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The Takeaway: Northern Iowa

Sure, Iowa just beat UNI, 17-16. But how much do we really know? What was really important about Iowa winning? What does it all mean, Basil? The Takeaway has the answer.

Your pulse rate should be getting back to double digits sometime Tuesday. Suffice it to say, that's one of the most bizarre, unusual ends to a game that we've ever seen. It would have qualified as such even if UNI had gotten the second kick off cleanly, made or missed. Like, that would have been a much more compelling result, in our eyes. But regardless, that's the first time in D-I history that a team has blocked a field goal on consecutive snaps; that the plays ended a 1-point game might be so fantastically surreal that it's harder to contextualize it among anything else, be it football games or even life experiences. It's like seeing a UFO. Like... what the hell are you ever going to compare that to?

But it was a close win all the same, and that's a good thing; before the PSU win last year, Iowa had, what, nine straight losses in games decided by 3 points or fewer? So aside from the fact that it was a (damned fine) I-AA school, the fact that Iowa just won their second straight close game is a positive development. Or it just means they're reverting to the mean, whatever.

Just do it already: We got flashes of quite a bit out there yesterday. Keenan Davis looks athletic, Marvin McNutt's got some good hands, and the rest of the receiving corps are known quantities (and good, at that) and healthy. Yet at the same time, the offense sputtered. It's pretty obvious that the team needs a talented option at tailback, and though Robinson's the closest to that ideal, he's not good enough yet.

But just one play here or there qualifies as little more than a tease, and Iowa probably can't afford another raging case of blue balls and expect to keep up with ISU. There's got to be a payoff, and that means sustained drives getting into the end zone. They looked good at doing in in the second half after Pakiveli was shelved, but that ended up being barely enough.

Star-divide

Don't give me that "Ole" bullshit: This is what Norm Parker sees as he falls asleep after that game:

 

Okay, granted, that's if he falls asleep after taking several recreational drugs at once, but you get the picture.

One of the most disturbing aspects of the game was the poor tackling, especially from the linebacking position. We had considered A.J. Edds and Pat Angerer to contend for the title of heir apparent to the throne of RIdiculously Talented White Linebacker--previously held by Chad Greenway, of course--but their flailing, chasing performances were underwhelming, to say the least. Angerer was a little surerer in his tackling, but neither looked good in pass coverage. It's clearly not what we expected from the linebacking corps, and it appears to be a regression from 2008, even though the entre linebacking corps is back from last season. It doesn't make sense.

Bulls on Parade All-American lists: The consistency left something to be desired, but the defensive line showed the ability to wreak havoc on the UNI offensive line. Christian Ballard looks better at DT than we expected. We still feel like they're one or two bodies short of the 2001-2003 era of defensive lining.

The bottom line on the defense is this: they held UNI to 16 points. UNI has a relatively good offense. But Iowa's probably going to face--conservatively--5 or 6 better offenses over the course of the season. Since the offense hasn't yet demonstrated the ability to get involved in a shootout, this season could turn long and painful without the defense getting back to near-2008 levels.

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As Stoops said, on more than one occasion

Iowa absolutely must pass to set up the run. Until Robinson can figure it out, or Brinson gets healthy and lives up to (likely unreasonable) expectations, Iowa simply cannot run first. Obviously, Stanzi still has not moved past his STANZIBALL days, and he may never get over his love of throwing into triple coverage at least once a week, but, as the Hawkeyes showed on their most impressive drive of the day, if he gets a little time this offense can move the ball, and quickly.

by The Mexican't on Sep 7, 2009 10:12 PM CDT reply actions  

You forgot to mention...

the outstanding play of Amari Spivey. Thank God he was there to break up several passes, not to mention the sideline-to-sideline coverage he provided in chasing down guys in the flat. I think this might be the last season for us to watch him in black and gold, unless he goes to the Steelers….

Yee-Haw! I ride again!

by Cornshoe Hammaker on Sep 7, 2009 11:20 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Hmm
But it was a close win all the same, and that’s a good thing; before the PSU win last year, Iowa had, what, nine straight losses in games decided by 3 points or fewer?

It was also a come-from-behind victory, which have been fairly rare under KF.

We still feel like they’re one or two bodies short of the 2001-2003 era of defensive lining.

No love for the 04 line? Or is that comment referring to available depth? The 04 line didn’t have a great deal of depth, but the starting four were fantastic.

The bottom line on the defense is this: they held UNI to 16 points. UNI has a relatively good offense. But Iowa’s probably going to face—conservatively—5 or 6 better offenses over the course of the season. Since the offense hasn’t yet demonstrated the ability to get involved in a shootout, this season could turn long and painful without the defense getting back to near-2008 levels.

The defense definitely needs to tackle much better and it would be nice to generate a bit more consistent pass rush, but in terms of PPG, I think the onus is decidedly on the offense to produce more rather than the defense to prevent more. There’s room for improvement there, but 16 PPG is not that bad, all things considered. Scoring 17 PPG is pretty bad, though; they definitely need to bump that by at least 7-10 PPG or we’re going to put a lot of pressure on the defense to perform at a very, very high level and reduce our margin of error even further.

by RossWB on Sep 7, 2009 11:33 PM CDT reply actions  

After losing this close game

and enduring their heartbreaking playoff loss, I hope UNI just goes effing postal on the rest of their schedule and rampages to the 1-AA championship. If they can play every game like they played Saturday, this is likely. Elijah Hodge leading the defense helps.

by Third Generation Hawk on Sep 7, 2009 11:43 PM CDT reply actions  

Hodge seriously had to have had like 130 tackles in that game

It was to the point that when some guy in front of us stumbled off the bleachers while celebrating a big defensive play, the guy next to me immediately said “Elijah Hodge, with the stop”

by NorseHawk on Sep 8, 2009 7:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

Agree that the defense isn't an issue...

…other than Greenwood.

I have given Greenwood the benefit of the doubt for nearly 2 years. But when your defense is predicated on not getting beat over the top (it only happened once all last year) and you get burned for 60 yards on a weak play fake, among other transgressions on Saturday, I start to get grouchy.

Hopefully they continue to play Speivey on the same half of the field, and he just shuts it down by himself.

"Jack Trice Stadium - Easily one of the Top 10 Stadiums in Central Iowa"

by Not Marv Cook on Sep 8, 2009 7:19 AM CDT reply actions  

It wasn't just Greenwood

Castillo was a debacle (in his defense, this was his first college game), and Sash was late getting over on a few plays too. Basically Speivey was the only guy in the secondary playing all that well.

And of course this doesn’t even get into the many missed tackles by the rest of the defense, and the front fours giving Grace all fucking day to throw down the stretch.

By and large the defense did a good job, but there are definitely lots of issues to be addressed.

by NorseHawk on Sep 8, 2009 11:20 AM CDT up reply actions  

Interesting reactions

from most of the writers on the various blogs. While most writers find Iowa to be a terrible disappointment this week, there are a few who still have hope in us. While the Big Ten did underperform this week, 10 of the 11 teams escaped with wins.

This is the ding Iowa needed to get it’s ass in gear, and hopefully KF can see that DJK is a game changer. That said, DJK needs to get his ass in gear, and quit pissing off the coaching staff. Lames doesn’t scare me quite as much as it did last week, but I’m still going to lay low when it comes to arguing with my Clown friends until we see the score on Saturday afternoon.

They took the bar, the whole damn bar!

by recoveringfratguy on Sep 8, 2009 10:11 AM CDT reply actions  

On the one hand ...

it feels like Iowa is fucked. On the other, KF’s teams always start this way. I don’t think there has been a game #1 that made me confident for the season. Getting suspended players back has to help (although running backs that can run through contact would, too). Logic tells me Iowa should be able to handle ISU – however I’ll be utterly dismayed if that game is a clusterfuck, not shocked.

by txhawkeye on Sep 8, 2009 11:11 AM CDT reply actions  

I remember some...

first games under Ferentz that made me feel pretty confident.

Maine in ’08.
Montana in ’07.
Ball State in ’05.
maybe Kent in ’04.
maybe Akron in ’03.
Kent in ’02.

I've sentenced boys younger than you to the gas chamber. Didn't want to do it. I felt I owed it to them.

-- Judge Smails

by WaterlooChazz on Sep 8, 2009 10:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

You have some of those mixed up.

Akron was ’02. (Miami (OH) was ’03.) Montana was ’06.

Furthermore, I would content that in many of those years a blowout win was not at all indicative of the quality of the team and that, in fact, might have obscured certain flaws that would pop up later on. The ’04 team crushed Kent St… then got crushed themselves two weeks later in Arizona State. The ’05 team manhandled Ball State… then got hammered 23-3 by ISU the very next week. The ’06 team followed up the Montana game with the barely-escaped debacle at Syracuse and later imploded entirely in the back half of the season. Any early confidence you had in those teams may have soon been revealed as misplaced.

I have no idea how good – or bad – this year’s team will be. It would be easy to look at the UNI game and find lots of reasons to slant towards the latter interpretation, but I thinnk it’s worth seeing how things develop over the next couple weeks. The good news is that we won’t have to wait too long to know how good of a team we might have this year: we should know by the end of September whether or not this is a team capable of putting together a good season or if they’re going to be kicking and scraping to get to 7-5.

by RossWB on Sep 9, 2009 12:11 AM CDT up reply actions  

To fill in the gap...

the 06 team did look terrible in the NIU game but they rebounded to deliver the strongest performance ever seen out of JC6 as a hawkeye. A 35-0 beat down of Syracuse. Rest of the season…..not so much. Lets hope that thats not the case this year.

by Argulor on Sep 9, 2009 2:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the correction, Ross.

But, I maintain that when you see those wins, you say to yourself “we’ll probably be decent to pretty-good this year.” To me, that is some confidence.

Yes, a game against a MAC team may mask Iowa’s weaknesses. But, some weaknesses are already very apparent after watching a 1 point win against an FCS team that had two chances to be a 2 point loss.

I've sentenced boys younger than you to the gas chamber. Didn't want to do it. I felt I owed it to them.

-- Judge Smails

by WaterlooChazz on Sep 9, 2009 10:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

Well
But, I maintain that when you see those wins, you say to yourself "we’ll probably be decent to pretty-good this year." To me, that is some confidence.

Yes, but it was pointless confidence. What good does it do to blast Ball State 56-0 when you go and lose by 20 to ISU the very next week?

But, some weaknesses are already very apparent after watching a 1 point win against an FCS team that had two chances to be a 2 point loss.

So you’d rather just have a few weeks of false confidence? We get exposed at some point every single year; why not have it come early this year to give us a chance to fix the problems early. At least the exposure came in a game we actually won this year.

And I know “they’re just a I-AA team blah blah blah,” but I am pretty confident that UNI team would have wiped the floor with almost all of the other I-AA punching bags and MACrificial lambs we’ve opened the season with. They have a DE who’s been getting legit NFL attention and a QB and OL who are absurdly experienced. Those things matter a lot. The Sagarin ratings have them higher than four remaining teams on our schedule (Arkansas State, Iowa State, Indiana, and, most amusingly, jNWU).

by RossWB on Sep 9, 2009 10:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

Well...

Oline looked decent, but disorganized. Missed a couple assignments on stunts and blitzes which led directly to TFL’s and/or sacks. UNI was run blitzing a lot. I think I even saw LBs down in a stance a few plays. They were absolutely determined to not give us the run. Until we can either a) pass all over teams when they try to do this, or b) run all over them anyway (like Shonn did, or 2002 OL did) our offense is going to look a bit more anemic than we’d expect.

Stanzi was solid. Apart from the egregious YAC we gifted UNI’s offense, his stat line was nearly identical to UNI’s quarterback’s.

Moeaki almost cleared that guy. Don’t know what inspired him to try to jump over him rather than just lowering a shoulder… I’m sure that play will get a few rewinds in the film room.

WR looked very good. Apart from a drop or two, we looked like we had a very capable and deep corps.

RB… Paki was a starter because he’s paid his dues and will probably never get to start again. This season is starting out like 2004. I hope the RB issue is resolved, instead of getting worse as it did 5 years ago. We still have a shot at a serviceable run game, and I’m hoping our young backs can develop quickly. However, if there’s any position you can start a freshman and still be successful it’s at RB.

Dline looked good, but UNI held a lot (for every holding call they got pegged with – and there were many – there were about two more where they didn’t get called). Very athletic, but lost contain on a few too many plays.

LBs looked okay, DBs looked mediocre save Super Spuh-VAY.

Okay, why did we leave the wheel/flat/outlet receiver wide swearwording open all day? I mean, I can stomach letting him get a catch for an easy 7 yards, bend-don’t-break. But allowing him another 8 YAC?? What’s up with that, Norman Q. Parkerstein? And where was our D on all those crossing routes? We need a BOB who can flatten anyone trying to catch across the middle, so they start hearing footsteps.

Oy. UNI found something in our base defense that hasn’t been exploited before or something. That was ridiculous.

by rockyh on Sep 8, 2009 12:34 PM CDT reply actions  

I dont know which way to go...

are we that bad, or is UNI surprisingly that good. I will say this, from a pure passing standpoint, Pat Grace is the best QB we will face all year.

"I'm not doing any good back here."

by Hawkaloogie on Sep 8, 2009 12:35 PM CDT reply actions  

"The Best QB We Will Face All Year"

… had a lower completion percentage than Ricky Stanzi. 60.5% vs. 64.7%

From a pure passing standpoint.

by rockyh on Sep 8, 2009 12:44 PM CDT reply actions  

He was also facing...

a pretty good defense, and I imagine that 60.5% will be on the high end of QB’s that play Iowa’s defense this year. But really, pick another QB on our schedule that has a better arm than Pat Grace. Pryor? Clark? Weber (55-0)?

"I'm not doing any good back here."

by Hawkaloogie on Sep 8, 2009 5:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

I’m pretty sure Juice Williams’ gigantic head has an arm growing out of it that has a better arm than Pat Grace’s.

"If Ron Zook were an ice cream flavor, it would be praline and retard"
-Garth Algar

by Tree Meister on Sep 8, 2009 5:40 PM CDT reply actions  

We also don't face Juice Williams this year.

I got more rhymes than Wade Lookingbill's got dunks

by Adam Jacobi on Sep 8, 2009 7:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

True...

But isn’t it still fun to make fun of anything to do with Illinois, Zook, Juice Williams’ gargantuan head, or the colors blue and orange?

"If Ron Zook were an ice cream flavor, it would be praline and retard"
-Garth Algar

by Tree Meister on Sep 8, 2009 8:57 PM CDT reply actions  

Oh, that goes without saying.

I got more rhymes than Wade Lookingbill's got dunks

by Adam Jacobi on Sep 8, 2009 9:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

As One ISU Fan Put It...

Cornshoe Hammaker shared a quote from a mutual friend, an ISU Alum: “I really wish that Iowa had killed UNI so that we could catch them asleep in Ames.”

I seem to remember that it usually took one good hit to wake me up and remind me that I was playing football. I’m going to believe that this is the shot to the head that wakes up the Hawks…and not the one that leads to a string of concussions which ultimately ends a player’s career.

by SavagePoop on Sep 9, 2009 12:40 PM CDT reply actions  

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