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Around SBN: The Worst Team Ever Projected?

Iowa State Preview: Trench Warfare

It's Friday, which means it's time to preview tomorrow's game. We used to call this "There's A Game On Saturday?", but as it turns out, nobody googles that. So the boring title is your fault.

News, Notes, and News

Marvin McNutt and Derrell Johnson-Koulianos are your starters at wideout, and Jewel Hampton is the #2 back. Shaun Prater will likely be available, but until Ferentz clarifies that statement further, expect Greg Castillo and Micah Hyde to start at corner again. A recovering Jeff Tarpinian will see time at MLB with Bruce Davis starting, and that's a dynamic worth watching.

Meanwhile, ISU corner Ter'ran Benton probably won't play due to a death in his family. Bummer for the kid and we hope life gets better for him in a hurry.

Kickoff is at 2:30 CT, and the game is televised on either ABC or ESPN2. If you cannot get this game on television, something has gone very wrong.

Keys to the Game

Hold the line! Don't get enamored with the 35-3 final score from last season; this game is definitely in doubt, and the reason's the same as last season: ISU's offensive line against Iowa's DL. The marquee matchup is ISU LT Kelechi Osemele against Adrian Clayborn, a matchup that Osemele won last season, much to Clayborn's chagrin. 

Meanwhile, Iowa's offensive line clearly isn't "there" yet, and while ISU's defensive line is similarly unheralded, Iowa's OL isn't tasked with only blocking the Clones' front four. And if there's one thing Iowa State coaches should have taken from the Clones' successes against Iowa over the last 10 years, it's that a stalemate on the LOS and hyper-aggressive linebackers are enough to win the battle against Iowa's offense. That can absolutely happen this year. 

Don't give him the satisfaction: Austen Arnaud has never scored a touchdown against the Hawkeyes at all, and it's a dead certainty that he knows this fact. That awareness might, in fact, work in Iowa's favor; Arnaud is an emotional guy, and Iowa's already taken him off his game with key defensive plays early in years past.  If they can do that again, it might be one more long afternoon for the senior.

Predictions

Are you convinced that this game worries me yet? This game worries me. And yet at the same time, I'm pretty sure Iowa covers -13.5. That's because Iowa is, on paper, easily two touchdowns better than ISU. The Clones' secondary is David Sims and three liabilities, and I don't trust them to shut down Ricky Stanzi in straight coverage. The running game will be worth watching, but Iowa did well enough in Ames last season, and there's not much reason to expect that to change this season.

Likewise, when ISU has the ball, it's wise to assume that Austen Arnaud is not throwing a hundred interceptions again this year. And yet, he doesn't have the composure to just stick to 5-yard curls and well-timed slants, which are likely the only ways to neutralize an Iowa pass defense that ranked near the highest among its peers last season. If Iowa wants to antagonize Arnaud, they can, and that bodes ill for ISU.

Most importantly, barring a stunning reversal of fortune, Iowa holds a dominant advantage in the special teams game, especially on defense; ISU's Grant Mahoney is a prime candidate to take points off the board for the Clones, and we don't trust their punt game at all. Anything can happen once the game's on, of course, but it would be ridiculous to have more faith in the Clones' special teams than the Hawkeyes' right now. Same goes for Iowa's kickoff and return games.

The bottom line is that Iowa is significantly more talented than Iowa State, and better equipped to shut down the opposing offense for 60 minutes. If the turnover battle stays even--or, hell, -1 for Iowa--Iowa should just overpower the Clones. So I'll say 27-9 Iowa.

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First!

A field goal and three safeties for ISU, then?

Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.

by Blackheartnopants on Sep 10, 2010 3:17 PM CDT reply actions  

That's exactly what I was going to say

because we all know that Iowa loves the F-U safeties

by HeroPatriotStanzi on Sep 10, 2010 3:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

Per CrossCyed,

12 safeties for ISU in a 38-24 Iowa victory. Should be tons of fun to watch.

by The Mexican't on Sep 10, 2010 4:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yep

KOK, you might be a genius...

by hawkeye_heartattack on Sep 10, 2010 4:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

Proper

Well, my old signature is now VERBOTEN on Cyclone Chronicles. Nazis. I knew they hated America.

by hkobb7 on Sep 10, 2010 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Proper Fucked; insert furry rabbit photo

this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.

by pfac51 on Sep 10, 2010 6:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

F-U-C-K-E-D

Hardcore. No return.

Hayden Fry - Dan Gable - Big Ten

by BentNotBroken on Sep 11, 2010 12:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

Predictions

On paper: 31-2
In real life: 20-8

No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer

by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 10, 2010 4:02 PM CDT reply actions  

You expect google to lead to your articles?

Have you tried MEGAN FOX LESBIAN NUDES? It may not make sense for a weekly series, but it’s bound to bring the hits. We could definitely use more creepers ’round these parts.

by The Mexican't on Sep 10, 2010 4:02 PM CDT reply actions  

We

lose in a fashion reminiscent of 2007…

12-10.

Hampton rushes for a TD and Mossbrucker kicks a FG. ISU gets 6 safeties.

by edr247 on Sep 10, 2010 4:07 PM CDT reply actions  

Suprisingly good analysis

Only difference I had is ISU scores a TD, losing 27-16… Will that TD be an Alexander Robinson rush, or a Rick-6? Tomorrow holds the cards.

I know for you guys, you want to see a blowout in order to enjoy the game… Most weeks will be like that I’m sure. When expectations are this high, there’s a lot more downside than upside.

I know for us Cyclone fans, I’m just hoping it’s a game, and ISU scores a TD…

by Mark Kieffer on Sep 10, 2010 4:18 PM CDT reply actions  

Yeah, Jacobi.

I am also surprised by your analysis. You’re usually so damn incompetent, I can’t believe you put together a good article.

by The Mexican't on Sep 10, 2010 4:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

Sorry duder

I’ll stick to politics and porn next time :-\

Ceci n'est pas un blogue.

by Adam Jacobi on Sep 10, 2010 4:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

pornotics?

I’m in!

Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.

by Blackheartnopants on Sep 10, 2010 5:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Just google HILLARY CLINTON LESBIAN NUDES

"Have you ever had the Hot Pocket Hot Pocket? It’s Hot Pocket inside a Hot Pocket. Tastes just like a Hot Pocket."

by Kluginator on Sep 10, 2010 5:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

+10000

Because I knew you weren’t actually serious.

Well, my old signature is now VERBOTEN on Cyclone Chronicles. Nazis. I knew they hated America.

by hkobb7 on Sep 10, 2010 5:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

You are correct

but I would google RUTH BADER GINSBURG TRANNY FISTING PARTIES

"Have you ever had the Hot Pocket Hot Pocket? It’s Hot Pocket inside a Hot Pocket. Tastes just like a Hot Pocket."

by Kluginator on Sep 10, 2010 5:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

Holy shit!

Who let in Gollum?

"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable

by ClaybornSmash on Sep 10, 2010 8:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gotta get out the vote!

Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.

by Blackheartnopants on Sep 10, 2010 7:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

Fail on my part

The surprisingly part was sarcasm… Oh well.

by Mark Kieffer on Sep 10, 2010 8:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

I see Iowa winning 24-12. The touchdownless streak continues, but if Arenot can keep his head on straight (big if), then he can keep the Clowns in it until late, when hopefully ARob and Reiff can power their way over an overmatched line and in for the sealing 6.

by Drake Hawk on Sep 10, 2010 4:29 PM CDT reply actions  

I have final score 31-10

If Arnaud can play the game of his life then ISU could pull within a TD or FG. Ultimately, I don’t think that ISU will be able to consistently stop the run, which we all know is a recipe for Stanzi PA pass to succeed.

"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable

by ClaybornSmash on Sep 10, 2010 4:42 PM CDT reply actions  

A buddy of mine is a HUGE gambler

and not an Iowa fan at all. He is convinced the Hawks will cover 13.5 easily. In fact, he’s pretty sure it will look similar to last year. Which gives me hope I won’t be fighting off a heart attack for 3 hours tomorrow. Which would be nice.

by Brock8144 on Sep 10, 2010 4:47 PM CDT reply actions  

I would go for..

about 7 less heart attacks this year. Couple close games, sure, but come on – blow a few teams out!

by hwknout on Sep 10, 2010 5:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

The D-line for Iowa State

may not be much better than EIU’s D-line. So expect KOK to call plenty of running plays and do the old “win it in the fourth quarter” routine. However, I don’t think that means we won’t chuck that bitch deep a few times and run some deep crossing patterns. We might see shotgun too if there is any hint that pass protection is not up to the task and to get ready for Arizona…no reason to go into shotgun for the first time with a new center when the game is on the line. In short, we will open up but we will not forget our core identity. Ball control and time management will always be a staple of this coaching staff.

Bottom line, Austen Arnaud has to go out and win this game if ISU is going to win. And he has never done that to this point in his career. At home I could see it, on the road not so much. Evil ARob will not win this game alone either. Their defense will not win this game. And for fucks sake there is no way their special teams win this. Remember that ISU beat Nebraska, their signature win in the Rhoads era, with Arnaud on the sidelines with an injury.

So I am guessing….34 – 6. Maybe we give up a late meaningless TD and it is 34-13.

"I wish you luck with a capital 'F'" - The Real Elvis.

by StoopsMyAss on Sep 10, 2010 5:06 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

I think that A-Rob ...

is going to get all the work he can handle.

Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.

by Blackheartnopants on Sep 10, 2010 5:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

KOK switches from plain vanilla

to Neapolitan!

"Have you ever had the Hot Pocket Hot Pocket? It’s Hot Pocket inside a Hot Pocket. Tastes just like a Hot Pocket."

by Kluginator on Sep 10, 2010 5:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

He likes both kinds of music ...

country and western.

Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.

by Blackheartnopants on Sep 10, 2010 5:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

Not a chance

at best, he goes for French Vanilla

by HeroPatriotStanzi on Sep 10, 2010 6:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

Young DJK Busts a Move

"Have you ever had the Hot Pocket Hot Pocket? It’s Hot Pocket inside a Hot Pocket. Tastes just like a Hot Pocket."

by Kluginator on Sep 10, 2010 5:45 PM CDT reply actions  

Not really worried

Does anyone see how ISU stops Iowa’s offense?

Shouldn’t we score on the majority of our possessions? I think their only chance is Iowa stopping Iowa’s offense with either turnovers or just laying a big fat egg

And oh yeah, Iowa has the best defense in the country.

I’m not worried..

by StevenDS on Sep 10, 2010 5:59 PM CDT reply actions  

33-5, Iowa

ISU’s Mahoney gets 1 FG, Iowa gets 2 FG’s, and three touchdowns to make it 27-3. Then Iowa gets another TD, and to try and equal last year’s score, Kirk goes for two. Unfortunately, Stanzi throws a “Rick-Two” to ISU’s identity thief, Sims.

You got no fear of the underdog; That's why you will not survive!

by YouCanPutYourEddsInIt on Sep 10, 2010 6:02 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Wow...

just take the last comment about the 2 point conversion and you have it…good luck the rest of the year, and i’ll be screaming at the tv for U of I next week against ‘Zona…that is, if the ISU – K-State game isn’t on…

by isufan2010 on Sep 11, 2010 10:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

Heard On The Street - HOTS

AC is going to be hanging out around the Hawkeye goal line and will run onto the field and tackle anyone trying to run back a Rick-Six

I wish I could only remember the good old days!

by two_niner_was_old_school on Sep 10, 2010 6:03 PM CDT reply actions  

Sash has a late pick 6; Iowa 35 iowa state 13

this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.

by pfac51 on Sep 10, 2010 6:22 PM CDT reply actions  

I'm listening to a replay of the Kirk Ferentz show, and at the 45:16 mark, they're talking

about Stanzi, and Dolph says to on the radio, “what’s your shirt say, Stanzi is the Manzi”….hilarious.

this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.

by pfac51 on Sep 10, 2010 7:07 PM CDT reply actions  

Nice...

Dolph should be given a FotP shirt for that.

KOK, you might be a genius...

by hawkeye_heartattack on Sep 11, 2010 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions  

I want a goddamn shutout.

Zero points, Cyclones. I don’t care how many we score.

by NHguy on Sep 10, 2010 8:42 PM CDT reply actions  

I want to see some domination in the trenches.

I want to see the O-line gel and to see the D-line shut down the run. As long as we’re able to do that, we’ll win, and it will give me confidence going forward. If we don’t control the trenches, it’s going to be a long day, maybe not a loss, but more stress than I’d like

It never gets to be easy

by chitownhawkeye on Sep 10, 2010 8:46 PM CDT reply actions  

I never have this kind of feeling about this "rivalry"

(I put rivalry in quotes, because, after all, Iowa State is no Purdue). But anyway, my gut instinct as kickoff nears has been pretty reliable in this series, but this year it’s saying 47-6 Hawks. You have no idea how much that scares me.

by shada's revenge on Sep 11, 2010 12:30 AM CDT reply actions  

Guess I should add why that scares me

Usually my gut says we are going to lose close or we are going to win close. No matter what it’s always questionable, and I have been right more than I have been wrong. This year I am expecting a lopsided outcome for the Hawks, which I haven’t done since the Walden era. Any honest and knowledgeable Hawkeye fan in the 21st century knows what happens when we expect to beat ISU big. I consider myself both of the above. That’s why I’m scared.

by shada's revenge on Sep 11, 2010 12:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

Fly pattern

Am I the only one that noticed that the pattern that McNutt ran against EIU (Ya the only pass that Stanzi really missed last week) was friggen beauteous in the extreme? Shit, I was thinkin’ that route would have even caused some severe jockstrap stretch from NFL cornerbacks trying to keep up.

I guess my point is, Iowa has really got some very talented wide receivers and perhaps they should not be afraid to use them. Yes, I know it’s a radical concept , maybe a knowledgeable source (unlike me) could talk to Ken O’Keefe about this. Perhaps some brave soul could kidnap the fucker and fill him up with quality hallucinogenics.

It is a plan, after all.

by Corncob Justice on Sep 11, 2010 2:13 AM CDT reply actions  

In my view this is the best-balanced offense (on paper) since Banks' year, 2002.

So can they start to prove it, please? Two (ambulatory), experienced backs, six-deep at WR, minimum 2 — maybe 3 with the freshman — TEs who can catch and block, a 230 lb QB whose arm is second-best on the team.

All ISU can do is attempt to smother the run and hope for some Stanzi-error-ball and a few fumbles. There’s no way that they can defend us balanced, or pass-first. They have to choose. ISU will be attempting to smother the run with a D-Line averaging 257 and three new linebackers, and giving the game to Stanzi to lose (or the AIRBHG to disrupt). And maybe they will — but if they do we should pass for 350.

I think ISU will play with a lot of confidence, and Rhoads will remind them that they went into Lincoln and beat the overdog. And Rhoads will have confidence: he undressed WVU in Morgantown in their best season ever, with the BCS title game waiting for them. Nebraska actually killed themselves with turnovers, but it happened. So ISU can remind themselves of that success, analogize, and hope for the best. Only turnovers or injuries can deliver to them this game. They could get this lucky, but I don’t see it.

I don’t think Iowa is going to let defenses pack it in this year. That was the lesson of the 4th and two, five-wide call that seems to have been Ferentz’ biggest frustration from EIU. (He remarked that it was a good play, should have worked, was one of the “lowlights” of that game.) If you think about it, that was an identical situation to the 4th down against MSU two years ago, the one we lost the game on when the fullback went the wrong way and the 11 MSU guys in the box crushed Greene. That play was a signal, I hope.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Sep 11, 2010 5:14 AM CDT reply actions  

Something is very wrong

in that I can’t seem to see this game. I’m living in England, subscribe to ESPN America (as they call it here), subscribe to the Big Ten Ticket (which let’s people overseas see games on the Big Ten Network) and still can’t see this.

Any legitimate suggestions from anyone?

by CapitalHawk on Sep 11, 2010 10:06 AM CDT reply actions  

It's on ABC here

should be on ESPN 2 otherwise

"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable

by ClaybornSmash on Sep 11, 2010 11:07 AM CDT up reply actions  

Nevermind

found it on ESPNPlayer.com

by CapitalHawk on Sep 11, 2010 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

remember...

When we are watching the game, remember those who died in the September 11th terrorist attacks. All our hearts, Hawkeye and Cyclone alike, should be with those families still shaken from these terrible acts of evil. This rivalry is just a game, and we all need to remember that. I just ask that while you are cheering on your respective team, you remember those who were killed in the towers and those that have given their lives since then to preserve our freedom. We may chant "Go Cyclones" or "Beat State" but in the end we should all be chanting "USA! USA! USA!"

by isufan2010 on Sep 11, 2010 10:13 AM CDT reply actions  

Absolutely agree and

Stanzi approves this message.

In all seriousness, I can’t believe it has been 9 years since that day. I remember, like it was yesterday, where I was and what i was doing.

TOUCHDOWN IOWA! TOUCHDOWN IOWA! - Gary Dolphin
I LOVE IT! I LOVE IT! I LOVE IT! - Jim Zabel

by SpoWAHawk on Sep 11, 2010 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

I know

I was in elementary school and we didn’t do anything that day except watch the news. I had no idea what was going on, of course, but the memory is still there…

by isufan2010 on Sep 11, 2010 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

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