woodbury, Olaseni, Meyer, Basabe, McCabe, and White. That’s a deep, tall front court that can attack you in a lot of ways. Big summer for a guy like Olaseni – he could be the missing defensive piece in the middle that this team really needs.

Comedy is where the mind goes to tickle itself.

by Nickhawk08 on Feb 28, 2012 1:24 PM CST up reply actions  

I expect him to average 15 ppg, 17 rpg and 9 bpg from day 1!

/extreme sarcasm

As has been stated, having a true center at the back of our defense will make the whole thing run smoother. If he can average about 8-10 points and 7-12 rebounds a game as a freshman, it’ll be a good start. A few big games points, boards and blocks wise would be nice to see.

"HOW'S IT HANGIN, SLAPNUTS!"

by Swarley on Feb 27, 2012 2:21 PM CST up reply actions  

You mean the decision to abandon all shots within 16' of the basket in the halfcourt offense?

I loved that approach.

"Shh, I don't want this notion that I can be level-headed getting around it will totally ruin my online rep" - HoyaGoon

by PackerHawk on Feb 27, 2012 11:21 AM CST up reply actions  

Our defense lately has been night and day better from early in the year.

If we had even average games from White and Marble we win that game, which is pretty amazing considering how much less talented we should be than Illinois right now. Leonard really impacted that game, but with just a few less TO’s and hitting a few more of our open shots and we come out with the W, which is still incredible to me given how awful we looked around the Campbell game.

by Tophawkeye on Feb 27, 2012 3:36 PM CST reply actions  

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