The Takeaway: Arizona
Sure, Iowa just beat up on Arizona, 27-17. But how much do we really know? What was really important about beating Arizona? What does it all mean, Basil? The Takeaway has the answer.
Okay, time for the real Iowa to face a real quarterback: As we mentioned Saturday, Iowa's defense has absolutely obliterated the last two starting quarterbacks it faced; Austen Arnaud and Matt Scott, in their two appearances against Iowa, combined for 14-36, 129 yards, 0 TDs, 5 INT, and 2 benchings. That's goddamn brutal. Scott, especially, suffered Iowa's wrath; he was 4-8 for 50 yards. Then the second half started, and he completed precisely 1 pass: a perfectly thrown can of corn to Tyler Sash, who announcers said "almost called for a fair catch" on the play. Lucky for Iowa, he didn't; Sash ended up returning the pass 43 yards, and Iowa would soon thereafter kick a field goal that put the game out of reach for Arizona.
But the one nagging issue is that Matt Scott sucks, and Arnaud's credentials are little better. Pat Grace--the one good QB Iowa has faced--antagonized Greg Castillo for a whole game, but Castillo was never supposed to be starting; that's basically Shaun Prater's job, and Prater looked pretty damned good in his first game back. Darryl Clark, meanwhile, is generally accepted as one of the two best QBs in the conference, depending on your opinion of Terrelle Pryor and--if you're clinically insane--Juice Williams.

No holding was called on this play. Not that Karl Klug cares, of course; not here, not ever.
It'll be good. No, really, it will be. Nobody thinks Iowa's going to hold Clark to the median of the last two starters' performances (7-18, 64 yards, and a statistically curious 2.5 INT), but what he can accomplish with a meh receiving corps against a legitimate pass defense does remain to be seen. We're still looking quizzically at the linebackers and their pass coverage, but does anybody really think Clark's going to victimize anybody in the Iowa secondary? Prater, maybe. Greenwood, maybe (By the way, CLICK HERE for awesome footage of the Iowa secondary in action). The real hay's going to be made over the middle for PSU, though, not over the top or outside the hashes, and it's going to be interesting to see if the Nits have the patience to stick with that. Arnaud didn't, and hell followed.
Speaking of which, holy crap Tyler Sash: Obviously, this trend of Tyler Sash and his separations of offense and possession cannot keep its pace. Sash, who we might remind you is just a sophomore, picked off his fourth pass on Saturday, and it might have been his easiest takeaway of his Iowa career. That makes 7 interceptions in his last 5 games, and it says nothing of Sash's missile-like pursuit to the sidelines.
This dominance has its costs, though, and the primary unbeneficiary of them is David Cato. Cato made his presence known by knocking Grigsby for a big loss after the Cats got to Iowa's 1. Ah, but the third down that failed on that play? Effected by Sash pressuring Scott into an impossible pass after Scott rolled out. So you see the problem here.
Making things tougher is the fact that both players are sophomores; Cato burned his redshirt out of necessity last season. But Cato is necessarily a strong safety. It seems like Ferentz is trying to get him on the field more often, usually on special teams, but someone's going to have to switch positions to get both guys playing. That someone isn't going to be Sash, who's probably the best strong safety Iowa's had since Bob Sanders (yeah, I said it). Fortunately, Cato's frame looks like it might be big enough for a move to LB; we'll see what the team decides after the season. It's a shame, because Cato looks legit in his own right; that legitimacy may necessitate a transfer for his own sake, though, and that would suck.
But we digress. If Sash keeps up this kind of production, he's going to go down as one of the best safeties in Iowa history. We're three games into his sophomore season, so it's obviously not quite the time to start deciding his place in the list of the greats; that pace has to actually, y'know, keep up first. But man, he's good.
The Paul Chaney Jr. end around: We think the novelty's worn off, guys. Yes, the defenses need to respect Chaney or he'll bust one, but... they've tried it, what, four times now? Five? And he hasn't come close to taking one to the house. Unless this is some first step in a grand scheme to pull off an epic quadruple reverse, Iowa has probably shot its "end around" load.
Two tailbacks? And neither of them are Jeff Brinson or Jewel Hampton? Um, we did not expect this: First of all, everybody who thought three months ago that Adam Robinson would rush for a C-note on Arizona, please raise your hand. Okay, thank you, Robinson family and Lincoln alumni; the rest of you are fucking liars.
On one hand, Robinson registered 101 yards on the ground and you cannot take that away from him. That said... 43 of those yards came on a busted draw on 3rd and 23, a play where the Arizona DBs would have faced sodomy from a Mag-Lite if they'd bit on any sort of play fake. That's important because the prevailing narrative about Iowa's uncaring treatment of Nic Grigsby included a caveat about 58 of Grigsby's 75 yards coming on one carry, and we cannot have it both ways. Yes, A-Rob was better per carry even with the big run taken away, but if we say Arizona's run game was taken away, we have to admit Iowa's fared little better on median; excepting the big run, between A-Rob and Brandon Wegher, Iowa rushed 34 times for 104 yards. That's about 3.1 yards a pop, and if Arizona can do that to Iowa, Penn State should expect something similar. That does not bode well.
All of this is to be expected, though. After all, we're talking about a backfield tandem of a redshirt freshman who was generally thought of as the 4th best returning tailback six months ago, and a true freshman from Sioux City. Yes, they've outproduced those bona fides thus far, but not by that much, and here comes a real Big Ten defense just wishing a motherfucker would try to go between the tackles on them.
So what to take away from the rushing game? Well, Robinson ran hard, Wegher did things nobody else on the team can do (A cannonball from the 4 on a goal line dive that scores with ease? Come. on.), and together, they're in for the fight of their young lives against a PSU defense that's going to be amped as fuck when Iowa comes to town.
And finally, this team is pretty close to legit. We're not about to say Iowa was underrated when they were at #21/22 coming into the season. Based on the way the AP votes, that designation is just about all a random Team X could ask for after these first three games.
At the same time, Iowa's missed 6 of its top 7 players on offense for at least a full game this season. Don't believe us? Bryan Bulaga, DJK, Tony Moeaki, Kyle Calloway, Jewel Hampton, Julian Vandervelde. Of those six, only two are healthy now, and we're not sure how many more will be ready to rock by the time the Happy Valley date rolls around. Every one of those players Iowa gets back is one step closer to a win at Penn State. We don't think Iowa's got the victory in hand by any stretch, especially in its current form.
But Bulaga's better than Riley Reiff. Moeaki's better--especially for the run game--than Allen Reisner. DJK's better than Colin Sandeman. Even if improvements are incremental, they're still improvements, and Iowa could use all the help it can get towards getting closer to full strength for the PSU game.
And yet, Iowa's still already 3-0, and the defense is rounding into mid-season form already. Granted, this could still all end in a 40-point victory for the Nittany Lions, but we'll see how much good news Iowa gets in the lead-up to the game. Plus, if there's anything Ferentz has proven himself to be up for, it's BEATING PENN SCHTAAAATE.
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34 comments
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Comments
That is awesome!
It never gets to be easy
by chitownhawkeye on Sep 21, 2009 5:41 PM CDT up reply actions
I've been saying let Sash play free safety (which I think he has the range for) and Cato strong for awhile now
Of course, when I first started suggesting it, it involved benching Greenwood, but he’s played well the last couple games and is never getting benched anyway because the coaches love him. Cato could still have a year as a starter though since Greenwood is a junior, although I agree it’d be nice to get him on the field before that. I don’t really like the idea of moving him to linebacker, because we’re a lot deeper there than we are at safety (especially once this next recruiting class gets on campus).
Paul Chaney Jr.
One thing that I noticed at the game last week was the huge cushion the defenders lining up on PCjr were giving him. I know now they were correctly assuming we would not do anything but give it to him on a reverse, but at times during the game it seemed like he was ignored as a threat completely with defenders lining up over him 10-15 yards downfield and then leaving him to cover a tight end once the ball was snapped.
I am no Bellanca, but to me it seems obvious we should get him the ball quick when this happens and just see what he can do with the space since I’ve heard he’s sort of fast. It seems like that’s what they do in the NFL with guys like Steve Smith when teams are dumb enough to line up 10-15 yards off him. Just a thought.
Give the ball to Brandon "wond3RBoy" Wegher!
Exactly.
It just seems like teams are begging us to do this type of thing with PCjr. I know Stanzi would rather run the normal play and get a shot at triple coverage downfield, but maybe when it is 2nd and 4 and they are giving PCjr a 12 yard cushion it would be nice to see what he can do with that speed. If I can see it from 42 rows up…I would hope they see it one of these games.
Give the ball to Brandon "wond3RBoy" Wegher!
I think the read for that play
is the position/movement of the OLB or safety, if the corner is in a soft zone. We ran a ton of bubble screens in years past. Hinkel made a living with them. They’re designed to keep backside pursuit honest, and keep the numbers down inside the box. Chris Brown discusses it here in the context of the RichRod/Malzahn zone read scheme.
I just think Chaney looks confident and strong this year. The contrast to just a few years ago when *Herb Grigsby" was on the field is extraordinary.
Mr. Boh Knows ...
I meant the contrast between this group of receivers
and the very limited, thin group that resulted in Grigsby getting starts and minutes.
Mr. Boh Knows ...
Chaney may not be breaking those reverses for TDs
But he has had a few long gains, and gotten us some first downs. I do agree that they’re probably overusing it a bit though. They at least need to start faking it a lot more if they’re going to run it multiple times a game.
by NorseHawk on Sep 21, 2009 11:30 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
He needs to be deep on the Kick off return unit too...
He looks like a new dude this year. MUCH more confident.
Zed: You could be my right-hand man.
Oh: I've seen what you do with your right hand. No, thank you.
by StoopsMyAss on Sep 21, 2009 12:12 PM CDT up reply actions
3.1 v. 1.5
If your median rush (net of outliers) is 3.1 you’re moving the ball reliably, and staying out of third and longs.
If your median rush is 1.5, your offense is broken.
I believe the end-arounds are the constraint play to keep the backside DE from helping too much playside. I don’t remember clearly but my memory is that on an outside zone or stretch the OT chips the end and immediately goes hunting on the second level.
I just watched a RichRod video and they don’t even block the backside DE, in their core rungame.
Mr. Boh Knows ...
Scary thought.
Comments on Chaney raise a thought that is entertaining.
I was just wondering: is this the first big-time game against a highly rated opponent (since the 1950s) where we are walking onto the field with better overall team speed?
I wonder. There’s footspeed, and there’s football speed. If we have Moeaki and Bulaga on the field, we may have the advantage in both. Certainly we were faster than Arizona and South Carolina.
Mr. Boh Knows ...
I think any team with Tim Dwight automatically has better speed. So, no.
For a more serious answer, the 2002 team was awfully fucking fast, even along the line (comparatively speaking, that is) although I can’t remember off the top of my head if we played any really highly ranked teams until USC, who was even faster.
I watched the Penn State replay.
They did not seem that fast on edge to me. They seem big though, particularly up the middle. I don’t think we relinquish a speed advantage to them at all. That will be evident when Royster gets the ball. If he does not look faster than Grisgby, then they might be in trouble. I expect Clark to threaten to run more though. To challenge the D-line to be more disciplined.
Zed: You could be my right-hand man.
Oh: I've seen what you do with your right hand. No, thank you.
by StoopsMyAss on Sep 21, 2009 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions
I think Royster's biggest problem will be that they need nametags for the guards. Evidently they are still rotating 4 of them.
To modify a cliche, if you have four guards you have none. Wisniewski seemed to lose his shit over this in the post-game. It wasn’t Drew Tate-esque, but it was pretty shocking.
Mr. Boh Knows ...
Yep
Grigsby has a far better day if the AZ quarterback of the hour was any threat on designed runs (they scrambled well, but I think there was only one designed QB draw, and it was run on the first or second play of the game). If Clayborn has to stay home and can’t immediately key on Grigsby, he doesn’t run him down from behind repeatedly. Clark’s ability to run in designed plays changes that dynamic considerably.
Before you respond, let me remind you: Brian Cook called me smug, which makes me the Obama of smugness. I'm basically Smugbama.
by Hawkeye State on Sep 21, 2009 12:33 PM CDT up reply actions
The linebackers are fast enough, with the exception of Josh Hull. Sean Lee is faster than I remember, which says a lot for his rehab’s effectiveness, I suppose. We’ll probably (hopefully) get Bowman back. Bani Gbadyu is quite fast, but his tackling is so bad the coaches only play him to give others a breather.
As I’ve said before, I’m not sure what to make of the corners yet.
Iowa is not slower than Penn State. Not at all.
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Sep 21, 2009 12:50 PM CDT up reply actions
Bani Gbadyu
Gesundheit! //hands tissue
by YouCanPutYourEddsInIt on Sep 21, 2009 1:33 PM CDT up reply actions
O HAI
Sean Lee is injured.
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Sep 21, 2009 3:19 PM CDT up reply actions
Nothing to see here?
Bulaga, DJK, and Moeaki all missing from Monday’s two-deeps.
Should I be in a corner curled up in the fetal position rocking back and forth whilst mumbling, or is it no big dea?
by YouCanPutYourEddsInIt on Sep 21, 2009 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions
How good is Bulaga's replacement?
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Sep 21, 2009 3:45 PM CDT up reply actions
Great so far
Had a solid game against ISU, and basically shut down Arizona’s best DE last week. He’s no Bulaga (especially in run-blocking), but he’s a great athlete and seems to be a quality starting tackle (who should only get better, since he’s only been playing o-line for about a year).
The longer the Bulaga thing goes on, the more worried I become. I mean, it doesn’t really mean anything right now, but it can’t be a good sign that he’s still out when they expected him back last week.
As has been said by others
with far more knowledge than I, while it would be nice to have Moeaki back, it’s not like him not being in the lineup is something the Iowa coaches aren’t used to. Reisner has proven more than capable when he’s needed to step up, even if there is a bit of a dropoff in blocking.
Bulaga’s absence hasn’t turned into anything like the big deal some of us (me) were making it out to be, but at the same time you have to wonder what the deal is with him. After the ISU game, Kirk said he was going to resume normal activities and be ready for Arizona. After he didn’t practice for, or play against, Arizona, he’s not on the depth chart today. Something’s up and if Kirk doesn’t want people to speculate about what it is that’s ailing him, he needs to throw the media a bone tomorrow.
DJK…hard to know what to make of it, as even in his absence, 7 guys caught balls against Arizona.
I worded that wrong...
and that isn’t what I meant. Hopefully by now, Kirk has been in contact with Brian’s doctors as to what ailing him, and has some sort of idea as to when Brian might get back into the lineup.
He can tell the media (and in turn, all of us) when he expects Brian to be back in the lineup without violating his privacy. If he doesn’t know, then he can say that as well.
Oh, yeah, that's okay then, sorry
I thought you meant, like reveal what was wrong with him, which would be uncool.
Anyway, I think it’s one of those deals where it all depends on how he’s responding the the treatment and they honestly don’t know right now.
I'm curious to see how much zone blitz we throw at them.
Norm must be saying to himself that we have never had DEs like these.
The fact is, you can drop Klug and Ballard into coverage, if you want to. (I saw this on one of the NFL games: a DT dropped into coverage. Of course, the ball hit him in the hands and bounced to the ground, but he was there.)
Mr. Boh Knows ...
Jay Ratliff of the Cowboys did it last night
Granted, he’s basically a DE who happens to be strong enough to play NT, but it was impressive
Clayborn runs like a LB
He’s the real deal. I bet that he can catch an interception if one comes his way, given he was a TE in high school. I love that we have the versatility to be able to really work zone blitzes into the gameplan… throws another wrinkle into the defense that the O has to account for.
Here’s a nice article that explains the philosophy behind the scheme.
I wouldn't discount that ARob run too much.
I was in the north endzone on the east side of the field, so I had a great view of what was going on at the line and with AZ’s DBs. When it came up 3rd and 23, I turned to my folks (took em to the game as thanks for raising me to be a Hawk fan/student) and said, “It’s KOK, so this is an obvious run play. He won’t want a big defensive play, we’ll punt if he’s tackled, and if he breaks it it’s a bonus.”
Anyone that knows KOK knew that would be a run due to time, field position, score, and overall momentum of the game. It was a delay that A Rob executed almost perfectly (though there was some bumping near the LOS that uglied it up just a little. He just stepped the one way, then waited for his hole to open, took a step forward, grabbed the handoff and jack-rabbited to the first. I couldn’t believe he managed to stay on his feet, but it should not be taken away from him by any means (it was pure chutzpa from him and the line- – and great downfield blocking). I realize y’all were talking about “mean/median production” but the point is solid. It was a great effort, and even though it won’t play out that way every time, it was no fluke.
by Eyeheartfreedumb on Sep 21, 2009 3:51 PM CDT reply actions
Don't be surprised if an exotic
with McNutt finds its way into this game. Remember I said this. Wait, it’s in print, I’m covered.
Zed: You could be my right-hand man.
Oh: I've seen what you do with your right hand. No, thank you.

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