Gamble like Kevin - Week 2
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 10, 2010 10:00 AM CDT
in Iowa Hawkeyes Football
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PrintLast week I kicked off the weekly Big Ten betting extravaganza by asking the BHGP commentariat who the rock solid lock of the week was. The overwhelming winner was Purdue at +11 versus Notre Dame. Let me quickly remind you all how that turned out:
I know what you're thinking. Purdue lost by 11, shouldn't it have been a push? The answer is yes, it should it have. However, by the time I placed the bet the line had moved to 10.5, so I lost. By half a point.
Sooooo....my fault, right? Incorrect. I blame Purdue. Fucking Purdue. Also, your fault. I expect more from you, the average person. It's a well-known fact that large groups of like-minded people have an explicit advantage over Vegas experts.
The lines...after the jump.
First impressions:
- Penn State is starting a freshman QB versus the #1 team in the country. As much as I hate to admit it, 11.5 probably isn't enough.
- I'm not convinced that Michigan and Notre Dame will play enough defense to keep the game under 60, let alone 52.
- 38 is a shit ton of points for Wisconsin to give. More importantly, is San Jose St really going to contribute enough points to go over 56?
What do you reckon? Feel free to discuss these games at great length in the comments. I've picked a few lines here, let me know if I've missed the obvious winner.
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I vote with hate
GT/Kansas over 49.5.
by Joe Hamilton's Chauffeur on Sep 10, 2010 10:24 AM CDT up reply actions
Tech's scoring 49?
I mean, I guess I could see that…
"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"
i can see Tech passing for more than 12 yards this game as well. if turner gill continues to lose,
the new kansas AD will get rid of him in a hurry, which would be too bad for OC, Chuck Long.
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
I'm not a betting man
but Michigan’s “secondary” is composed of stick figures. ND might score 56 by themselves
It never gets to be easy
by chitownhawkeye on Sep 10, 2010 10:16 AM CDT reply actions
Wisconsin ain't scoring 38
And you people picking UM to cover…you’re going to get rocked just like Michigan.
"Now you put a Pamper on him and send him back out here." - Ray Isom, 1987 Fiesta Bowl
by ReadingRambler on Sep 10, 2010 10:19 AM CDT reply actions
Wait, who am I kidding.
Wisconsin will probably score 45. Nevermind. I regret that vote.
"Now you put a Pamper on him and send him back out here." - Ray Isom, 1987 Fiesta Bowl
by ReadingRambler on Sep 10, 2010 10:19 AM CDT up reply actions
So, I think Notre Dame -4 is the best bet you can make.
"Now you put a Pamper on him and send him back out here." - Ray Isom, 1987 Fiesta Bowl
by ReadingRambler on Sep 10, 2010 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions
Go with your first impulse.
And if it pays off, HFMR will show his gratitude with a pubecheck.
Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.
by Blackheartnopants on Sep 10, 2010 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions
See! Delany's not crazy!
Purdue is already screwing with Iowa and their fans. Purdouche Bags…
Less memorable than Sam Okey's Hawkeye career.
Yeah It's all Delaney's fault
Shows you can’t just create a rivalry. We get stuck with Boiler Breath
Greg Marmalard: But Delta's already on probation.
Dean Vernon Wormer: They are? Well, as of this moment, they're on DOUBLE SECRET PROBATION!
Animal House, 1978
And NW-Vandy didn't get the over, either
They scored 44, short of the 47 needed to win.
Basically every team I rooted for last weekend lost, and all of my betting picks for you were losers, too.
If I were you, I wouldn’t listen to me. But I picked the ND-UM over, since neither team plays defense and both have good offenses.
"If you want to become a man--come to Iowa" All American IOWA LB PAT ANGERER, whose best friend is a dog.
by The Director on Sep 10, 2010 10:37 AM CDT up reply actions
I think those teams WOULD have hit the over...
if they’d had more competent special teams. They screwed up a few extra points.
Or if the refs weren’t terrible and Vandy had gotten a chance to win/tie at the end of regulation.
"I want to be a cowboy. I don't want to be a panda. Pandas are boring, stupid and boring. Bad panda!"
your input is still valued
for fade material. losses can still means wins and wins mean $
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Sep 10, 2010 11:54 AM CDT up reply actions
Yeah I'm with you.
They’ll get rolled, but not by 38 points. 35…but not 38.
A Voice From Kinnick - A Hawkeye Blog
i'm betting a very late, FU safety....
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
After all..
it is ISU hate week. So I’m a little unfocused. It’ll resolve by later today.
In Norm we trust.
Stay away from Michigan/ND over/under
Forecast is for rain, that could goof things up on the over/under — I think it screws Notre Dame more than Michigan if it rains given Michigan’s ground game as well as rain making it more difficult for Notre Dame to go after Michigan’s secondary. But you can’t count on the rain either, so I’d avoid that game in general.
I’d take Bama — I don’t care how “mature” or “poised” or whatever the writers want to say about Bolden. That was a home game against a 1-AA team. This is a road game against the #1 team in the country and a Nick Saban defense.
by Yinka Double Dare on Sep 10, 2010 10:43 AM CDT reply actions
"#1" for now.
PSU may not get them (though I’m pulling for them)- – but I just don’t see Bama as the #1 team at the end of the year.
by Eyeheartfreedumb on Sep 10, 2010 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions
Bama's overrated
PSU has talent to match. They’ll beat the spread, if not win straight up.
Brunettes not fighter jets
Agreed.
This whole “freshman starting on the road against the #1 team” storyline is way overplayed. Alabama is replacing NINE defensive starters. They’re not the best team in the country, they’re the preseason de facto #1. There is a big difference.
Bolden just has to play within himself and let his skill players make some plays against a pretty green ‘Bama defense. Penn State is better than people think (IMO) and I think they’ll be a surprise tomorrow.
tOSU -9 is tempting also.
by Abbas_Cincinnatus on Sep 10, 2010 1:03 PM CDT up reply actions
Also, I picked Penn Schtate
Bama has players out and I think PSU does enough on D to keep it close, if not win in the final minutes
"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable
by ClaybornSmash on Sep 10, 2010 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions
Cal -9 over Colorado
book it. but since that has nothing to do with the Big Ten, I went with Ohio State laying 9.
or you could take that $45 and double it on the Iowa/Iowa State Under. 45.5 really? I mean I know the under is the obvious, and that’s where Vegas makes their money… but the exception to this rule is during the first month or so.
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Sep 10, 2010 11:53 AM CDT reply actions
you know,
Colorado might have to cancel the 2nd Cal game of this series if they can come up with
(or borrow $ 2million from tOSU) and leave the little 12 early for the Pac-12.
it’ll be almost impossible to schedule a BCS team to come to Boulder less than 13 months from now, unless your BYU.
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
I love Cal at -9
But I live in Denver so I’ve already made that bet with some homer co-workers.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 10, 2010 12:31 PM CDT up reply actions
won't it be funny seeing Cal play in Boulder in late November 2015 (or whatever?)
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
never thought about
the disparity in weather. if CU doesn’t kill it at home in the PAC, they should just drop football. at least by then Hawkins will be long gone, assissting at Boise St perhaps?
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Sep 10, 2010 4:35 PM CDT up reply actions
Boulder isn't that cold in November.
It’s nothing like the midwest…..
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 10, 2010 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions
true
but it can dump here in Oct and Nov… and freezing temps for a day or two
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Sep 10, 2010 5:38 PM CDT up reply actions
I still remember Iowa's epic meltdown in Boulder back in 1992.
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
i think alabama beat miami, FL in the sugar bowl
CU lost to syracuse in the fiesta bowl
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
me too
where do you watch the games at HFMR?
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Sep 10, 2010 4:33 PM CDT up reply actions
Home if I can. I get easily distracted at bars.
I’ll be at the Sports Column for at least a couple of games, though.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 10, 2010 5:37 PM CDT up reply actions
yeah
same here. tried watching the game last wk at bar and only remember the 1st half. the Column can be the exception. guess we’ll be settling for ESPN2 and some chick with a deep voice.
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Sep 10, 2010 5:41 PM CDT up reply actions
Idaho at +28.
’Nuff Said.
"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me
by BStylin Hawkye on Sep 10, 2010 11:57 AM CDT reply actions
no, but their mascot should be on the capital one mascot commercial....he's way more awesomer than the k-state wildcat.
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
And also way way more awesomer than that fucknut Brutus.
"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me
by BStylin Hawkye on Sep 10, 2010 4:14 PM CDT up reply actions
i don't care for brutus either. or engineer pete, whatever
his name is from our new UBER/SUPER rival, Purdue
this place smells like feet. i’ll bring a can of lysol next week.
PURDUE!!!!!
(ok, this is probably going to get old quick but I still think it’s hilarious)
"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable
by ClaybornSmash on Sep 10, 2010 9:06 PM CDT up reply actions
Too easy
I knew I shouldn’t have put “I hate you” as an option
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 10, 2010 12:40 PM CDT reply actions
It's like you don't even know us anymore...
"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable
by ClaybornSmash on Sep 10, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions
That's easy money right there.
“I hate you” always pays out.
by Abbas_Cincinnatus on Sep 10, 2010 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions
Whatever you do, don't pick Michigan +4
It’s a trap.
"Now you put a Pamper on him and send him back out here." - Ray Isom, 1987 Fiesta Bowl
by ReadingRambler on Sep 10, 2010 1:09 PM CDT up reply actions
Stone cold lock...
I hate you.
by Stay thirsty, my friends. on Sep 10, 2010 1:50 PM CDT up reply actions
For god sakes don't listen to the Schtate fans
Don’t touch the UM – ND game. If PSU runs the ball like they did against Youngstown St. they are gonna get rolled. Take Alabama, you won’t regret it.
"I don't believe in quotes" - Karl Klug
Bolden is gonna roll your mom.
"Now you put a Pamper on him and send him back out here." - Ray Isom, 1987 Fiesta Bowl
by ReadingRambler on Sep 10, 2010 4:56 PM CDT up reply actions
My Mom could roll Bolden
What the hell happened to running the ball? I thought they still did that; what do I know.
"I don't believe in quotes" - Karl Klug
Different angle
How about the BYU vs. Air Force game? A few days ago BYU was -1, now Air Force is -1. Seems like a toss up, of course, but I’m pretty confident that AF will win (though that goes against conventional wisdom for many).
What's more American than having more than 1 wife?
"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable
by ClaybornSmash on Sep 10, 2010 9:07 PM CDT up reply actions
Michigan +4 it is
I think I see a pattern here.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 11, 2010 11:46 AM CDT reply actions
FUCK
The line moved again. Michigan is only getting 3.5. It couldn’t happen again, could it?
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 11, 2010 11:48 AM CDT reply actions
Oh, it will.
A late Wolverine FG will bring Michigan within 4 of the Domers, but a failed onside kick will allow the Irish to run out the clock. I’m sorry.
by The Mexican't on Sep 11, 2010 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions
It's not your fault.
You took the over in that game, which is what I liked.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Sep 11, 2010 11:58 AM CDT up reply actions
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