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Around SBN: Baby Boilers no more: Michigan State-Purdue Preview

There's a Game on Saturday? Purdon't

Tiller2_medium
I am the Walrus

Iowa hosts Purdue (11:00 kickoff, Big Ten Network, called by Thom Brennaman, Chris Martin, and Anthony Herron) Saturday, in what will be Joe Tiller's last road game as a head coach.  The Boilers enter the game at 3-7 (1-5), but the record doesn't tell the entire story.  Every team that has beaten Purdue was, at one point, in the top 25 this year, and Oregon, Penn State, Ohio State, and Minnesota struggled to put them away.  They're struggling, but the Boilers are no cupcake.

Fun With Depth Charts

Moeaki is Noeaki.  Again.  Andy Kuempel is also doubtful.  Everyone else is apparently good to go.  Chad Geary is listed ahead of Adrian Clayborn on the two-deep at defensive end.  It could be a nod to the former walk-on junior, who is finishing his fourth year and might not come back for his fifth.  Otherwise, the depth chart remains stable.

Star-divide

When Purdue Has the Ball

Ironically, Tiller's final season has been marked by offensive struggles.  In their seven losses, Purdue has averaged only 13.5 points per game.  That's bad for Iowa; it's horrendous for Purdue.

I have no idea who will play quarterback for Purdue.  Reports this week indicated Curtis Painter is nearly back to full health, but sophomore Justin Siller could start and will likely play significant minutes.  Siller is a former running back who was thrown into the position and proceeded to post 48 on Michigan.  There's no doubt he can run; it remains to be seen if he can pass.

Kory Sheets completes the backfield.  He's a senior, he has played significant minutes for four years, and he's having his best season yet.  He's also a wee bit frustrated:

"I'm kind of starting to get used to [not getting passes in the flat]," he said. "It seems like the defenses aren't even covering me because they don't think I'm going to get the ball anyway. It's been that way last week and the week before. So get used to it.

"A number of things are going through Painter's mind, and he's just kind of forgetting that I'm out there. I honestly couldn't tell you. You've got to ask him."

"In my eyes, I need some help. I can't do it all by myself," he said. "Everybody's coming to me, 'Sheets, get the offense going.' I do something good and then something bad happens. I need some help."

"You need somebody in there [at quarterback] who's going to be consistent," he said. "Right now, Painter hasn't been consistent and they're trying to find out if Joey can be consistent, but he got hurt.

"If they don't have consistency at quarterback, and I'm being real consistent, I think they have to start looking at me for some answers and giving me the ball and let me carry the team, instead of keep putting it in Painter's hands."

Yikes.

With Sheets and Siller in the game, Purdue mutates from the typical Joe Tiller pass-first spread to a run set.  Given their offensive line, neither one worries me.  Iowa should have no trouble putting pressure on the quarterback, whoever that is.

When Iowa Has the Ball

Shonn Greene will run for 6 yards a carry while Brock Spack humps a bagel.

Prognosis

Iowa's better on offense.  Iowa's better on defense.  Iowa's healthier.  Iowa's at home.  Purdue will hang close, if only because the weather is going to be horrible and that's what Purdue does.  Iowa pulls away late and cruises to a 23-9 win.

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So,

we won’t get the chance to make repeated “Throat Painter” references tomorrow? Damn.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Nov 14, 2008 11:13 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

More important than PSU game.

In one respect – recreating the momentum of ‘02-’04 – this is a more important game than last week’s Ferentz Signature Win. It should be a tough game, but one we show the maturity to handle.

Look how tough Purdue played Michigan, MSU, OSU, PSU. Unless their locker room has finally and completely imploded, they’ll play without care or concern, and pretty well, on defense. Against MSU, OSU, and PSU they gave up an average of less than 20 ppg.

If the narrative of Iowa’s resurgence is real, however, we will win and rush for 200+ yards. We’ll score 25-30. This would be the true inflection point in Iowa’s resurgence and growth, not beating PSU. Oddly, we were in a similar position last year against Directional, high off four straight wins. Then we didn’t show up, thus throwing away the post-season and everyone’s confidence.

The best indication that things are going to be different in the next few years will be a tough game that we win going away in the fourth quarter, having worn them down physically and staying focused. We need to be free of the dumb coaching mistakes (getting the calls into the huddle in time); we need to break tendency (as we did against PSU, throwing the 15 yard out to DJK when, perhaps, we were already in field goal range); avoiding the Stanziballs; avoiding some Ronnie-Harmonesque-Rose-Bowl meltdown by some player who has been rock solid all year (guess). Who knows, maybe we’ll even run a reverse. We’ve set it up for, oh, 40 quarters of football. C’mon Hawks: let’s play rock-paper-AND-scissors. Have some fun today.

Mr. Boh Knows ...

by Bellanca on Nov 15, 2008 8:24 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Dont Repeat 2007

We beat the Rose Bowl bound Iliini last year in a close game in Iowa City. It was a great win but ended up a horrible season. Very similar to this year so far. I hope this year finishes differently.

by Duez I say on Nov 15, 2008 8:35 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Poor Tony

Someday scientists will isolate and bottle Tony Moeaki’s injury-proneness and we will use it to fight terrorists.

by NorseHawk on Nov 15, 2008 9:06 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 15, 2008 10:12 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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