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BlogpLOL Week Seven: No Alarms, No Surprises

RankTeamDelta
1 Alabama
2 Iowa 3
3 Texas 1
4 Florida 1
5 Boise State 5
6 Oregon 5
7 Cincinnati 5
8 Southern Cal 1
9 Georgia Tech 10
10 Virginia Tech 8
11 Miami (Florida) 2
12 TCU 4
13 Penn State
14 Pittsburgh
15 Arizona
16 Oklahoma State 6
17 Ohio State 9
18 Texas Tech
19 LSU 1
20 South Carolina 1
21 Nebraska 15
22 Mississippi
23 West Virginia
24 Houston
25 Michigan
Last week's ballot

Dropped Out: Kansas (#15), Brigham Young (#17), Oklahoma (#20), Arkansas (#23), Notre Dame (#24), Wisconsin (#25).
Tackle Eligible:  Kansas, Cal, Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Central Michigan.

Tebow_lol_medium

A brief BlogpLOL breakdown this week, as the poll gains some semblance of stability.  Record and schedule strength eclipse victory margin more and more with each week; the universal advance by the lower ranked undefeateds (Boise and Cincinnati up 5 each, TCU up 4) wasn't the result of any adjustment per se, but instead comes solely from their ability to avoid crippling losses.

The top 4 -- Alabama, Iowa, Texas, and Florida -- are head and shoulders above the remainder of the poll.  I won't get into the specifics of the formula, but the gap between #4 Florida and #5 Boise is only slightly less than that between Boise and #15 Arizona.  Within those tiers, there is little margin for error.  For instance, there is virtually no breathing room between the top 4.  Similarly, numbers 5 through 11 are separated by the most minute of differences; if Miami had scored two more touchdowns so far this season, or if one of Georgia Tech's opponents had picked up an extra win, each would vault ahead of Boise.  By the time you get to #15, the poll is a crapshoot.


One of my favorite pastimes is reading reviews of really bad movies.  The thinly-veiled fury and condescension is intoxicating.  Much in the same vein, let's look at the worst schedules of poll contenders (teams with two losses or less are currently in consideration, with select three-loss teams added next week and all three-loss teams by week nine):

1.  BYU (Opp. record: 15-29, no I-AA) -- This is just a case of bad luck: Brigham Young, tired of hearing how bad its schedule is, goes and gets Oklahoma and Florida State, then watches their two premiere non-conference opponents start a combined 5-7 (and gets shellacked by Florida State to boot).  Throw in Tulane and the low end of the Mountain West (almost identical to third-worst Utah) and the Cougars are number one with a bullet.

2.  South Florida (Opp. record: 13-22, 2 I-AA) -- Here's how bad the Bulls' slate has been: Of USF's opponents' 13 wins, 6 belong to Cincinnati.  South Florida's first opponent, Wofford, is 1-5 in I-AA.  Their only win?  Charleston Southern, who happened to be USF's other I-AA opponent.

3.  Utah (Opp. record 14-24, no I-AA) -- The Utes have yet to dive into the deep end of the Mountain West, but are another example of a team with a loss to a top 10 team (Oregon) with little else of consequence: 1-5 Utah State, 1-5 SJSU, 2-4 Louisville, 3-4 Colorado State, and 2-5 UNLV.  Of course, that hasn't stopped the voters from putting them in the top 25 to the detriment of more worthy teams (I'm looking at you, Hlas.)

4.  Tulsa (Opp. record 15-24, 1 I-AA) -- Once more, things could be so much worse if it weren't for the Golden Hurricanes' loss to 6-0 Boise.  Tulsa has had the rare privilege of playing two different winless teams, beating both the Rice Owls and the "Iron" Mike Locksley-led (or at least sometimes-led) New Mexico Lobos, and none of Tulsa's other opponents are currently over .500 (though Oklahoma is included, so there is some room for improvement).

5.  Arizona State (Opp. record 16-23, 1 I-AA) -- While their in-state rivals have played arguably the nation's toughest schedule to date, Arizona State has racked up four wins over teams that are a combined 8-18, including arguably the worst team in the BCS conferences and almost unquestionably the worst team in D-IAA.  Bravo, you magnificent volcano-jumping bastard.  Bravo.

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Iowa as #2? Of course you realize you've brought down karma and

WE’RE FUCKED!

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Oct 21, 2009 12:59 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

We're fucked.

Speaking of which, where’s the top ten reasons we’ll lose to Michigan State? I am worried by the lateness.

Brunettes not fighter jets

by rockyh on Oct 21, 2009 8:54 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

We are totally fucked

Don’t you realize you are bringing the inevitable wrath of the coulter/kos effect. We are so screwed.

by Enoch on Oct 21, 2009 9:48 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Settle down, you fuckers

Iowa’s #5 in the blogpoll at large. We’re not getting C/K.

Before you respond, let me remind you: Brian Cook called me smug, which makes me the Obama of smugness. I'm basically Smugbama.

by Hawkeye State on Oct 21, 2009 10:27 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But...but...

don’t you know that how you vote in an online poll totally affects how Iowa plays?! It is like how I haven’t washed my game day underwear all year. They haven’t lost yet this year, so it must be working!

by Enoch on Oct 21, 2009 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, fuckers.

The C/K curse has landed in Morgantown this week. HS did manage to make the top 5 for what seems like the fourth week in a row, though. Of course, that’s mostly because the other voters don’t understand the greatness that is Iowa football.

by The Mexican't on Oct 21, 2009 11:32 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

We got lucky

We were 2nd in C/K 2 weeks ago, and that was too close of a game. Last week it murderized Nebraska (excuse me while I laugh).
That curse is real

It never gets to be easy

by chitownhawkeye on Oct 21, 2009 4:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The winner had the week off, though

Second place among teams not on a bye is relatively safe.

(And frankly, I think this is more a case of the poll as a whole being wrong than real bias. I don’t see how a vote below #6 can possibly be justified, and yet a full third of the poll did just that.)

by SpartanDan on Oct 21, 2009 8:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rode hard, left wet!

i don't wife em...i one night em

by smokinthereiff on Oct 21, 2009 11:56 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

We're "The Houston 500" fucked

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Oct 21, 2009 1:39 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

blast from the past

totally changed my life

by Gustav on Oct 21, 2009 1:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love it when a woman sets her goals

and then goes out and accomplishes them.

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 21, 2009 4:24 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Totally Fisted.

"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me

by BStylin Hawkye on Oct 21, 2009 1:52 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Wouldn't it be an Arm Shield?

If it’s by Sparty?

"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me

by BStylin Hawkye on Oct 22, 2009 12:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This seems the appropriate place. Stoops, get off your ass and post the 10.

We’re fucking fucked.

by txhawkeye on Oct 21, 2009 2:41 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The Utes

They were good last year, though.

by Mike Hlas on Oct 21, 2009 8:05 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

That was last year.

The polls are supposed to be about who’s best this year. And I’m not sure the argument here is that they’re a bad team so much as that they haven’t proven themselves to be a good one yet.

by SpartanDan on Oct 21, 2009 8:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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