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The Takeaway: Wisconsin

Sure, Iowa just choked the life out of the Badgers, 20-10. But how much do we really know? What was really important about beating Wisconsin? What does it all mean, Basil? The Takeaway has the answer.

Stanzidjk_medium
"Thank you for getting with the program."


This week's theme: Frailty. No, we're not talking about the Bill Paxton thriller, we mean the actual condition of frailty and how it relates to last week's win for the Hawkeyes.

1) The frailty of 7-0: Iowa is now 7-0 for the first time in almost a quarter-century, and on the precipice of the most successful start to a season ever in school history (the undefeated, untied seasons of 1921 and 1922 were seven-season games, so... suck on that, Duke Slater). We are, quite literally, one game away from Iowa history.

Star-divide

And yet, it's come with three wins in which Iowa trailed in the second half, another where Iowa won by three points, and another still where Iowa won by just two. Their average margin of victory is calculated in microns. It's a strange and unexpected development for a team about whom, just eleven months ago, we wrote this:

The difference between 2001 and 2008 is salary. Just like 2001, this is the first time in a few years that Iowa has enjoyed a distinct physical advantage with their opponents, but they're coming up just short. In 2001, 7-5 was awesome. It was positive. It was "we're not getting beating by Western Michigan this year!"

The problem, of course, is that Kirk Ferentz isn't paid for growing pains anymore. And when you get a situation like this where Iowa hasn't won their last 8 games decided by three points or fewer, that starts to become an indictment of the head coach.

Going back as long as the seniors have been suiting up, the Iowa program has real, fatal trouble in close games. Coming into a game against a PSU team that's superior in both discipline and physical talent, that spells automatic loss this weekend. Don't let the 7.5-point line fool you--while Iowa's certainly capable of making the game competitive for all four quarters, there is very, very little to suggest they can come away from the game with an upset win.

Well then, times have certainly changed, haven't they? Even with a patchwork-at-times offense and a schizophrenic quarterback, Iowa has now won four straight games decided by three points or fewer. That those four games have come in a ten-game stretch is somewhat troubling, but as 2002 Ohio State proved, wins are wins.

We're also struck by the 2001/2008 corollary, which is proving itself true beyond our wildest imagination thus far in terms of W/L improvement. The specifics aren't quite there, as anybody who watched 2002 Iowa football can tell you, but it seems evident that the "2008 as a nostrum for the horror of 2005-2007" fits in nicely with where the 2001 season belong in the arc of Hawkeye history.

Jclay_medium
As allegories for the Wisconsin offense go, this was pretty bad.

2) The frailty of John Clay's lower body. First of all, thank God John Clay's okay, because we've never seen anyone get bent like that, then get up and continue playing football. We could have easily imagined a season-ending injury to any of four places--back, hip, knee, ankle--and not have been surprised. But lo and behold, Clay got up and kept getting at it. We're really going out on a limb here, but we say that's a good thing.

That all said, that man should not have played football for the rest of the day, because here's a breakdown of Clay's production before and after the injury:

  • Pre-injury: 12 rushes, 68 yards, 6 first downs
  • Post-injury: 9 rushes, 7 yards, 0 first downs

With Zach Brown nursing a concussion (and we hope he gets at least two more weeks of rest; the absence of symptoms DOES NOT EQUAL full recovery), Wisconsin had to choose between Clay and true freshman Montee Ball, who had rang up 5 carries for 21 yards and a 10-yard score on Iowa's defense. Incredibly (but only if you don't know who we're talking about), Bret Bielema chose Clay for the entire second half; Ball may as well have beaten the traffic home after halftime. Bielema must be proud of himself.

Tolzien_medium
We may want to check Mr. Tolzien for a concussion as well. No, seriously, this looks really bad, like a Mortal Kombat finishing move.

3) The frailty of Scott Tolzein: Bucky's Fifth Quarter chalks the implosion of Wisconsin's offense up to Bielema's--ahem--debatable decision to insert Curt Phillips in at quarterback with the Badgers holding a 10-3 lead:

Holding a 10-3 lead (and the momentum) in the second quarter, UW took over at their own 26-yard line having just completed a 92-yard touchdown drive in which Scott Tolzien coverted 5-of-6 passing attempts for 67 yards. It appeared as if Tolzien had successfully rebounded from a shaky start at Ohio State last week, but in a shocking move, back-up quarterback Curt Phillips replaced Tolzien at quarterback and the UW offense went three-and-out for the first time all day.

Tolzien played from that point on, but the only time Wisconsin even got a whiff of the redzone was when the defense forced a turnover at the Iowa 25-yard line. Wisconsin didn't score a point there either.

If one series of giving a backup some snaps (a stupid decision, even as Wisconsin came within a yard of converting a first down) is all it takes to shake Tolzien's poise, that's not a good sign. Nonetheless, here comes another split:

  • Pre-substitution: 7-9, 80 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT, 3 first downs (and one easy pass that bounced off a wide open Maurice Moore's hands in the end zone; Wisconsin would score on the next snap)
  • Post-substitution: 8-16, 63 yards, 0 TD, 3 INT, 3 first downs

That, sir, is a certified BITCHMAKING, and those gentlemen with puffy eyes are Austen Arnaud, Matt Scott, Daryll Clark, and Tate Forcier. They'd like to share their stories about how Iowa's defense ruined their day with you too.

4) The frailty at tight end: Tony Moeaki would be the most injury-fucked Iowa player in Ferentz's Iowa career--by a wide margin, even--if it weren't for fellow Wheaton-Warrenville alumnus Dace Richardson, both of whom are experiencing a wholly unlikely resurgence in this, their senior season. Moeaki is back and delivering the ass-kicking everybody expected for the last four years or so, recording his third touchdown in two weeks with a scintillating 24-yard reception (you can pretty much end the video after that, as the highlights are marred by excessive fan-woofing).

Tonymo_medium

Meanwhile, Wisconsin was further hampered after their own weapon at TE, Garrett Graham, suffered his own game-ending injury with a concussion (again, one that we hope Bielema or any other college coach would treat with a month off). In that second half, the Badgers really had no chance, even as they led coming out of the break with the ball. Missing their best tailback and super-talented tight end? Who can bounce back from that? OH HO HO, WAIT A SECOND...

5) The mental frailty missing from the Iowa Hawkeyes, from the top down: For as much as Wisconsin's success depended on the health of Clay and consistency from Tolzien or smart calls from Bielema, Iowa never wavered, never panicked, never abandoned the aspects of their gameplan--well, unless we're talking about going for it on the 31-yard line. Let's keep going to Daniel Murray on that one, shall we?

Awesome_medium
The first and only picture we've ever saved as "awesome.jpg."

As has been pointed out by multiple members of our community, Iowa has an unshaking resiliency that has carried them this far through the season, whether it be from Ferentz not panicking in his gameplan (even ARRGH ARRGH ARRGH running Wegher on first down when we all know it means 2nd and 12), Ricky Stanzi not letting his STANZIBALLs get to him, or the defensive front seven not giving up after 20 minutes of pure Wisconsin beatdown in the rushing game (and let's be honest, that's what it was). But Iowa brings it for 60 minutes, six seconds of hell at a time, and nobody this season has stood up to the Hawkeyes and dished it back in greater amounts...yet.

There are five games between here and 12-0. The second-toughest remaining game looms this week.  If Iowa wins, you absolutely must be on board with where this season's headed.

It's a strange situation, one in which a decidedly strong team have worked their way into a national championship scene that isn't ready for them (and probably vice versa) this season. Is Iowa's hold on the Top 10 frail? Perhaps, but not relative to the rest of the Big Ten.

Boombitch2_medium
Decidely unfrail
, flu be damned.

 

 

 

Photo credits: The Iowa City Press-Citizen and Cedar Rapids Gazette

0 recs  |  Comment 48 comments |

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Spievey’s 2 leg takedown was awesome. He split the defenders, picked his ass up and slammed him on his back. Not a safety, a corner. And Morehouse indicates they weren’t sure he would play until they came out for final warmups. Greatness.

by txhawkeye on Oct 20, 2009 7:45 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

talking about the NC

scares the Shit out of me

by TAMPAHAWK on Oct 20, 2009 7:51 AM CDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

If we're this distracted by the dream,

imagine what these athletes are hearing as they walk around campus all week. MSU has the advantage of their athletes walking around the campus hearing, “Good luck this week, fourth in a row, eh?” instead of “We’re going to the national championship game!”

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Oct 20, 2009 8:04 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is where the UNI and Ark St games may come in handy

I would hope at the first whiff of looking ahead, the coaching staff would bust out portions of those tapes as a gentle reminder of that anything short of 100% can result in a loss. Granted it only goes so far, but hopefully they can serve as one of the tethers keeping the team grounded.

Iowa Basketball: We don't rebuild, we implode.

by three and out the kok story on Oct 20, 2009 8:10 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or the Wisky film

Ferentz said today that he has plenty to show then from this week’s game. He will not let them get too high on all of this.

by Bluzmn on Oct 20, 2009 5:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This Iowa team sort of reminds me of my rugby team this year.

Despite being a Div. 2 team, we’ve now lost 10-3 on the road and tied 10-10 at home against two teams that are widely considered among the Top-10 and Top-15*, respectively. We have comparable athletic talent (just like Iowa, despite what the talking heads say), but our rugby skills might lack a little. What kept us in the games (and brought us back to a tie in the second) is our relentless mentality in which we never stop bringing. We don’t feel inferior to other teams, we don’t stop because we get hit in the mouth (quite literally, actually), we don’t give up. We are in better shape than any team we face, and we know as long as we keep bringing the intensity, we know we’ll wear down the other teams. We’ve dominated every second half we’ve been in.

Hit somebody. Hit somebody hard. And keep hitting somebody hard. The entire game. I usually like skill over hustle and grit, but man, are both my rugby team and the Hawkeyes fun to watch.

The fun part is, when we face teams in our Division and our “level” like a club team from Lawrence or the team that went undefeated in our region, Tulsa, we beat them 84-3 and 40-5. Straight DEE-stroyed.

It’s fun this Fall.

*USA Men’s Rugby goes: 16 teams in Super League-what these two are in , Div. 1, Div. 2-what we’re in, Div. 3. We’re playing way over our heads.

People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. --Bruce Bartlett

by tyger1147 on Oct 20, 2009 8:35 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The other thing that's familiar is the, "Iowa/Omaha didn't beat us, we beat ourselves..."

…excuse. Sucks ass. People might be willing to admit that they got beat by skill or athletic ability, but it seems no one seems to want to admit they got beat by being worn down, being beat down repeatedly, being out-conditioned.*

There’s always some excuse: “We weren’t ready,” “We missed opportunities,” “They cheated/had the ref hand it to them,” etc. Notwithstanding that we probably had a little something to do with forcing them to make mistakes. When you’re getting beat up, you might not have that extra effort, you tend not think straight and make mental mistakes, etc. Duh.

*Personally, I think being conditioned and having a relentless attitude is a skill like any other. There are natural abilities that help it, a coach can teach it, it can be learned, perfected, blah blah blah.

People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. --Bruce Bartlett

by tyger1147 on Oct 20, 2009 8:41 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Robert E Lee:

“The Union didn’t beat us—we beat ourselves. At Gettysburg, there was a lack of execution, pure and simple. And turnovers! Don’t get me started about the Monitor. We had a good gameplan, but blockades from the week before weakened our defense. The Blues got a few lucky breaks, we didn’t capitalize on their mistakes—well, you can see the scoreboard just as well as I can.

There’s a few things we need to clean up before the next war, but we’ll be ready."

If it's not too much trouble, search your soul--and then ask yourself if maybe I might have a point.

by The Director on Oct 20, 2009 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And style points, what about style points.

Grant and his whiskey-swilling, mud-spattered staff, the wafting stench of foul cigars, the ink stains in his jersey from the nightly hours spent with pen and paper, carefully scripting the following days orders. No style points, here. No one even wears a plume, and they don’t have a man shining their boots each night.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Oct 20, 2009 10:16 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

WHAT THE FUCK IS RUGBY?

Before you respond, let me remind you: Brian Cook called me smug, which makes me the Obama of smugness. I'm basically Smugbama.

by Hawkeye State on Oct 20, 2009 8:52 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Football played like soccer but w/o the pads or the forward passes...

…but with very few set plays and just a lot of hard hitting and bloody noses.

Basically, the second-most popular sport in the world.

People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. --Bruce Bartlett

by tyger1147 on Oct 20, 2009 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

people line up and hug

and then run face-first into the huggers in the other team and kick each others’ shins.

Then a ball comes out of nowhere, someone picks it up and runs like fuck, because the huggers on the other team have stopped face-ramming and are now looking to kill him. This continues until the field is too muddy to stand up on. Whoever has run the furthest wins, I think.

Brunettes not fighter jets

by rockyh on Oct 20, 2009 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you've got it down.

People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. --Bruce Bartlett

by tyger1147 on Oct 20, 2009 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely.

Best part of rugby. Beat the shit out of each other, separate shoulders, give bloody noses, throw punches that connect to cheekbones… then at the end, drink some beer and eat some brats/hot dogs/pizza together like you’re old pals. Lovely game, that.

People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. --Bruce Bartlett

by tyger1147 on Oct 20, 2009 9:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Best place to upload a Wisconsin Iowa video?

I tried on youtube, but WMG automatically axed the audio claiming copyright infringement.

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 20, 2009 9:43 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Try Myspace or Facebook

"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me

by BStylin Hawkye on Oct 20, 2009 9:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vimeo

Brunettes not fighter jets

by rockyh on Oct 20, 2009 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope you captured the play at 7:00 of the 2nd Q.

It’s at 55:54 of the ESPN360 telecast.

I don’t have a recording device so I can’t post it, (if I could figure out how to operate iMovie, or wanted to.)

Supposedly, FakeBillParcells is going to weigh in, later, on what Morse did to Taylor (Wiscy leading tackler, linebacker) on that play. FBP thinks it’s the turning point of the entire game. He thinks Iowa might have simply scared Wisconsin into retreat. The announcers were making much of Schofield on that play. But the hit you hear in the press box comes before the tackle.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Oct 20, 2009 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah I included that hit. I believe it was on a play where our RB got hit in backfield.

It sucks that youtube reject my audio. I was playing on Ferentz’s “not the prettiest car on the lot” thing by using Highway Star by Deep Purple and Hot Rod Lincoln by Commander Cody.

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 20, 2009 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, five yard loss from Schofield getting inside and by Bulaga.

Taylor, knocked cold and noodle-kneed on the way to the sideline.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Oct 20, 2009 10:54 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm trying to upload now on Dailymotion

One of my favorite parts was the amazing hit Trey Stross takes in the air yet still holds the football. The Wisconsin defender seemed amazed, and maybe a lil scared behind his mirrored visor.

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 20, 2009 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've never in my life

seen a guy get a major knee injury because he was hit so hard in the solar plexus, with no one pinning his feet. That was a major car wreck of a block.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Oct 20, 2009 3:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He got crumpled hard.

I hope its not career ending, that would suck. I wonder if giving another player a bad injury ever messes with the minds of our players?

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 20, 2009 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Adrian Clayborn

Is a level 14 orc?

Brunettes not fighter jets

by rockyh on Oct 20, 2009 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Welcome back!

I’ve missed that little scamp the past week or so. Amazing no one’s said anything worthy of busting him out.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Oct 20, 2009 12:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Level 14 Orc

being stalked by a Level 3 sex offender.

by YouCanPutYourEddsInIt on Oct 20, 2009 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

FTW.

Brunettes not fighter jets

by rockyh on Oct 20, 2009 10:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

awesome.jpg

Binns needs to lift his legs more on the kick line, or a new showgirl is gonna take his job.

by YouCanPutYourEddsInIt on Oct 20, 2009 10:21 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Any Luck Yet

on getting the highlight vid uploaded somehwere?

_ They took the bar! The whole fucking bar!-John Blutosky Animal House)

by John Hartlieb is stiil a stud! on Oct 20, 2009 1:20 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I finally uploaded it on Dailymotion

The quality after encoding isn’t nearly as good as what I uploaded though.

Check it out:

Kirk Ferentz has built himself a hot rod that performs better than it looks!
http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xavan9_iowa-hawkeyes-vs-wisconsin-badgers

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 20, 2009 1:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

BRAVO SIR!!

_ They took the bar! The whole fucking bar!-John Blutosky Animal House)

by John Hartlieb is stiil a stud! on Oct 20, 2009 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very nice sir.

+1

"You don't become a Hawkeye fan, You're born with Black and Gold in your veins." - Me

by BStylin Hawkye on Oct 20, 2009 2:05 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks guys, glad you liked it!

There is a HD button on their player that helps some, but the version on youtube looked much much better.

I got half way through doing a Mich one and a Penn St. I’ll finish them and upload them.

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 20, 2009 2:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's a great summary, Recon.

I loved watching Schofield crash inside and completely out of the play on the bootleg where Reisner makes the fingertip catch on the sideline. For me, it summarizes the difference between team football and highlight video football. Schofield stays home,we don’t complete that pass, if we get it off at all.

But it was another flukey, ugly-ball win. Had nothing to do with playing and coaching better.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Oct 20, 2009 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks!

I’m not nearly as much of a student of the game as many on this site are, but my takeaway from this weekend was that our D continues to be badassed, and that Stanzi and the WR’s seemed to have a more complete game than earlier games. Also that the Wisconsin O increasingly lost traction as their body count grew.

I was pretty worried after after that first quarter though! Are those Wis yardage per quarter and Stanzi quarterback rating numbers the actual numbers? Where do you find that info?

by HawkeyeRecon on Oct 20, 2009 4:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think they're accurate.

I went to the drive charts, TOP figures (both Hawkeyesports.com) and calculated the pass efficiency numbers (though I don’t have a Masters Degree … in Science!) myself.

I think it’s fine to celebrate Schofield and all, but he ran himself out of half of the important plays Iowa made in the second half. That’s the stuff TV doesn’t care about; TV is highlight driven, and there’s no highlight value in being a dumbass DE who runs himself out of the play so Stanzi can do his bootleg thing half-a-dozen times. We recognize this in a sport like basketball with some guy who blazes for 30 but doesn’t play D or dish off on a break. In football there are too many guys out there for people to notice.

Just contrast Iowa QB rating with Wisc QB rating, second half. It’s no mystery that we won. Iowa has the best QB in conference right now. He was all-american in the second half.

I’ll pay for that statement soon, I’m sure.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Oct 20, 2009 5:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Awesome

Your Core Competencies continue to shine through.

And the writing here is so much fun I wish I could wish you continued good luck.

"For me the game wasn’t grounded in reality. It was about the uniform you put on that turned you into a warrior. It was about the mythology of the battle, the victory, the defeat, the struggle." - Mike Reid, PSU '69

by jtothep on Oct 20, 2009 3:49 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it's a shame

Not everybody is the perfect person in the world all of us PSU fans are like me and perfectly capable of riding the Iowa bandwagon.

"[angry frown]" - Lloyd Carr

by ReadingRambler on Oct 20, 2009 7:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're welcome to join the bandwagon

Did that gold skidmark in the corner of Beaver Stadium help persuade you?

by Hank Thrasher on Oct 21, 2009 8:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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