The Big Ten Betting Extravaganza: Week 11
First of all I'd like to mention how smart you all were last week in your infinite wisdom to take Illinois and the 3.5 very important points instead of taking them straight up. That was the right thing to do. It feels good to do the right thing, doesn't it? Keep doing that. Good, then.
Your reward is 12 Angry Fitzgeralds:
I'LL KILL YOU! I'LL KILL ALL OF YOU!!!
The weekly results are below the jump. I'll just say this: you could find the amount that we need to get back to even in a fat stripper's g-string on a Tuesday afternoon. If that's not enough to motivate you.....well then you have a higher moral fiber than I ever will, good sir. Here's the grid:
Iowa going on the road and giving 10 points to a team that keeps finding ways to inexplicably beat them seems like a lot. Having said that, it's the smallest spread of the Big Ten weekend. I don't know about you, but I don't think I would want to have to give Indiana 21.5 points. But hey, let's retain the sanctity of the poll, shall we? Put your homerism in your pocket and vote for a winner, folks.
Last week's failpost belongs to Tacop84 for going1-4 in his predictions. I'm giving him a loss in the game he didn't pick because i can. Get off the goddamn fence. It wasn't all bad, though, because he looked like a pseudo-Hawkstradamus in his ability to predict his own failure. Well done. Except not.
I'm going to split the real Hawkstramus Award this week between HawkeyeRecon and BStylin Hawkye because there wasn't a whole lot of prediction win last week. (I almost decided not to give it to BStylin because as I was typing his name i saw that he was missing an 'e' in Hawkeye, which I had never noticed before and it made me feel silly purposely spelling it wrong.)
The Road to Financial Equilibrium

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Penn Schtate wins
But if you don’t believe me then take Michigan/ Purdue on the over. Try to find a reason it won’t happen.
"I don't believe in quotes" - Karl Klug
I like Penn St to cover (but think aOSU probably wins)...
…and like the UM/OMHR Over as well.
[Picked the Ill/Mich Over last week, and felt like a winner when I saw the halftime score.]
by Eyeheartfreedumb on Nov 12, 2010 3:40 PM CST up reply actions
I voted Illinois to cover
Bounce back game after last week’s debacle, they won’t let Minnesota get 10 points (at least against the first string Illini defense). Gophers are good at the garbage time covers this season though, so I don’t love the pick, but there’s not a lot of tempting lines on that board.
Take the over on the Michigan/OMHR
62 points assumes a game higher than 31-30. Robinson/Forcier have the ability to create at least 31 for the Michigan offense, and playing on the road in conference so far, they have allowed 35 and 41 points.
I expect Michigan to put up close to 40, but allows at least 28 points on the road.
by HeroPatriotStanzi on Nov 12, 2010 11:27 AM CST reply actions
When in doubt take the Michigan over.
by The Mexican't on Nov 12, 2010 11:30 AM CST reply actions 4 recs
I was thinking the same. DickRod is such a, well, dick.
He’s run the score up on his Grandma.
by Stay thirsty, my friends. on Nov 12, 2010 12:00 PM CST up reply actions
Well, given the chance his Grandma would break either of his tiny QBs...
…so really it’s offensive preservation.
“RichRod is an offensive genius… there are only so many hours in the day… etc.”
by Eyeheartfreedumb on Nov 12, 2010 3:42 PM CST up reply actions
You don't even need the doubt
“Print money, the Michigan Over all year has” said a sagely little green man
I spent half my life's earnings on wine, women & song. The other half I wasted.
by therealCatnuts on Nov 12, 2010 12:03 PM CST up reply actions
Defensive battle..
Mich pulls it out with a long 20 play-8 min drive to win the game in a defensive struggle…52-50
"He was the one that didn't give us a touchdown, ... He didn't officiate for us again." ...Hayden Fry
by chuck longs mom on Nov 12, 2010 12:52 PM CST up reply actions
This week's Hawkstradamus
That is my prediction for this week
(oh, and Minny to cover with a late score)
"I shoot, I score. He shoots, I score." - Dan Gable
by ClaybornSmash on Nov 12, 2010 3:34 PM CST up reply actions
The present leader is not something you can actually bet on, unless you mean you’d really bet Iowa to cover. Don’t do it. As every week, don’t bet on your own team. Fucking hell.
I voted the Michigan/OMHR over. 62 points? Psshaw. Michigan/IL scored 90 in regulation for gods sake, and beat the over in the first half alone. How is this even a question? That’s only 31.5 per team. And, you know RRod won’t back off if they get up 21+ (to be fair, with the pack of journalism majors he’s throwing out there on D, he shouldn’t. But, the D is Carr’s fault) since he and Sensei have history. And Skippy will be slinging it like a mofo after Robinson gets hurt again. In an effort to be recognized for either failing or nostradamusing, Robinson will make it to the 10:00 minute mark of the 2nd quarter before going out for the day. Not wishing an injury, nor predicting what body part, just the sit down.
Everything bad at Michigan is Carr's fault
/every Michigan fan’d
by HeroPatriotStanzi on Nov 12, 2010 11:38 AM CST up reply actions
Damn him for perpetuating their high standards
And allowing them to take 9 and 10 win seasons for granted.
While I tend to believe that Penn St. and Ohio St.
Will be a pretty close game, and Wisconsin is due for a semi-collapse (+21 seams like ALOT) The over on Michigan and OMHR could easily be reached by the end of the 3rd qtr. Michigans defense could easily give up 25-30 pts to a battered offense.
Who's leg do I have to hump to get a drink around here?-Brian
Yes: +21 seems too much to me
Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.
by Blackheartnopants on Nov 12, 2010 1:12 PM CST up reply actions
Haweye fans
are putting too much stock into Indiana. We scored 9 points on 4 trips inside the 10 f’n yard line! I don’t feel like Indiana was good on D so much as we did not execute. 21 is what the Hawks should have won by and Wisconsin will do the job we didn’t (though I hope they lose).
by Off Constantly on Nov 12, 2010 2:38 PM CST up reply actions
For me, it's more about Wisconsin
I’m waiting for them to blow up. Saturday may be it. Plus, isn’t Clay hurt ~ again?
Excuse me for my bellicosity. And spelling. Bellicosity and spelling.
by Blackheartnopants on Nov 12, 2010 5:46 PM CST up reply actions
Michigan hasn’t covered ATS last 5 games. now spotting 13 pts on the road with a bad defense? I’ll take the Boilers. The over is trendy and predictable and thus has no value (although 6 of their last 7 have gone over, so perhaps Vegas isn’t catching on).
Indiana and Penn St are both tempting, in the same way that a 17 yr old is tempting. you may look twice at her but you’d never touch.
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Nov 12, 2010 11:48 AM CST reply actions
Indiana tempted me enough
until you made me sound like a ephebophile for voting Indiana ATS. Than again, our society is hypocritically ephebophilic, so I don’t feel too bad.
lough out loud
and I learned a new word today.
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Nov 12, 2010 3:43 PM CST up reply actions
Penn State to cover.
A 3:30 game after Daylight Savings Time ends means McGimlisonofGloin will not shrivel under the midday November sun.
The UM/Purdue over is as tempting as any other Michigan over as well.
"You think you can take me? Go ahead on. It's your move." -- Thomas Jefferson Geronimo III
by IPeeBlackAndGold on Nov 12, 2010 11:57 AM CST reply actions
I told you so, I told you so, I told you so.
Did you pick the over on the Mich-Sick-nois game?
Recall I said DickRod and Zookers would try to out piss each other and what happened? The Zookers petered out in overtime and dribbled down his leg.
This week, don’t ask me why, but I like McPenn State to cover tOSU. Take the points and get with McGloin and Co.
Or go with the over on the MIchigan game (which should be your fall back if you can’t stand to pick anything else).
by Stay thirsty, my friends. on Nov 12, 2010 11:59 AM CST reply actions
I voted Indiana to cover
and I really hope that choice wasn’t a product of last week’s game and a desire to see a Wisconsin loss.
I might as well win this week’s award while I’m here. The following teams will cover:
OSU
Illinois
Michigan
Iowa
If not, at least I should get the failpost award for undeserved overconfidence.
by PurpleMonkeyDishwasher on Nov 12, 2010 12:02 PM CST reply actions
Every opportunity
to vote “idiot” I gladly take. That said, Indy +21 seems like a ton. I’d take that. I like the over on Michigan/Purdue, but I no longer know whether they have eleven healthy individuals on their team. I know, you may not need that to score on Michigan, but can Purdue now score 20 points in any scenario? Still (electronic voice)— “Rich Rodriguez is an offensive genius” and “You are a hater”. I have played that thing once each of the past three days.
But then again, isn’t Utah favored by less than a touchdown over Notre Dame? THAT’S YOUR BET!!!!!!
In Norm we trust.
I like ND there
Utah is not good.
Jack Trice Stadium - Easily one of the Top 10 Stadiums in Central Iowa
by Not Marv Cook on Nov 12, 2010 12:42 PM CST up reply actions
Neither is ND
"If you need a rah-rah speech at halftime, you’re playing the wrong sport." - Pat Angerer
Touche
and ND has a lot of injuries. But seriously, Tulsa might be as good as Utah.
Jack Trice Stadium - Easily one of the Top 10 Stadiums in Central Iowa
by Not Marv Cook on Nov 12, 2010 2:19 PM CST up reply actions
But but but...
…Utah throttled ISU who beat Texas and (basically) tied Nebraska.
Are you saying that TCU is better than the entire Big 12?
/transitive property’d
by Eyeheartfreedumb on Nov 12, 2010 3:50 PM CST up reply actions
I know you're kidding
but I would say that.
Jack Trice Stadium - Easily one of the Top 10 Stadiums in Central Iowa
by Not Marv Cook on Nov 12, 2010 4:22 PM CST up reply actions
Same
I’ll take TCU against any Big 12 team.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Nov 12, 2010 4:24 PM CST up reply actions
you coulda just gone with
/ISU’d
THE MOON WALK WAS A HOAX. YOUR POPCORN IS SHIT. JOLLY TIME FOREVER. FUCK PURDUE-RossWB
by Pain in the Sash on Nov 12, 2010 10:20 PM CST up reply actions
to me that would seem like a trap
and I guarentee we will need ND heavy tomorrow. but I agree, line doesn’t make sense. Utah should bounce back and they’re easily 14 pts better. go… Irish? ick
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Nov 12, 2010 12:54 PM CST up reply actions
"I think Iowa wins by ten but I won't even say it out loud..."
Last week the Iowa/Indiana over/under was 50 plus. I took the under figuring Iowa D would hold the Hoosiers to less than ten (10) and Ferentz would lighten up when Hawks got to thirty-something (33, say).
I won, but, well, you get my point…
"Just win, baby!"--Mahatma Ghandi
“I think Iowa wins by ten but I won’t even say it out loud…”
I sure hope writing it out isn’t the same as speaking it out loud or you may have just doomed us, !!!! :^)
Ambition is the willingness to kill the things you love and eat them to stay alive.
I believe its in the rule book that you can write about it within the context of a rational discussion as long as...
you don’t shout it really loudly to anyone and everyone within earshot.
"Just win, baby!"--Mahatma Ghandi
Ah, yes
the old “Tree Falling in the Forest” Clause.
by HeroPatriotStanzi on Nov 12, 2010 12:25 PM CST up reply actions
Does this count?

Ambition is the willingness to kill the things you love and eat them to stay alive.
I probably should have voted for Purude +13
Michigan’s defense is so bad, I don’t see anyone falling more than two scores behind them.
But, based on recent history, I took the Iowa/jNW under. These don’t tend to be high-scoring games. I think/hope Iowa breaks out of last week’s red zone woes, but even so, I see the final being somewhere around 27-17.
I'm gonna keep my Iowa thoughts quiet but in a swaggering way.
Regarding the others, let me slap my balls on HFMR’s chopping block:
1) OMHR does an Ohio State redux on the Wolverines as Ryan Kerrigan takes a shillelagh to D-Robs head and then rips Tate a new Forcier. Purdue by a brazillian points.
2) While a predict them to lose, Minnesota will find a way to keep it close which likely means that Zook and idiotic play calling will be involved somehow. Gophers keep the loss to under 7 points.
Ambition is the willingness to kill the things you love and eat them to stay alive.
zook was so awful last week
he kept punting or attempting long field goals on 4th and short in Michigan territory, oblivious to the fact that his defense was going to let up a touchdown regardless of where Michigan’s offense started.
Purdue by a brazillian points
Is there a point-shaving scandal coming?
Hey-O!
"You think you can take me? Go ahead on. It's your move." -- Thomas Jefferson Geronimo III
by IPeeBlackAndGold on Nov 12, 2010 2:42 PM CST up reply actions
This is a tough week
I voted Michigan to cover, but I don’t have a lot of faith in it.
My 2nd choice was OSU. I can see Tressel trying to pile up some style points as insurance to get to a BCS game.
But nothing seems even close to a lock.
"If you need a rah-rah speech at halftime, you’re playing the wrong sport." - Pat Angerer
Aw dammitt! I voted for Illinios -21
before I saw the last line. Very witty.
by hawkeye_heartattack on Nov 12, 2010 12:31 PM CST reply actions
If you voted "I think Iowa wins by 10, but think you're an idiot if you actually bet on it"
Get off the fence, bitches.
"They're not people, James Ingram. They're Jimmy Buffett fans."
by SomeJerkPoster on Nov 12, 2010 12:45 PM CST reply actions
I picked Indiana +21.5 at Wisconsin
Mostly because I hate Wisconsin and hope they burn in a fiery blaze
Welcome to Ohiowa, the great potato state!
Bret Bielema is a damned red-commie traitor.
I will also take...
The over on MICH/OMHR because lets face it, Michigan will probably cover it themselves
Illinois -21 because Minn can’t fight their way out of a wet paper sack
I’m also going with Penn State at +17 because I’m hoping they infect Ohio State with Gingervitis and somehow come up with a win
Last but not least I’m going with the Iowa/jNW over 49.5, why? Because I don’t want to predict the outcome and screw us all.
Welcome to Ohiowa, the great potato state!
Bret Bielema is a damned red-commie traitor.
just for the record
I went 2-3 not 1-4, at least I have the balls to make all of the picks ;)
Penn St and Wisconsin picks were good. Sparty was really close too. Michigan over is always the obvious pick so wanted to go out on a limb there.
Agreed on the part about the balls
Only about 2 people tried to pick every game last week. Keep it up.
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Nov 12, 2010 1:42 PM CST up reply actions
This just in
HFMR likes Tacop84’s balls.
Welcome to Ohiowa, the great potato state!
Bret Bielema is a damned red-commie traitor.
old news
No self-respecting man from Iowa goes anywhere without beer
by Hayden Fry's Moustache Ride on Nov 12, 2010 3:12 PM CST up reply actions
you’ve got balls. I like balls.
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Nov 12, 2010 3:47 PM CST up reply actions
Seriously?
More people are voting for IU than PSU.
Like, um, whatever you say.
"Are all McGloins so ill-mannered?" "Yeah, about 99 percent."
Beat Ohio State.
Hey, while I'm still here (chortle)
Did IU develop a run defense during the past week?
"Are all McGloins so ill-mannered?" "Yeah, about 99 percent."
Beat Ohio State.
by ReadingRambler on Nov 12, 2010 1:27 PM CST up reply actions
Probably not
I just think that spread is too much. And I’m hoping for a shocking Wisconsin loss every week for obvious reasons.
We have 5 healthy offensive linemen for tomorrow.
Take Illinois, and then call your local travel agent to plan your vacation.
Everyone fails. The successful learn from their failures. I just wish we'd quit giving ourselves so many learning opportunities.
by WhiteSpeedReceiver on Nov 12, 2010 1:56 PM CST reply actions
When I first joined up, I didn't even realize the name was missing an "e" for almost 2 months.
And I am taking Indiana at +21.5. That game will look like our game against them last week.
"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me
This isn't even a question
there is absolutely no way that OSU piss pounds PSU…no friggen way.
You people are crazy if you think that Wiscy isn’t going to run for 300 on Indiana…they are not the type of team to abandon the run if they’re getting 4 ypc…much less 8.
I have no good reason to think Michigan and OMHR won’t go over…but I do…so there.
In that spirit…I have no reason to believe in Minnesota…but I think Illinois is the new MSU…looks decent…might even be good…oh yeah…they suck. Minnesota won’t win it…especially not at Illinois but it’ll be “closer than the experts think”.
One last prediction…the Evil Witzgerald will out-think the room against Iowa and it will backfire…I’m thinking fake FG fail. No one has tried one yet…and well…why the hell not? The end result will be the Evil Witzgerald defecating himself and then attempting to Stink Palm Ferentz after the game.
golly gumdrops
Georgia getting 7.5 against lying cheating Cam Newton a fine academic institution like Auburn? yes please
by KentuckyThunderPussy on Nov 12, 2010 3:55 PM CST reply actions
Agreed
Even if Newton plays AJ Green will be the best player on the field and Auburn’s pass defense is sketchy at best.
Methinks UGA covers and probably wins even if Sir Cam plays…and I’d probably take the over without even knowing what it is.
by HawKCP on Nov 12, 2010 6:35 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Uh-oh
44 sad sacks taking PSU to cover. I hope our lads don’t let you down.
The offensive line was inspired by McGloin.
Yinz don't listen to this fool.
"Are all McGloins so ill-mannered?" "Yeah, about 99 percent."
Beat Ohio State.
by ReadingRambler on Nov 12, 2010 4:19 PM CST up reply actions
+1 for "yinz"
I see you hail from the western half of PA
How about Illinois?
Minny isn’t even trying. Revolving QB’s, lame duck coach, no pride. Fork em, they’re done!
by George Un-Raveling on Nov 12, 2010 4:52 PM CST reply actions
I don't predict, I prophesize (not sure if that's a word but it sounds good)
Iowa covers -10 because I won’t bet against my team.
Michigan/Purdue is over easily.
Indiana circles the wagons and stays within 21.5.
Illinois covers -21 because Minnesota is full of FAIL.
Ohio St/Penn St under because I don’t think PSU scores all that much.
It's not that I'm lazy, Bob, it's that I just don't care
Upset of the week
Indiana to cover +21.5 and also win the game straight up. Wisconsin goes down in flames.
I will give you countless E-Hugs
if that happens
THE MOON WALK WAS A HOAX. YOUR POPCORN IS SHIT. JOLLY TIME FOREVER. FUCK PURDUE-RossWB
by Pain in the Sash on Nov 12, 2010 10:22 PM CST up reply actions
Michigan-Purdue: TAKE THE OVER MY GOD TAKE THE OVER. Michigan might break that by themselves, and if not a ball of string could put up 20 on them to make up the difference. Also leaning Michigan ATS, because the only unit in that game that doesn’t suck is Michigan’s offense.
Indiana-Wisconsin: Wisconsin is a very good team. Indiana is a very not good team. I’ll take Wisconsin and under, but not much confidence on either.
Minnesota-Illinois: No clue on the over-under, but Illinois covers with ease. They’ve regularly beaten the shit out of bad teams this year, and Minnesota is a bad team.
OSU-PSU: I don’t trust the PSU offense one bit (McGimli’s been getting it done against awful defenses), but Tressel is notorious for shutting it down the instant they get up two scores. PSU’s lost 24-3 twice this year; this time I think they mix it up and lose 24-7, thus covering the spread. The under is the safer bet, though.
Iowa-NW: If NW is in a game with a spread greater than 7 points, ALWAYS take the points. (Hypothetically, of course; even I know you never bet on your own team either way.) Also feels like an under pick.
Bradley-Terry ratings for college football and basketball
Because there aren't enough computer rankings already.
Ooooh, some bulletin board material
For Tday weekend.
McGimli walks the street with a battle axe!
The offensive line was inspired by McGloin.
So, to review:
Michigan-Purdue: Under, Purdue covered. 0 for 2.
Indiana-Wisconsin: Wisconsin covered (and how!), but the under not so much. 1 for 4.
Minnesota-Illinois: /facepalm 1 for 5.
OSU-PSU: McGimli pick-sixes cause both an OSU cover and the over. 1 for 7.
Iowa-NW: Well, I hit this one on the nose. 3 for 9.
This is why I don’t bet.
Bradley-Terry ratings for college football and basketball
Because there aren't enough computer rankings already.
bets up:
I guarantee at least one – probably both – of these will win:
Indiana +21.5 at Wisconsin
Indiana/Wisconsin Over 58
Not the safest bet but the one I am taking:
Purdue + 13 vs Michigan
by theflagshopisoutofstock on Nov 12, 2010 8:50 PM CST reply actions
Picks
So I am sitting here at work at 6 AM on a Saturday.. might as well make some picks.
My vote went to Penn State +17.5 at Ohio State – Will Penn St come out flat after a huge come from behind victory and Joe Pa’s 400th win? It’s possible but I think they will keep it close.
Illinois/Minnesota Under 53 – Will Minnesota even score more than 10 points?
Indiana +21.5 at Wisconsin – Only cause I hope Wisconsin loses /rosebowled
Michigan/Purdue Over 62- Very hesitant on this one, Purdue has averaged less than 8 points its last three games.
Iowa -10 at jNW – /homer’d
0 for 5
I think we have our FAILpost.
Bradley-Terry ratings for college football and basketball
Because there aren't enough computer rankings already.
The Money Pick
I’m only making one pick because that’s all you need to win.
Indiana vs Wisconsin Under 58 points but just barely, if you want to double her up take the points too. Get er’ done & good luck.

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![[No words to describe this. No words.--AJ]
Notti Boy gets some competition for the crown. NSFW-ish.](http://cdn3.sbnation.com/fan_shot_images/203389/0_small.jpg)
















