The Big Ten Betting Extravaganza: Week 4
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 24, 2010 12:00 PM CDT
in Iowa Hawkeyes Football
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PrintAnother week, another half point loss. Something tells me those oddsmaker bastards know what they're doing.
Last week's poll results were clear. We think Minnesota sucks. And fair enough. Any reasonable person would draw the same conclusion. Unfortunately, USC isn't exactly a powerhouse this year either. They did have an 18 point lead halfway through the 4th quarter.......but the game isn't over until the bookies say so. A meaningless touchdown with 16 fucking seconds left sealed the fate of thousands of gamblers across the land. Coincidence? Horseshit. Enjoy your new Ferrari, Lane Kiffin.
I realize this isn't Lane Kiffin. It still feels appropriate, though.
But hey, let's shake off last week's loss and focus on this weekend's cupcastic Big Ten schedule. There's not a whole lot to say here, really. Can the big boys roll or is this a week of moral victories for the MAC? I'm not going to tell you who I like so as not to taint the vote. Control group, bitches. I'm a motherfucking scientist.
Let's get a win here, shall we?
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Tough call between NIU and Bowling Green, but I lean toward NIU. Nobody who loses to South Dakota should be giving points to a decent MAC team.
I’m also surprised you put the Indiana-Akron under on the poll but not the over. That seems like a no-defense special to me.
I ran out of poll room
Plus I figured that even for as bad as Indiana’s defense may be, they shouldn’t give up a lot of points to a shitty Akron team that only mustered 3 against Syracuse and 10 versus Kentucky.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 24, 2010 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions
I voted Penn State but...
I would take Akron +23. I know they suck but I have confidence in Indiana to play down to their level.
Ahhhhemm... not to brag or anything, but...
Recall that I predicted OSU over Ohio by more than 31 last week (it was 36 points, but who’s counting). Sweater vest loves the “style” points.
This week I’m taking our most hated rival Purdue to wallop Temple by 2 TD’s. A rock solid, take it to the bank bet.
by Stay thirsty, my friends. on Sep 24, 2010 12:22 PM CDT reply actions
I guarantee Purdue won't score a TD against Temple
Since Temple plays PSU
by PackerHawk on Sep 24, 2010 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Everyone is getting into the act.
First, Penn State is favored to beat Temple and, in the same week, Purdue is going to beat them also? Talk about kicking a program while they’re down. What a shitty week to be Temple.
by Abbas_Cincinnatus on Sep 24, 2010 12:53 PM CDT up reply actions
Temple is getting airlocked this week by 2 B10 programs.
by HawkeyeRecon on Sep 24, 2010 1:13 PM CDT up reply actions
Hell
let’s throw in Indiana and give them the Delaney Shocker.
by IDontUnderStanzi on Sep 24, 2010 1:48 PM CDT up reply actions
Ooohhh... epic fail!
You say Toledo, I say Temple.
I hate Purdue even more now, and that goes for the chickens too.
by Stay thirsty, my friends. on Sep 24, 2010 12:56 PM CDT up reply actions
I don't so much look for juicy lines
because I realize that my simpleton mind is severely outclassed by Vegas. I look for big name programs that are given points not based on the strength of their team but on the strength of their name and vice versa (see Minnesota vs. USC).
Temple is better than people think…and Penn St isn’t as good as people think. Vegas knows this and undoubtedly set the line accordingly.
The other line that intrigues me is Oregon St +17.5 vs. Boise St. I think it’s too good to be true…although I can’t for the life of me understand how a 25K stadium that will house a fair number of visiting fans and has blue turf is more intimidating than stadiums that house at least twice that amount and have normal looking grass.
Boise covers or losses
I don’t see a lot of middle there…
"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.
Not so sure
The other “actual” games they’ve played have been close (not counting their cream-puff conference and cream-puff non-conference games). This year is strange in that they play TWO non-bowl games rather than their usual one regular season game/one bowl game schedule.
2010:
VTech: 33-30
2009:
TCU (bowl): 17-7
Oregon: 19-8
2008:
TCU (bowl): 16-17 (loss)
Oregon: 37-32
by KinnickNorthHawk on Sep 24, 2010 1:40 PM CDT up reply actions
Additionally
when you consider the variance in QB play between these two teams…it could end up being a close game that goes Boise’s way. Oregon St is breaking in a new SO QB this year while Boise has an experienced SR at QB which comes in handy in close games especially on a national stage.
Kellen Moore is a junior...
third year starter. But I see your point. I think Oregon State is incapable of playing defense, and that plays into Boise’s hands. They have an offensive mindset. they are not afraid to win a game 42-41.
If Oregon State can get some lucky bounces and turnovers and get a 14 point lead in the 4th quarter then I could see them eeking it out. Otherwise, blowout.
"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.
I agree
this game is going to be a crapshoot could be a blowout either way or a close game…it’s just tough to say. Although the Vegas line should tell you something. I’m having a hard time remembering a time when I thought Vegas was way off on a game and they actually were.
Iowa v. Penn State 2009
we were a 10 point dog, we won by 11.
Georgia Tech v. Iowa 2010 we were 4 point dogs and won by 10 and should have won by more. Both wrong by many points. Vegas is wildly wrong plenty.
"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.
I bet on Iowa both of those games
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 25, 2010 12:06 AM CDT up reply actions
I already took Oregon State on principle alone.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 24, 2010 2:31 PM CDT up reply actions
Yes
Totally forgot to mention this. This was infuriating and fucking senseless.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 24, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions
THAT...one thing that Kiffin did you found infuriating and senseless?
You need to get to know the Kifster.
"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.
I think it was mainly infuriating and senseless because HFMR had the over.
"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"
Or USC covering
Which they would have if they’d kicked even one of those instead of failing at two-point tries.
With this guy runnning the show I wouldn't EVER put hard earned money on USC.
"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.
someday a gambler will set him straight
I was surprised at Kiffin going for 2 EVERY F@#$ing time. he was going for 2 like he was playing xbox. it is surprising and I thought
…“vegas knows”
box score says he went for the 2 pt. conversion 3 out of 5 times failing thrice out of thri—- (thry?)
3 PAT’s and they cover. Doesn’t there have to be a big money gambler in LA who will set Kiffin straight on PAT’s? it is really a PATtern with him. (ho ha! im a FUNNYMAN )
i don’t gamble on sports but i was watching that score. Living in the twincities, its hard not to.
Also, wearing the black and gold this week was hard, with the Iowa loss (at first i was like :( and still im :( ) and gophers acting like they won (they covered, right?)
Wish I was in Iowa City more often, someone drink a Bloody Mary at the Deadwood for me. love them hawk EYEs!!!!
by Burge4517in1983 on Sep 24, 2010 8:54 PM CDT up reply actions
I generally suck at this
But based on the results so far, I’m almost sure BG can stay within 25 of Michigan the way that defense has looked so far.
I was hoping for the over on Mich./BGU would be on the list.
70+ points here we come.
"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me
by BStylin Hawkye on Sep 24, 2010 1:52 PM CDT up reply actions
That would be my call
It never gets to be easy
by chitownhawkeye on Sep 24, 2010 1:55 PM CDT up reply actions
dont like any of them...
theres just too much seperation in all field talent for most of these games, which makes it hard to justify the spreads, either way. I think that the safest bet this week would be the jNW to cover the TD. OR the indiana game to cover the over (hoosiers FB will score more than their BB team this year)
"He was the one that didn't give us a touchdown, ... He didn't officiate for us again." ...Hayden Fry
by chuck longs mom on Sep 24, 2010 12:58 PM CDT reply actions
couldn't agree more
jNW will cover pretty easily. No insightful analysis… just feel it in my bones. Also, where’s that fucker who bet on Iowa with a bookie last week and jinxed us? I’ll take the opposite of what he bets for $1,000 Alex.
How much of a talent difference is there between Michigan's D and BGSU's O?
After the UMass game, I would say not much.
Stone cold lock of the weekend is
actually the Iowa City police department over 136 alcohol related tickets….
I'd definitely take the over on that.
Or the under on the Iowa-Iowa State “People Tased in the student section”, provided it was set at at least one.
I'm gonna give her my "D" face. Deeeee, deeee, deeee!
---Norm Parker
I voted Toledo to cover vs Purdue.
Purdue’s offense has been highly suspect so far against a bunch of shitty defenses, plus their star WR is out for the season and their QB Marve got banged up last week. Toledo is coming off 2 road wins and put up a ton of points vs Purdue last year, so I think they can cover.
I voted the "no betting on Iowa" option
because, after all, last week WAS our fault. This could change later, but the sting remains. Also, the team could be tinkering a little bit this week. A Hayden Fry Iowa would destroy BSU tomorrow, but I think this team is going to be working on fundamentals and personnel tomorrow. May not be a ton of points.
I have no idea how good or bad Bowling Green is. I have an idea of how bad Michigan’s defense is, and how the countdown is on until Mr. Robinson’s neighborhood gets rocked. At least the Heisman pose was not intentional, but Karma is about as forgiving as AIRBHG.
The points are just a little too low for NIU, but the thought that we might be a few hours away from a visit to the schadenfreude hall of fame is tempting.
In Norm we trust.
jNU to Cover
They did pretty well going to Rice last week, and CMU’s dropped off a bit from last year.
Didn't really like any picks this week.
I went with OSU/EMU under 56.
I don’t see EMU scoring (and if they do, they’re not scoring much at all) and I don’t see OSU covering that on their own.
"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"
Agreed
40-something to zero sounds about right.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 24, 2010 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions
Don't discount the sweater vest' rapacious desire for...
style points.
by Stay thirsty, my friends. on Sep 24, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions
49-0 would be plenty of style points and still not be enough to cover the over.
"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"
Also like the Temple/PSU under
Nits only managed 26 points in a walkover past Kent St., and Temple’s going to run run run the clock dry with Pierce. That game has 20-17 or 21-13 written all over it, maybe 27-10 if the PSU D is feeling feisty … but past 44 points, I’d be surprised.
I just usually call him a tool.
How do you ask a man to be the first man to commit to Temple? How do you ask a man to be the first man to play for a lost cause?
by ReadingRambler on Sep 24, 2010 9:05 PM CDT up reply actions
I bet that half of the teams is this list win.
aka Leftcoast Hawk / @thebirdcult on Twitter
"0.2... Fat, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life, son."
That's not a catfight, its pigs rutting
Kind of interesting how the women at most casinos are not nearly as hot as what they show in commercials or movies LOL
aka Leftcoast Hawk / @thebirdcult on Twitter
"0.2... Fat, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life, son."
by The Bird Cult on Sep 24, 2010 5:48 PM CDT up reply actions
Easy.
Overweight women read BHGP too.
Ceci n'est pas un blogue.
by Adam Jacobi on Sep 25, 2010 12:40 AM CDT up reply actions
SERIOUSLY??? jNW wins by 5???
Dang! These Vegas guys know what they’re doing!
Should’ve gone with Minnesota… for the loss that is. Apparently, Northern Illinois is better than USC.
by KinnickNorthHawk on Sep 25, 2010 10:35 PM CDT reply actions
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